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Mosleh, Ali Ph.D.

Mosleh, Ali
Professor Emeritus of Engineering
Mechanical Engineering
Nuclear Engineering
0151F Glenn L. Martin Hall

Research Interests 

  • Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Complex Systems (Nuclear Power, Petrochemical Process, Space Missions) 
  • Impact of Organizational Factors on Socio-technical Systems Risk
  • Nuclear Power Plant Human Reliability Analysis (Cognitive Modeling, Simulation, Experimental Validation)
  • Common Cause Failure Analysis (Reliability Models, Data Classification and Analysis)
  • Bayesian Methods (Inference with Uncertain Evidence, Use of Expert Opinion, Causal Modeling with Bayesian Belief Networks)
  • Model Uncertainty (Bayesian Framework, Application to Complex Computational Codes – Such as Thermal Hydraulics Codes for Nuclear Power Plants)
  • Aviation Systems Safety Assessment and Monitoring (Risk-based oversight and inspection)
  • Risk Informed Healthcare System Management
  • Reliability Growth Tracking and Prediction Methods
  • Software Reliability Assessment Methodology
  • Information Systems Security Risk Management


  • Ph.D., University of California at Los Angeles, 1981

Honors and Awards 

  • Member, National Academy of Engineering (Elected, 2010)
  • Fellow, Society for Risk Analysis (Elected 1999)
  • Nicole J. Kim Eminent Professor of Engineering (2005-present)
  • Glenn L. Martin Institute Professor  (2010-present)
  • Gilbert White Fellow, Resources for the Future (2010)
  • Evans- McElroy Award, IEEE Reliability Society (2009)
  • Rotary National Award for Space Achievement (1998)
  • NASA Flight Safety Award (1998)
  • Ford Quality Award, Ford Motor Company (1997)
  • P.K. McElroy Award, IEEE Reliability Society (1995)
  • Best Paper Awards: American Nuclear Society, European Nuclear Society, System Safety Society, IEEE Reliability Society, Society for Risk Analyses, American Society of Mechanical Engineers, ICONE

Professional Memberships 

  • Fellow, Society for Risk Analysis
  • American Nuclear Society
  • Society of Reliability Engineering
  • IEEE Society

Selected Publications 

  • Kazemi, R., Mosleh, A., “Improving Default Risk Prediction Using Bayesian Model Uncertainty Analysis Technique”, Accepted for Publication in Risk Analysis, 2011
  • Groth, K.M., and A. Mosleh “Deriving causal Bayesian networks from human reliability analysis data: A methodology and example model”, Accepted for Publication, Risk and Reliability, 2011.
  • Li, J.,  A. Mosleh, and R. Kang,  “From Blind to Guided Simulation: Biased Monte Carlo Based on Zero-variance Importance Sampling Approximation for Risk and Reliability Applications”, Accepted for Publication in Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2011
  • Li, J.,  A. Mosleh, and R. Kang, “Likelihood Ratio Gradient Estimation for Dynamic Reliability Applications”, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2011,69(12):1667–1679.
  • Li, J., R. Kang, A. Mosleh, and X. Pan, “Simulation-based Automatic Generation of Risk Scenarios", Systems Engineering & Electronics, 2011,22(3):437–444