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2015

  • E. Rabiei, E. López Droguett, M. Modarres, "Damage Precursor Based Structural Health Monitoring and Damage Prognosis Framework," European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2015) Zürich, Switzerland, Sept. 2015.
  • A. Imanian, M. Modarres, "An Entropy-Based Theory of Reliability with the Application to Corrosion Fatigue," European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2015) Zürich, Switzerland, Sept. 2015.
  • M. Dennis, M. Modarres, A. Mosleh, "Framework for assessing integrated site risk of small modular reactors using dynamic probabilistic risk assessment simulation," European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2015) Zürich, Switzerland, Sept. 2015.
  • T. Zhou, E. López Droguett, M. Modarres, "A Hybrid Probabilistic Physics of Failure Pattern Recognition based Approach for Assessment of Multi-unit Causal Dependencies," European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2015) Zürich, Switzerland, Sept. 2015.
  • A. Imanian, M. Modarres, "Development of a Generalized Entropic Framework for Damage Assessment with Application to Corrosion Fatigue," ASME 2015 Applied Mechanics and Materials Conference, McMAT2015, June 29-July 1, 2015, Seattle WA.
  • A. Imanian, M. Modarres, "A Thermodynamic Entropy Based Approach for Prognosis and Health Management with Application to Corrosion Fatigue," 2015 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (PHM2015), Austin, TX, June 22-25, 2015.
  • A. Imanian, M. Modarres, "A Thermodynamic Entropy Based Approach for Prognosis and Health Management with Application to Corrosion Fatigue," 2015 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (PHM2015), Austin, TX, June 22-25, 2015.
  • A. Keshtgar, M. Modarres, "Small Fatigue Crack Initiation and Sizing Using Acoustic Emission," The Annual Meeting of the Society for the Advancement of Material and Process Engineering (SAMPE2015), Baltimore, MD, May 18-21, 2015.
  • A. Imanian, M. Modarres, "Development of a Generalized Entropic Framework for Damage Assessment,"  International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA2015), April 26-30, 2015, Sun Valley, ID.
  • M. Modarres, "Multi-Unit Nuclear Plant Risks and Implications of the Quantitative Health Objectives," International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA2015), April 26-30, 2015, Sun Valley, ID.
  • Matthew Dennis, M. Modarres, A. Mosleh, Z. Wang, "Framework for Assessing Integrated Site Risk of Small Modular Reactors Using Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment Simulation," International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA2015), April 26-30, 2015, Sun Valley, ID.
  • C. Iamsumang, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, "Computational Algorithm for Hybrid DBN in On-line SHM Applications," The 61st Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS2015), Jan. 26-29, Tampa, FL.

2014

  • Chonlagarn Iamsumang, Ali Mosleh, Mohammad Modarres, "Efficient Dependency Computation for Dynamic Hybrid Bayesian Network in On-line System Health Management Applications," Proceedings of the annual conference of the prognostics and health management society, Sep. 2014.
  • Anahita Imanian, Mohammad Modarres, "A Thermodynamic Entropy Based Approach for Prognosis and Health Management," Proceedings of the annual conference of the prognostics and health management society, Sep. 2014.
  • Abdallah Al Tamimi, Mohammad Modarres, "Improved Probabilistic Remaining Useful Life Estimation in Structures: Modeling Multi-site Fatigue Cracking in Oil and Gas Service Structures," Proceedings of the annual conference of the prognostics and health management society, Sep. 2014.
  • Chonlagarn Iamsumang, Ali Mosleh, Mohammad Modarres, "Computational Algorithm for Dynamic Hybrid Bayesian Network in On-Line System Health Management Applications," Proceedings of the 2014 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management, June 22-25, 2014, Spokane, WA.
  • Anahita Imanian, M. Modarres, "A Science-Based Theory of Reliability Founded on Thermodynamic Entropy," Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management conference, Proceedings of the PSAM-12, Honolulu, Hawaii (USA) on 22-27 June, 2014.
  • Martin Wayne, Mohammad Modarres, "Assessing Reliability Using Developmental and Operational Test Data," Proceedings of the RAMS-2014 Symposium, Colorado Springs, Colorado, January 27-30, 2014.

2013

  • Suzanne Schroer, Mohammad Modarres, "Considering Organizational Dependencies in a Multi-Unit PRA," Proceedings of the American Nuclear Society Meeting on Risk Management for Complex Socio-Technical Systems (RM4CSS), Nov. 2013, Washington, D.C.
  • Seymour Mandelcorn, Mohammad Modarres, and Ali Mosleh, "An Explanatory Model of Cyber-Attacks Drawn from Rational Choice Theory," Proceedings of the American Nuclear Society Meeting on Risk Management for Complex Socio-Technical Systems (RM4CSS), Nov. 2013, Washington, D.C.
  • Katherine Gromek, Mohammad Modarres, "An Agent-Autonomy Approach to Probabilistic Physics-of-Failure Modeling of Dynamic Systems with Interacting Failure Mechanisms," Proceedings of the American Nuclear Society Meeting on Risk Management for Complex Socio-Technical Systems (RM4CSS), Nov. 2013, Washington, D.C.
  • V. Ontiveros, M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Characterization of Simulation Model Uncertainties," American Nuclear Society Meeting on Risk Management for Complex Socio-Technical Systems (RM4CSS), Nov. 2013, Washington, D.C.
  • Suzanne Schroer, Mohammad Modarres, "An Event Classification Schema for Considering Site Risk in a Multi-Unit Nuclear Power Plant PRA," Proceedings of the International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2013), Sept. 22-25, 2013, Columbia, South Carolina.
  • M. Wayne, M. Modarres, "Estimation of Rate of Occurrence of Failure of Components Using Gaussian Process Regression Models," The International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2013), Sept. 22-25, 2013, Columbia, South Carolina.
  • A. Keshtgar, M. Modarres, "Probabilistic Model Development and Application for Fatigue Crack Detection Using Acoustic Emission Technology," The International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2013), Sept. 22-25, 2013, Columbia, South Carolina (Received Best Student Paper Award).
  • A. Keshtgar, M. Modarres, "Detecting Crack Initiation Based on Acoustic Emission," Proceedings of Prognostics and System Health Management (PHM-2013), Sept. 22-25, 2013, Milan, Italy, Chemical Engineering Transactions, Vol. 33, 2013.
  • K. Chatterjee, M. Modarres, J. Bernstein, D. Nicholls, "Celebrating Fifty Years of Physics of Failure," Proceedings of the 2013 Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS), Jan. 2013, Orlando, FL.
  • Azadeh Keshtgar, M. Modarres, "Acoustic Emission-Based Fatigue Crack Growth Prediction," Proceedings of the 2013 Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS), Jan. 2013, Orlando, FL.

2012

  • M. Azarkhil and A. Mosleh, “Modeling and Simulation of the Impact of Team Characteristics on Crew Performance,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • R. Boring, D.L. Kelly, C. Smidts, A. Mosleh, and B. Dyre, “Microworlds, Simulators, and Simulation: Framework for a Benchmark of Human Reliability Data Sources,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • Y-H Chang, A. Mosleh, E.M. Roth, R.E. Richards, S-H Shen, D. Bley, and B. Kirwan, “Methodology for Collection and Analysis of Simulator Data for HRA Applications,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • K. Coyne, C. Huntera, G. DeMossa, N. Siu, Y. Li, and A. Mosleh, “Nuclear Power Plant Precursor Risk Assessment Using a Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Method,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • K. Groth, S-H Shen, J.H. Oxstrand, A. Mosleh, and D.L. Kelly, “A Model-Based Approach to HRA: Example Application and Quantitative Analysis,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • S.M.L. Hendrickson, J.A. Forester, V.N. Dang, A. Mosleh, E. Lois, and J. Xing, “HRA Method Analysis Criteria,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • R. Kazemi, M. Dierks, and A. Mosleh, “A Hybrid Methodology for Modeling Risk of Adverse Events in Complex Healthcare Settings,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • J.L. Lachance, J.N. Cardoni, Y. Li, A. Mosleh, D. Aird, D.M. Helton, and K. Coyne, “Development and Application of a Dynamic Level 1 and 2 Probabilistic Safety Assessment Tool,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • Y. Li and A. Mosleh, “Simulation of Nuclear Power Plant Operators Reasoning Process for Situation Assessment in ADS-IDAC Dynamic PRA Platform,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • Z. Mohaghegh, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Hybrid Incorporation of Physical & Social Failure Mechanisms into Probabilistic Risk Assessment,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • A. Mosleh, S-H Shen, D.L. Kelly, J.H. Oxstrand, and K. Groth, “A Model-Based Human Reliability Analysis Methodology,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • J.H. Oxstrand, D.L. Kelly, S-H Shen, A. Mosleh, and K. Groth, “A Model-Based Approach to HRA: Qualitative Analysis Methodology,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • M. Pourali and A. Mosleh, “A Bayesian Belief Network Method of Sensor Placement Optimization for System Reliability Monitoring,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • R.E. Richards, E.M. Roth, D. Bley, Y-H Chang, A. Mosleh, and A. Koonce, “Human Performance/Error Data Collection for Incident Analysis via Timeline Generation Method and Tool: A Case Study,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • E.M. Roth, A. Mosleh, Y-H Chang, R.E. Richards, D. Bley, S-H Shen, and A. Zoulis, “Model-based Framework for Characterizing Contextual Factors for HRA Applications,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • C. Smith and A. Mosleh, “Quantifying Impact of Project Risk Decisions and Dependencies Within an Integrated Methodology,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • K. Chatterjee and M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Approach to Support Health Management of Steam Generator Tubes Using Uncertain Inputs from In-Service Inspections," Proceedings of the 20th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering ICONE20, July 30-August 3, 2012, Anaheim, CA.
  • Suzanne Schroer, Mohammad Modarres, "Initial Classification of Events to Consider in A Multi-Unit PRA," Proceedings of the 20th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering ICONE20, July 30-August 3, 2012, Anaheim, CA.
  • Adriana Schleder, Marcelo Martin, Mohammad Modarres, "The Use of Bayesian Networks in Reliability Analysis of the LNG Regasification System on a FSRU Under Different Scenarios," 22nd International Society of Offshore and Polar Engineers Conference (ISOPE-2012), Rhodes, Greece, June 2012.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and M. Modarres, "A Mechanistic Perspective to Utilize Probabilistic Physics-Of-Failure in Common Cause Failure Modeling," Proceedings of the 11th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM) Conference & The Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL), June 25-29, 2012, Helsinki, Finland.
  • Gary Wu, Mohammad Modarres, "A Probabilistic-Mechanistic Approach to Modeling Stress Corrosion Cracking Propagation in Alloy 600 Components With Applications," Proceedings of the 11th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM) Conference & The Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL), June 25-29, 2012, Helsinki, Finland.

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2011

  • T.T. Pires and A. Mosleh, “Organizational interface failures: A historical perspective and risk analysis framework,” Proceedings of  the 2011 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2011), Troyes, France, 2011.
  • J. Li, R. Kang, and A. Mosleh, “Reliability Sensitivity Analysis via the Likelihood Ratio Method,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability & Safety (ICRMS 2011), Guiyang, China, 2011.
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “Development and Use of a Bayesian Network to Estimate Human Error Probability,” Proceedings of  the 2011 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2011), Wilmington, NC, 2011.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and M. Modarres, "Advancing Probabilistic Risk Analysis by Enhanced Treatment of Common Cause Failures: A Mechanistic Perspective," Society for Risk Analysis, SRA 2011, Dec. 2011.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Physics-of-Failure Approach to Common Cause Failure in Reliability Assessment of Structures and Components," American Nuclear Society National Meeting, Washington, DC, October 30 – November 3, 2011.
  • K. Chatterjee and M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Physics-of-Failure Approach for Assessing the Frequency of Steam Generator Tube Ruptures," Transactions of the American Nuclear Society: 1st Annual SMR Conference, Washington, DC, October 30 – November 3, 2011.
  • M. Rabiei, M. Modarres and P. Hoffman, "Quantitative Methods for Structural Health Management using in-situ AE Monitoring," Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) Society, Quebec, Canada, September 25-29, 2011.
  • K. Chatterjee and M. Modarres, "A Bayesian Probabilistic Approach to Improved Health Management of Steam Generator Tubes," Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) Society, Quebec, Canada, September 25-29, 2011. 
  • Z. Mohaghegh, M. Modarres and A. Christou, "Physics-Based Common Cause Failure Modeling In Probabilistic Risk Analysis: A Mechanistic Perspective," Proceedings of the ASME 2011 Power Conference, POWER2011, July 12-14, 2011, Denver, CO.
  • R. Smith, V. Ontiveros, G. Paradee, M. Modarres, "A Strain Energy-Based Probabilistic Life Assessment Model," ASME Applied Mechanics and Materials Conference, McMAT-2011, Chicago May 31-June 2, 2011.
  • Masoud Rabiei, Mohammad Modarres, "Bayesian Knowledge Fusion in Prognostics and Health Management of Structures," ASME 2011 Pressure Vessels and Piping Conference (PVP) Conferences, Baltimore, July 17-21, 2011. 
  • Shun-Peng Zhu, Hong-Zhong Huang, Victor Ontiveros, Li-Ping He, Mohammad Modarres, "Probabilistic life prediction for high temperature low cycle fatigue using energy-based damage parameter and accounting for model uncertainty," ASME 2011 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences (IDETC) and Computers and Information in Engineering Conference, August 28-31, 2011 in Washington, DC.
  • Zahra Mohaghegh, Mohammad Modarres, "Common Cause Failure Modeling Using Probabilistic Physics-Of-Failure (POF) Analysis: A Mechanistic Approach," ASME Power 2011, Denver, July12-14, 2011.
  • M. Nuhi, T. Abu Seer, A. M. Al Tamimi, M. Modarres, A. Seibi, "Reliability Analysis for Degradation Effects of Pitting Corrosion in Carbon Steel Pipes," 11th International Conference on the Mechanical Behavior of Materials, Lake Como, Italy, June 5-9, 2011.
  • R. Smith, V. Ontiveros, G. Paradee, M. Modarres and P. Hoffman, "Probabilistic Strain Energy Life Assessment Model," 11th International Conference on the Mechanical Behavior of Materials, Lake Como, Italy, June 5-9, Procedia Engineering, Volume 10, 2011, Pages 613–618.
  • Victor Ontiveros and Mohammad Modarres, "An Integrated Methodology for Assessing Model Uncertainty in Fire Simulation Codes," PSA 2011 - International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis March 14-17, 2011.
  • Zahra Mohaghegh and Mohammad Modarres, "Common Cause Failure Modeling Using Probabilistic Physics- Of-Failure (POF) Analysis: A Mechanistic Approach," PSA 2011 - International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis March 14-17, 2011.
  • Mohammad Modarres, Mark Leonard, Kent Welter, Jason Pottorf, "Options for Defining Large Release Frequency for Applications to the Level-2 PRA and Licensing of SMRs," PSA 2011 - International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis March 14-17, 2011.
  • Kaushik Chatterjee and Mohammad Modarres, "A Probabilistic Physics of Failure Approach to Prediction of Steam Generator Tube Rupture Frequency," PSA 2011 - International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis March 14-17, 2011. 

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2010

  • D. Chrun, M. Cukier, A. Mosleh, and G. Sneeringer, “Development and Validation of an Information Security Model for Decision Makers,” Proceedings of  the 2010 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2010), Rhodes, Greece, 2010.
  • E. Lois, A. Mosleh, and J. A. Forester, “Addressing HRA Model Differences, ” Proceedings of  the 2010 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2010), Rhodes, Greece, 2010.
  • D. Chrun, M. Cukier, A. Mosleh, and G. Sneeringer, “Investigating the Impact of Humans in Information Technology Security: A Case Study at the University of Maryland,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • K. Coyne and A. Mosleh, “Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment Model Calibration and Validation Using Simulator Data - Another Application of HRA Empirical Study Data,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • V. N. Dang, J. A. Forester, and A. Mosleh, “Developing a New HRA Quantification Approach from Best Methods and Practices,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “A Performance Shaping Factors Causal Model for Nuclear Power Plant Human Reliability Analysis,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • S. M. Hendrickson, A. M. Whaley, R. L. Boring, Y-H Chang, S. H. Shen, A. Mosleh, J. H. Oxstrand, J. A. Forester, and D. L. Kelly, “A Mid-Layer Model for Human Reliability Analysis: Understanding the Cognitive Causes of Human Failure Events,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • R. Kazemi, A. Mosleh, and M. Dierks, “On Modeling Risk of Adverse Events In Complex Healthcare Settings,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • A. Khoshkhou, M. Cukier, and A. Mosleh, “A Framework for Software Reliability Management Based on the Software Development Profile Model,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • J. Li, A. Mosleh, and R. Kang, “From Blind to Guided Simulation: Biased Monte Carlo Based on Entropy and Zero Variance for Dynamic PSA Applications,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Development of an Aviation Safety Causal Model Using Socio-Technical Risk Analysis (SoTeRiA),” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • A. Mosleh, J. A. Forester, R. L. Boring, S. M. . Hendrickson, A. M. Whaley, S. H. Shen, D. L. Kelly, Y-H Chang, V. N. Dang, J. H. Oxstrand, and E. L. Lois, “A Model-Based Human Reliability Analysis Framework,” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Application of Structured Treatment of Model Uncertainty in Complex Thermal-Hydraulics System Codes,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • L.M. Ross and A. Mosleh, “Methodology for Detection and Assessment of the Impact of Informal Processes on Organizational Output,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • S. H. Shen, A. Mosleh, D. L. Kelly, and R. L. Boring, “Example Application of Model-Based HRA Approach,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • C. Shirazi and A. Mosleh, “Expert Panel Size vs. Accuracy of Aggregated Estimates: An Empirical Study,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • C. Smith and A. Mosleh, “New Approach to Integrating Various Risk Types Throughout a Development Project,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • C. Jackson and A. Mosleh, “Downwards Propagating: Bayesian Analysis of Complex on-demand Systems,” Proceedings of  the 2010 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2010), San Jose, CA, 2010.
  • C. Wang and A. Mosleh, “Qualitative-Quantitative Bayesian Belief Networks for reliability and risk assessment,” Proceedings of  the 2010 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2010), San Jose, CA, 2010.
  • R. Smith, M. Montemerlo, M. Modarres, "Strain Energy-Based Probabilistic Life Assessment of Dynamic Structures," Proceedings of the ASME 2010 International Mechanical Engineering Congress & Exposition, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Nov. 12-18, 2010.
  • M. Modarres, "Risk Assessment and Management Approaches to Energy Generating Infrastructure Due to Sustained Adverse Global Environmental Conditions," Joint ICTP-IAEA Workshop on the “Vulnerability of energy systems to climate change and extreme events” ICTP in Trieste, Italy, 19-23 April, 2010.
  • Masoud Rabiei, Mohammad Modarres, Ali Mohammad-Djafari, "Bayesian Techniques for Parameter Inference and Knowledge Fusion in Prognostics and Health Management A Case Study," 30th International Workshop on, Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, Chamonix, France, Proceeding of the American Institute of Physics, July 4-9, 2010.
  • M. Rabiei, M. Modarres and P. Hoffman, "Structural Fatigue-Induced Degradation: Prognostics and Health Monitoring Using Acoustic Emission," 10th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management Conference, PSAM10, Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • K. B. Welter, R. Snuggerud, J. Pottorf, M. Modarres, I. S. Kim, "Probabilistic Risk Assessment of NuScale Reactor During the Design Phase," 10th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management Conference, PSAM10, Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • Y. F. Khalil, M. Modarres, "Application of Safety Importance Measures to a Conceptual Baseline Design of an On-Board Reversible Hydrogen Storage System," 1st International Conference on Materials for Energy, Karlsruhe, Germany (July 4 – 7, 2010).

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2009

  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Modeling Organizational Influences for New-Generation Probabilistic Risk Analysis of Technical Systems,” Proceedings of  the American Nuclear Society Risk Management Embedded Topical Meeting, Washington, DC, 2009.
  • K. Coyne and A. Mosleh, “Modeling nuclear power plant operator knowledge and procedural adherence in the ADS-IDAC simulation model,” Proceedings of  the 2009 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2009), Prague, Czech Republic, 2009.
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “A Data-Informed Model of Performance Shaping Factors and their Interdependencies for Use in Human Reliability Analysis,” Proceedings of  the 2009 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2009), Prague, Czech Republic, 2009.
  • R. Kazemi, M. Dierks, and A. Mosleh, “A hybrid technique to model dynamic aspects of risk in healthcare settings,” Proceedings of  the 2009 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2009), Prague, Czech Republic, 2009.
  • C. Shirazi and A. Mosleh, “Data-informed calibration of experts in Bayesian framework,” Proceedings of  the 2009 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2009), Prague, Czech Republic, 2009.
  • M. Rabiei1, M. Modarres, P. Hoffman, "Structural Health Monitoring Using Acoustic Emission," The annual conference of the prognostics and health management society 2009, San Diego, CA September 27 – October 1, 2009.
  • J. Wood, N Siu, G. Parry, D. Dube, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, "Model Uncertainty: Conceptual and Practical Issues in the Context of Risk-Informed Decision Making," Topical Meeting on 2009 risk management, American Nuclear Society Conference, Washington, DC 2009. 
  • V. Ontiveros, A. Cartillier, C. le Gac, M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Framework for Model Uncertainty in Fire Simulation Codes," Embedded Topical Meeting on 2009 risk management, American Nuclear Society Conference, Washington, DC 2009. 
  • R. Johnson, J. Pottorf, M. Leonard, M. Modarres. , M. Corradini, V. K. Dhir, J. Rempe, "Severe Accident Prevention and Mitigation Features of the NuScale PWR Design," American Nuclear Society National Meeting, Washington, DC, Nov. 2009.
  •  V. Ontiveros, M. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Characterization of Fire Model Uncertainty,"2nd Workshop on Model Uncertainty, Annapolis, MD May 2009.
  • M. Chookah, M. Nuhi, And M. Modarres, "Assessment Of The Integrity of Oil Pipelines Subject To Corrosion Fatigue And Pitting Corrosion," Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Integrity, Reliability and Failure, Porto, 20-24 July 2009.
  • P. Hoffman, M. Rabiei, And M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Individual Aircraft Tracking Approach For Airframe Integrity," Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Integrity, Reliability and Failure Porto, 20-24 July 2009.
  • M. Modarres, "Implications of Nuclear Power Plant Regulation for Future Nuclear Plants Based on Risk and Performance Information," Proceedings of the International Conference on Nuclear Engineering (ICONE), July 12-16, 2009, Brussels, Belgium.
  • MR Azarkhail, V. Ontiveros, M. Modarres, "A Bayesian Framework for Model Uncertainty Considerations in Fire Simulation Codes," Proceedings of the International Conference on Nuclear Engineering (ICONE), July 12-16, 2009, Brussels, Belgium.

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2008

  • K. Groth, C. Wang, D. Zhu, and A. Mosleh, “Methodology and Software Platform for Multi-Layer Causal Modeling,” Proceedings of  the 2008 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2008), Valencia, Spain, 2008.
  • K. Coyne and A. Mosleh, "Modeling Nuclear Plant Operator Knowledge and Actions - The ADS-IDAC Simulation Approach,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 2008.
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “Data-Driven Modeling of Dependencies among Influencing Factors in Human-Machine Interactions,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 2008.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Theoretical Foundations for Building Organizational Safety Models for PRA Applications,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 2008.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “A Survey of Uncertainty Analysis Methodologies and Comparison with IMTHUA,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 2008.
  • D. M. Rasmuson, A. Mosleh, and T. E. Wierman, “Some Component Insights From Analyzing NRC’s Common-Cause Failure Database,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 2008.
  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Use of heritage data and other partially applicable information in reliability prediction of systems under development,” Proceedings of  the 2008 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2008), Las Vegas, NV, 2008, pp. 224–230.
  • K. Groth, D. Zhu, and A. Mosleh, “Hybrid methodology and software platform for probabilistic risk assessment,” Proceedings of  the 2008 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2008), Las Vegas, NV, 2008, pp. 411–416.
  • M. Chookah, M. Nuhi, M. Modarres, A. Seibi, Abu, "Development of a Probabilistic Model Structure for Reliability Assessment of Pipeline Degradation Due to Corrosion-Fatigue Cracking," Energy 2030 Symposium, Abu Dhabi, U.A.E., November 4-5, 2008.
  • P. Hoffman, D. Rusk, A. Roerden, M. Modarres and M. Rabiei, "A Hybrid Two-Phase Assessment Approach," Proceedings of the NATO RTO Applied Vehicle Technology Panel (AVT) Specialists’ Meeting, Montreal, Canada on 13-16 October 2008.
  • Yu-Shu Hu, and M. Modarres, "Fuzzy Hierarchical Modeling for Business Environment Scanning and Decision Making," Proceedings of PSAM 9 Conference, Hong Kong, China, May 18-23 2008.
  • M. Modarres, "Regulation of Future Nuclear Facilities Using Risk and Performance-Based Methods," Proceedings of the International Conference on Reliability, Safety and Quality Engineering (ICRSQE 2008), Mumbai, India, January 5-7, 2008.
  • M. Chookah, M. Nuhi Faridani, M. Modarres, A. Seibi, "Development of a Probabilistic Model for Assessment of Degradation of Pipelines Due to Corrosion-Fatigue Cracking," Proceedings of the Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA’08) Conference, Knoxville, TN, Sept. 2008.
  • Mohammad Pourgol-Mohamad, Ali Mosleh, Mohammad Modarres, "Survey of Methodologies for Thermal-Hydraulics System Codes Uncertainty Quantification" Proceedings of the Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA’08) Conference, Knoxville, TN, Sept. 2008.
  • M. Chookah, M. Nuhi, M. Modarres, A. Seibi, "Probabilistic Model for Mechanistic Evaluation of Reliability of Oil Pipelines subject to Corrosion-Fatigue Cracking," Proceedings of the ASME 2008 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences & Computers and Information in Engineering Conference, IDETC/CIE 2008,  New Cork City, NY,  August 3-6, 2008.
  • M. Pourgolmohamad, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, "IMUTHA Methods for Thermal-Hydraulics Code Structure Uncertainty Assessment," Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering, ICONE16, Orlando, Florida, May 11-15, 2008.
  • G. Valbuena, and M. Modarres, "Probabilistic Models to Estimate Fire-Induced Cable Damage At Nuclear Power Plants," PSAM 9, Hong Kong, China, May 18-23 2008.
  • M. Pourgolmohamad, M. Modarres, and A. Mosleh, "Methodology for Thermal-Hydraulics Code Structure Uncertainty Assessment," PSAM 9, Hong Kong, China, May 18-23 2008.
  • M. Pourgolmohamad, M. Modarres, and A. Mosleh, "Application of Integrated Methodology for Thermal Hydraulics Uncertainty Analysis (IMTHUA) on LOFT Test Facility Large Break Loss of Coolant Accident," PSAM 9, Hong Kong, China, May 18-23 2008.
  • P. Hoffman, X. Wang, M. Rabiei, M. Modarres, "A Probability-Based Individual Aircraft Tracking Approach for Airframe Integrity," Aging Aircraft 2008, Phoenix, AZ, April, 2008.

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2007

  • H. S. Nejad, D. Zhu, and A. Mosleh, “Hierarchical planning and multi-level scheduling for simulation-based probabilistic risk assessment,” Proceedings of  the 2007 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC 2007), Washington DC, 2007, pp. 1189–1197.
  • Z. Mohaghegh, “Multi-dimensional measurement perspective in modeling organizational safety risk,” Proceedings of  the 2007 European Safety and Reliability Association Conference (ESREL 2007), Stavanger, Norway, 2007.
  • Y.H. Chang, D. Mercurio, V. N. Dang, and A. Mosleh, “Recent Developments and Insights from Application of ADS-IDAC Dynamic PRA Platform,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • K. Coyne and A. Mosleh, “Implementation of a Dynamic PRA Approach for the Prediction of Operator Errors During Abnormal Nuclear Power Plant Events,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • Z. Mohaghegh, R. Kazemi, and A. Mosleh, “A Hybrid Technique for Organizational Safety Risk Analysis,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • H. S. Nejad and A. Mosleh, “SimPRA: A Simulation-Based Probabilistic Risk Assessment Framework for Dynamic Systems,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, M. Modarres, and A. Mosleh, “Application of Integrated Methodology for Thermal Hydraulics Uncertainty Analysis (IMTHUA) on LOFT Test Facility Large Break Loss of Coolant Accident,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohammad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Methodology for Thermal-Hydraulic Code Structure Uncertainty Assessment,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference for Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • A. Roelen, R. Wever, A. Mosleh, and K. Groth, “Development and Validation of a Comprehensive Hybrid Causal Model for Safety Assessment and Management of Aviation Systems,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference for Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • D. Zhu, Y-H Chang, and A. Mosleh, “The Use of Distributed Computing for Dynamic PRA: The ADS Approach,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • D. Zhu, K. Groth, and A. Mosleh, “A PRA Software Platform for Hybrid Causal Logic Risk Models,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • M. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, "A Simulation Approach to Risk-Based Design of Complex Dynamic Systems Used in Space Missions," The Sixth IMACS Seminar on Monte Carlo Methods, Reading, UK, June 18-22, 2007.
  • MR. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, "A Novel Bayesian Framework For Uncertainty Management In Physics-Based Reliability Models," Proceedings of ASME International Mechanical Engineering Congress and Exposition, Seattle, WA, November 11-15, 2007.
  • Xiangyu Wang, M. Modarres, Paul Hoffman, "Probabilistic-Based P-3 Airframe Integrity Management," Aging Aircraft 2007, Palm Spring, CA April 18, 2007.
  • M. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, "Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation For Estimating Simulation For Estimating Accelerated Life Model Accelerated Life Model Parameters," 53rd Annual Reliability & Maintainability Symposium (RAMS), Jan 2007.

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2006

  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, M. Modarres, and A. Mosleh, “Modified Phenomena Identification and Ranking Table (PIRT) for Uncertainty Analysis,” Proceedings of  the ICONE14 International Conference on Nuclear Engineering, Miami, FL, 2006.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Treatment of Uncertainties; Output Updating in Complex Thermal-Hydraulics (TH) Computational Codes,” Proceedings of  the ICONE14 International Conference on Nuclear Engineering, Miami, FL, 2006.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Nuclear Power Plant Crew Problem Solving Behavior According to IDAC,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 2006.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Performance Influencing Factors Modeling in the IDAC Model,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 2006.
  • F.J. Groen and A. Mosleh, “An Algorithm for the Quantification of Hybrid Causal Logic Models,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 2006.
  • Y. Hu, H. Nejad, D. Zhu, and A. Mosleh, “Solution of Phased-Mission Benchmark Problem Using the SIMPRA Dynamic PRA Methodology,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 2006.
  • A. Mosleh and Z. Mohaghegh, “A Causal Modeling Framework for Assessing Organizational Factors and their Impacts on Safety Performance,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 2006.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “A general thermal hydraulics uncertainty analysis methodology,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 2006.
  • D. Zhu, A. Mosleh, and C. Smidts, “Software Modelling In A Dynamic PRA Environment,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 2006.
  • F. J. Groen and E. L. Droguett, “Prior specification for multi-failure mode weibull reliability models,” Proceedings of  the 2006 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2006), Newport Beach, CA, 2006, pp. 201–207.
  • A. Jacopino, F.J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “Modelling imperfect inspection and maintenance in defence aviation through Bayesian analysis of the KIJIMA type I general renewal process (GRP),” Proceedings of  the 2006 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2006), Newport Beach, CA, 2006, pp. 470–475.
  • S. W. Yates and A. Mosleh, “A Bayesian approach to reliability demonstration for aerospace systems,” Proceedings of  the 2006 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2006), Newport Beach, CA, 2006, pp. 611–617.
  • M. Modarres,  M. Amoedo, "A Structured Methodology for Identifying Performance Metrics and Monitoring Maintenance Effectiveness," RAMS, June 14-16 2006.
  • K. Fretz, G. Valbuena, M. Modarres, "Engineering-Based Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Food Safety with Application to Escherichia coli O157:H7 Contamination in Cheese," Society for Risk Analysis Annual Conference, Baltimore, MD, Dec. 2006.
  • María Mercedes Amoedo, Mohammad Modarres, "A Structured Methodology for Identifying Performance Metrics and Monitoring Maintenance Effectiveness," Proceedings of the Reliability Availability Maintainability Symposium (RAMS) Symposium, Long Beach CA, Jan. 2006.
  • J. Hurtado, M. Modarres, "A Bayesian Approach to Airframe Reliability Management," PSAM-8 Conference, New Orleans, 2006.
  • M. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, "An Intelligent Agent-Oriented Approach to Risk Analysis Of Complex Dynamic Systems With Applications In Planetary Missions," PSAM-8 Conference, New Orleans, 2006.

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2005

  • F.J. Groen and E. L. Droguett, “Competing failure mode modeling in a bayesian reliability assessment tool,” Proceedings of  the 2005 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2005), Alexandria, VA, 2005, pp. 393–397.
  • K. Fretz, M. Modarres, "Probabilistic Risk Assessment Model to Study Risk of E. coli O157:H7 Contamination in Hard Cheeses," Society for Risk Analysis, Orlando, FL (2005).
  • Carlos E. Barroeta, Mohammad Modarres, "Risk and Economic Estimation of Inspection Interval for Periodically Tested Repairable Components," PSA'05, San Francisco, CA (2005).
  • Yu Shu Hu, and M. Modarres, "Applying Fuzzy Logic-Based Function-Centered Hierarchies As Inference Engines for Self-Learning Manufacturing Processes," The Second International Conference on Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery, August 2005, Changsha, China. 
  • P. Hoffman, J. Hurtado, M. Modarres, "Bayesian Approach to P-3 Structural Integrity Management," 30th Conference and Symposium of the International Committee on Aeronautical Fatigue (ICAF) 2005, Berlin, Germany, June 2005.

2004

  • Y-H Chang, K. Almenas, A. Mosleh, and D. Bessette, “Thermal-Hydraulic Uncertainty Analysis in the Context of Pressurized Thermal Shock Risk Scenarios,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 2004.
  • Y-H Chang, A. Mosleh, and A. P. Macwan, “Insights from Analysis of Procedural Errors in Telecommunications Industry,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 2004.
  • E. L. Droguett, F. J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “Bayesian Methodology for Reliability Assessment of Products under Development: Application to a Medical Diagnostic System,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 2004.
  • F. J. Groen, A. Mosleh, and E. L. Droguett, “Treatment of Partial Homogeneity in Population Variability Analysis of Data,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 2004.
  • Y. Hu, F.J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “An Entropy-Based Exploration Strategy in Dynamic PRA,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 2004.
  • A. Mosleh, A. Dias, G. Eghbali, and K. Fazen, “An Integrated Framework for Identification, Classification, and Assessment of Aviation Systems Hazards,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Management and Assessment (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 2004.
  • F.J. Groen, S. Jiang, A. Mosleh, and E. L. Droguett, “Reliability data collection and analysis system,” Proceedings of  the 2004 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2004), Los Angeles, CA, 2004, pp. 43–48.
  • A. Jacopino, F.J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “Behavioural study of the general renewal process,” Proceedings of  the 2004 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2004), Los Angeles, CA, 2004, pp. 237–242.
  • M. Modarres and Yu-Shu Hu, "Characterization and Modeling of Complex Engineering Systems," Proceedings of the International Workshop on Software Systems, Published by Springer for IFAC,  Istanbul, Turkey, Sept. 2004.
  • M. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, "A Study of Implications of Using Importance Measures in Risk-Informed Decisions," PSAM-7, ESREL 04 Joint Conference, Berlin, Germany, June 2004. 
  • M. Pourgolmohamad, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, "A General Thermal Hydraulics Uncertainty Analysis," PSAM-7, ESREL 04 Joint Conference, Berlin, Germany, June 2004.

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2003

  • F. J. Groen and E. L. Droguett, “Bayesian estimation of the variability of reliability measures,” Proceedings of  the 2003 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2003), Tampa, FL, 2003, pp. 182–187.
  • F.J. Groen and A. Mosleh, “A Comparison of Methods for Representing the Meaning of Uncertain Evidence,” Proceedings of  the 6th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-6), San Juan, PR, vol. 1, pp. 207–213.
  • N. Eisenberg, M. Modarres, "Risk Approaches for Enhanced Security of Facilities and Activities," Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Dec. 2003.
  • K. Fritz, M. Modarres, "Engineering-Based Risk Analysis of Food Processes with Applications," Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Dec. 2003.
  • M. Pourgolmohamad, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, "Application of Bayes Theorem on Thermal Hydraulics Uncertainty Analysis," Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Dec. 2003.
  • M. Modarres, "Engineering Risk Analysis Experience at the University of Maryland," Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Dec. 2003.
  • M. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, "A Study of Implications of Using Importance Measures in System Safety and Security," Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Dec. 2003.
  • T. Fang and M. Modarres, "Probabilistic and Deterministic Treatments for Multiple Flaws in Reactor Pressure Vessel Safety Analysis," 17th Mechanics in Reactor Technology, SMiRT-17 biennial Conference, Prague, Czech Republic, August, 2003.

2002

  • F.J. Groen, C. Smidts, and A. Mosleh, “QRAS – The Quantitative Risk Assessment System,” Proceedings of  the 2002 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2002), Seattle, WA, 2002.
  • F.J. Groen, A. Mosleh, and C. Smidts, “Automated Modeling and Analysis of Common Cause Failure with QRAS,” Proceedings of  the 20th International System Safety Conference, Denver, CO, 2002.
  • S. Chamberlain, M. Modarres, F. Mowrer, "An Overview of Risk Issues in Compressed Natural Gas Buses," International PSAM 6 Conference, Puerto Rico, 2002.
  • M. Yanez, F. Joglar, M. Modarres, "Applications of the Generalized Renewal Process in Repairable Systems," 2002.
  • Eli Avidor, F. Joglar-Billoch, F. Mowrer,  M. Modarres, "Hazard assessment of fire risk in electrical cabinets," PSA’02, Detroit, MI, Nov. 2002.
  • M. Modarres, "Comparative Fire Risk of CNG and Diesel Buses," Panel on CNG Health and Safety, SAE International Truck & Bus Meeting & Exhibition, Detroit, MI, Nov. 2002. 
  • M. Modarres and Y-S Hu, "A Characterization and Modeling of Complex Engineering Systems," 6th International Functional Modeling Workshop, College Park, MD, July 2002.
  • N. Eisenberg, B. Silverberg, M. Modarres, D. Trachewsky, "Food Safety Risk Communication Training," International PSAM 6 Conference, Puerto Rico, June 2002.
  • Fei Li, M. Modarres, "Fracture Toughness (KIc) Uncertainty Characterization and Treatment," International PSAM 6 Conference, Puerto Rico, June 2002.
  • M. Yañez, F. Joglar and M. Modarres, "Advances in the Assessment of Availability and Reliability of Repairable Aerospace Systems," Workshop on Nondeterministic Approaches and Their Potential for Future Aerospace Systems, Langley Research Center, Hampton VA, NASA/CP-2001-211050, May 2001.
  • S. Chamberlain, M. Modarres, "Overview of Risk Issues in Compressed Natural Gas Vehicles," International PSAM 6 Conference, Puerto Rico, June 2002.
  • F. Li and M. Modarres, "Uncertainty Characterization of Reactor Vessel Fracture Toughness for Risk-Informed Applications," Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering Sponsored by ASME, Arlington, VA, April 2002.
  • M. Modarres, "Risk-Informed Plant Security Analysis," Transactions of the American Nuclear Society Annual Meeting, Hollywood, FL., June 2002.

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2001

  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Assessment of Model Uncertainty - a Bayesian Approach,” Proceedings of  the 2001 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2001).
  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Methodology for the Treatment of Model Uncertainty - Applications to Fire Risk Models,” Proceedings of  the 2001 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2001), Torino, Italy, 2001.
  • F.J. Groen and A. Mosleh, “Principles of Uncertain Evidence in the Context of a Failure Rate Assessment Problem,” Proceedings of  the 2001 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2001), Torino, Italy, 2001.
  • Z. Tan, F.J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “An Extension of the FMEA Technology for Identifying System Failures due to Interactions,” Proceedings of  the 19th International System Safety Conference, Huntington AL, 2001. (Best Paper Award)
  • "Development of Thermal hydraulic Screening Criteria for Pressurized Thermal Shock Analysis," Proceedings of the 16th Mechanics in Reactor Technology or SMiRT-16 biennial Conference, August, 2001.
  • F. Li, M. Modarres, "Characterization of Uncertainty in the Measurement of Nuclear Reactor Vessel Fracture Toughness and Probability of Vessel Failure," Transactions of the American Nuclear Society Annual Meeting, Milwaukee, WI, June 2001.

2000

  • E. L. Droguett, A. Mosleh, F. Joglar, and F. Mowrer, “Methodology for the Treatment of Model Uncertainty: An Application to Fire Risk Models,” Proceedings of  the 5th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-5), Tokyo, Japan, 2000.
  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Methodology For The Treatment Of Model Uncertainty,” Proceedings of  the 5th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-5), Tokyo, Japan, 2000.
  • K. Fretz, Y.S. Hu, M. Modarres, "Using Engineering Probabilistic Risk Assessment Methods in Food Safety," Proceedings of the Annual Society for Risk Analysis conference, Dec. 2000.
  • F. Li, M. Modarres, and M. Natishan, "KIC/ KIC Uncertainty Characterization," Proceedings of the IAEA Specialists Meeting on “Methodology and Supporting Research for the Pressurized Thermal Shock Evaluation”, Rockville, MD, July 2000.
  • F. Joglar-Billoch, F. W. Mowrer, and M. Modarres, "Description of a Two-Zone Fire Model for Hazard Screening," Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering Sponsored by ASME, Baltimore, MD, April 2000.
  • M. Modarres, "Consideration of Uncertainty in Ranking of Components for Risk-Informed Applications," Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering Sponsored by ASME, Baltimore, MD, April 2000.
  • F. Li, M. Modarres, "A Combined PRA and Thermal-Hydraulics Analysis For Integrated Scenario Screening," Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering Sponsored by ASME, Baltimore, MD, April 2000.

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2015

  • M. Moura, I.D. Lins, E.A.L. Droguett, R. Soares, R. Pascual, "A Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm for determining efficient Risk-Based Inspection programs," Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, v. 133, p. 253-265, 2015.
  • A. Martinez, G. Lara, R. Pascual, E.A.L. Droguett, “Optimal Failure-Finding Intervals for Heat Shields in a Gas Turbine Combustion Chamber Using a Multicriteria Approach,” Journal of Engineering for Gas Turbines and Power, v. 137, p. 072501, 2015.
  • I.D. Lins, E.A.L. Droguett, M. Moura, E. Zio, C.M.C. Jacinto, “Computing confidence and prediction intervals of industrial equipment degradation by bootstrapped support vector regression,” Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, v. 137, p. 120-128, 2015.

2014

  • M. Amiri, M. Modarres, "Short Fatigue Crack Initiation and Growth in Aluminum 7075-T6," Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part C: J Mechanical Engineering Science 0(0) 1–9 August 2014.
  • M. Amiri, M. Modarres, "An Entropy-Based Damage Characterization," Entropy 2014, 16, pp 6434-6463.
  • Martin Wayne and Mohammed Modarres, "A Bayesian Model for Complex System Reliability Growth under Arbitrary Corrective Actions," IEEE Transactions in Reliability, V. 99, Aug. 2014, pp 1-15.
  • I.D. Lins, P.R.A. Firmino, D.C. Bezerra, M. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett, L.C. Rego, C.R. Santos, “Defense-Attack Interaction Over Optimally Designed Defense Systems via Games and Reliability,” Pesquisa Operacional (Impresso), v. 34, p. 1-21, 2014.
  • E.A.L. Droguett, I.D. Lins, M. Moura, E. Zio, C.M.C. Jacint, “Variable selection and uncertainty analysis of scale growth rate under pre-salt oil wells conditions using support vector regression,” Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers. Part O, Journal of Risk and Reliability (Print), p. n/a, 2014.
  • M.R. Martins, A. Schleder, E.A.L. Droguett, ”A Methodology for Risk Analysis Based on Hybrid Bayesian Networks: Application to the Regasification System of Liquefied Natural Gas Onboard a Floating Storage and Regasification Unit,” Risk Analysis, p. n/a-n/a, 2014.
  • M. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett, R. Ferreira, P.R.A. Firmino, “A competing risk model for dependent and imperfect condition-based preventive and corrective maintenances,” Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O, Journal of risk and reliability (Print), p. n/a, 2014.
  • H. De Oliveira Duarte, E.A.L. Droguett, M. Moura, E.C. De Souza Gomes, C. Barbosa, V. Barbosa, M. Araújo, “An Ecological Model for Quantitative Risk Assessment for Schistosomiasis: The Case of a Patchy Environment in the Coastal Tropical Area of Northeastern Brazil,” Risk Analysis, v. 34, p. 831-846, 2014.
  • E.A.L. Droguett, A. Mosleh, “Bayesian Treatment of Model Uncertainty for Partially Applicable Models,” Risk Analysis, v. 34, p. 252-270, 2014. Citações: 1.
  • F.S. Leite, M.A. Silva, M. Araujo, R.A. Silva, E.A.L. Droguett, “Modeling Subsurface Gas Release in Tropical and Shallow Waters: Comparison with Field Experiments off Brazil's Northeast Coast,” Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: An International Journal, v. 20, p. 150-173, 2014.
  • R. Pascual, R. Madariaga, G. Santelices, D. Godoy, E.A.L. Droguett, “A structured methodology to optimise throughput of production lines,” INT J MIN RECLAM ENV, p. 1-12, 2014.
  • M.A. Ramos, E.A.L. Droguett, M.R. Martins, H.P. Souza, “Comparison of Possible Consequences of LNG Leakages in Offshore and Onshore Terminals: the Case of the Port of Suape,” International Journal of Modeling and Simulation for the Petroleum Industry (Online), v. 8, p. 40-48, 2014.
  • D. Mallmann, T.C.M. Araujo, E.A.L. Droguett, “Characterization of central coast of Pernambuco State (Brazil) regarding to short and medium-term erosion,” Quaternary and Environmental Geosciences, v. 5, p. 137, 2014.

2013

  • S-P. Zhu, H. Huang, R. Smith, V. Ontiveros, L. He, M. Modarres, "Bayesian Framework for Probabilistic Low Cycle Fatigue Life Prediction and Uncertainty Modeling of Aircraft Turbine Disk Alloys," Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics J., V. 34, pp. 114-122 (2013).
  • M. Amiri, V. Ontiveros, A. Keshtgar, M. Nuhi and M. Modarres, "Probabilistic Structural Health Monitoring," Reliability Information Analysis Center Journal, Vol. 21, Issue 4 (December 2013).
  • Suzanne Schroer, Mohammad Modarres, "An Event Classification Schema for Evaluating Site Risk in a Multi Unit Nuclear Power Plant Probabilistic Risk Assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety J., Vol. 117 (2013), pp. 40-51.
  • M. Rabiei, M. Modarres, "Quantitative methods for structural health management using in situ acoustic emission monitoring," International Journal of Fatigue, Vol. 49, April 2013, pp 81-89.
  • K. Chatterjee, M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Approach for Estimating Defect Size and Density Considering Detection Uncertainties and Measurement Errors," Journal of Risk and Rel., Feb 2013 Vol. 227, No. 1, pp 28-40.
  • S.P Zhu, H.Z. Huang, V. Ontiveros, L.P He, M. Modarres, "Probabilistic Low Cycle Fatigue Prediction Using Energy-based Damage Parameter and Accounting for Model Uncertainty," Int. J. of Damage, Mech., 21, pp. 1128-1153, 2013.
  • M. R. Wayne, M. Modarres, "Modeling Rate of Occurrence of Failures with Log-Gaussian Process Models: A Case Study for Prognosis and Health Management of a Fleet of Vehicles," International Journal of Performability Engineering, Vol. 9, No. 6 (2013) pp. 701-714.
  • I.D. Lins, L.C. Rego, M. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett, “Selection of security system design via games of imperfect information and multi-objective genetic algorithm,” Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, v. 112, p. 59-66, 2013. Citações:1
  • I.D. Lins, M. Araujo, M. Moura, M.A. Silva, E.A.L. Droguett, “Prediction of sea surface temperature in the tropical Atlantic by support vector machines,” Computational Statistics & Data Analysis (Print), v. 61, p. 187-198, 2013. Citações:4
  • R. Ak, Y. Li, V. Vitelli, E. Zio, E.A.L. Droguett, C.M.C. Jacinto, “NSGA-II-trained neural network approach to the estimation of prediction intervals of scale deposition rate in oil & gas equipment,” Expert Systems with Applications, v. 40, p. 1205-1212, 2013. Citações: 2|7
  • H. Duarte, E.A.L. Droguett, M. Araújo, S.F. Teixeira, “Quantitative Ecological Risk Assessment of Industrial Accidents: The Case of Oil Ship Transportation in the Coastal Tropical Area of Northeastern Brazil,” Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: An International Journal, v. 19, p. 1457-1476, 2013. Citações:4
  • I.D. Lins, M. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett, E. Zio, C.M.C. Jacinto, “Failure Prediction of Oil Wells by Support Vector Regression with Variable Selection, Hyperparameter Tuning and Uncertainty Analysis,” Chemical Engineering Transactions, v. 33, p. 817-822, 2013.
  • E.A.L. Droguett, A. Mosleh, “Integrated treatment of model and parameter uncertainties through a Bayesian approach,” Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, v. 227, p. 41-54, 2013. Citações:1|1

2012

  • R. Kazemi, A. Mosleh, “Improving Default Risk Prediction Using Bayesian Model Uncertainty Technique,” accepted for publication in Risk Analysis, 2012.
  • K. Chatterjee, M. Modarres, and J. B. Bernstein, "Fifty Years of Physics of Failure," RIAC Journal, Vol. 20, Issue 1, 2012.
  • K. Chatterjee and M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Physics-of-Failure Approach to Prediction of Steam Generator Tube Rupture Frequency," Nuclear Science and Engineering, Vol. 170, Issue 2, pp: 136-150, February 2012.
  • I.D. Lins, M. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett, E. Zio, “A particle swarm-optimized support vector machine for reliability prediction,” Quality and Reliability Engineering International (Print), v. 28, p. 141-158, 2012. Citações:8|15
  • H. Duarte, E.A.L. Droguett, “Análise quantitativa de risco de uma unidade de recuperação de enxofre em uma refinaria de petróleo,” GEPROS, Gestão da Produção, Operações e Sistemas, v. 7, p. 23-38, 2012.
  • F.S. Leite, M. Araujo, M.A. Silva, R.A. Silva, P. Tyaquica, E.A.L. Droguett, “Field Study of a Simulated Subsurface Gas Blowout in Tropical and Shallow Water along the Brazilian Coast,” Tropical Oceanography (Online), v. 40, p. 240-261, 2012.
  • P. Baraldi, F. Di Maio, E. Zio, S. Sauco, E.A.L. Droguett, C.M.C. Jacinto, “Sensitivity Analysis of Scale Deposition on Equipment of Oil Wells Plants,” Chemical Engineering Transactions, v. 26, p. 327-332, 2012. Citações:6

2011

  • M. Chookah, M. Nuhi, and M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Physics-of-Failure Model For Prognostic Health Monitoring of Piping Subject to Pitting and Corrosion-Fatigue," Reliability Engineering & System Safety, Volume 96, Issue 12, December 2011, pp. 1601-1610.
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “A data-informed PIF hierarchy for model-based Human Reliability Analysis," accepted for publication in Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2011
  •  M. Azarkhail and M. Modarres, "The Evolution and History of Reliability Engineering: Rise of Mechanistic Reliability Modeling," International Journal of Performability Engineering, Vol.7, No. 6, November 2011, pp. 595-606.
  • Li, J.,  A. Mosleh, and R. Kang,  “From Blind to Guided Simulation: Biased Monte Carlo Based on Zero-variance Importance Sampling Approximation for Risk and Reliability Applications,” accepted for publication in Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2011
  • Li, J., R. Kang, A. Mosleh, and X. Pan, “Simulation and Uniform Design-Based Automatic Generation of Risk Scenarios,” accepted for publication in Systems Engineering & Electronics, 2011
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “Deriving causal Bayesian networks from human reliability analysis data: A methodology and example model,” Journal of Risk and Reliability, Volume 226 Issue 4, August 2011.
  • C. Jackson and A. Mosleh, “Downwards inference: Bayesian analysis of overlapping higher-level data sets of complex binary-state on-demand systems,” Journal of Risk and Reliability, vol. 226, no. 2, pp. 182–193, Jul. 2011.
  • L. Jinghui, A. Mosleh, and K. Rui, “Biased Monte Carlo method for reliability sensitivity analysis,” Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, vol. 37, no. 6, pp. 705–710, 716, 2011.
  • J. Li, R. Kang, A. Mosleh, and X. Pan, “Simulation-based automatic generation of risk scenarios,” Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, vol. 22, no. 3, pp. 437–444, Jun. 2011.
  • Mohammad Pourgolmohamad, Ali Mosleh, Mohammad Modarres, "Structured Treatment of Model Uncertainty in Complex Thermal-Hydraulics Codes; Technical Challenges, Prospective and Characterization," Nuclear Engineering and Design, Volume 241, Issue 1, January 2011, pp. 285-295.
  • J. Li, A. Mosleh, and R. Kang, “Likelihood ratio gradient estimation for dynamic reliability applications,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 96, no. 12, pp. 1667–1679, 2011.
  • M. Moura, I.D. Lins, E.A.L. Droguett, E. Zio, “Failure and reliability prediction by support vector machines regression of time series data,” Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, v. 96, p. 1527-1534, 2011. Citações:11|28
  • I.D. Lins, E.A.L. Droguett, “Redundancy allocation problems considering systems with imperfect repairs using multi-objective genetic algorithms and discrete event simulation,” Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, v. 19, p. 362-381, 2011. Citações:7|17

2010

  • M. Rabiei, M. Modarres, and P. Hoffman, "Structural Reliability Prognosis and Health Assessment of Airframes Using Non-Destructive Inspection," Reliability Information Analysis Center Journal (2010).
  • K. Groth, C. Wang, and A. Mosleh, “Hybrid causal methodology and software platform for probabilistic risk assessment and safety monitoring of socio-technical systems,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 95, pp. 1276–1285, 2010.
  • V. Ontiveros, A.  Cartillier, M. Modarres, "An Integrated Methodology for Assessing Fire Simulation Code Uncertainty," Nuclear Science and Engineering, 166, 3, 179–201 (2010).
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Methodology for the Use of Experimental Data to Enhance Model Uncertainty Assessment in Thermal Hydraulics Codes,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 95, no. 2, Feb. 2010.
  • R. Ferreira, P.E.L. Oliveira, P.R.A. Firmino, E.A.L. Droguett, “Mapa Estratégico para Programas de Recursos Humanos: Avaliando o Desempenho de Redes Bayesianas,” Gestão & Produção (UFSCAR. Impresso), v. 17, p. 63-74, 2010.
  • M. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett, “Numerical Approach for Assessing System Dynamic Availability Via Continuous Time Homogeneous Semi-Markov Processes,” Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, v. 12, p. 431-449, 2010. Citações:1|1

2009

  • S. Chamberlain, M. Chookah, M. Modarres, "Development of a Probabilistic Mechanistic Model for Reliability Assessment of Gas Cylinders in Compressed Natural Gas Vehicles," Journal of Risk & Reliability, Vol. 233, pp 289-231(2009).
  • G. Valbuena, M. Modarres, "Development of Probabilistic Models to Estimate Fire-Induced Cable Damage at Nuclear Power Plants," Nuclear Engineering and Design 239 (2009) 1113–1127.
  • X. Wang, M. Modarres, P. Hoffman, "Multi-Site Fatigue Damage," International Journal of Fracture, Vol. 156, No.2 (2009) pp155-163.
  • X. Wang, M. Rabiei, J. Hurtado, P. Hoffman, M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic-Based Airframe Integrity Management Model,"  Reliability Engineering and Systems Safety J, 4 (2009) 932–941.
  • M. Modarres, "Technology-Neutral Nuclear Power Plant Regulation Using Risk-Informed and Performance-Based Methods," Reliability Engineering and Systems Safety J, 94 (2009) pp 211– 217.
  • Z. Mohaghegh, R. Kazemi, and A. Mosleh, “Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 94, no. 5, pp. 1000–1018, 2009.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Incorporating organizational factors into probabilistic risk assessment of complex socio-technical systems: Principles and theoretical foundations,” Safety Science, vol. 47, no. 8, pp. 1139–1158, 2009.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Measurement techniques for organizational safety causal models: Characterization and suggestions for enhancements,” Safety Science, vol. 47, no. 10, pp. 1398–1409, 2009.
  • M.Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Integrated Methodology for Thermal-Hydraulic Code Uncertainty Assessment with Application,” Nuclear Technology, vol. 165, no. 3,  pp. 333-359, 2009.
  • W. Røed, A. Mosleh, J. E. Vinnem, and T. Aven, “On the use of the hybrid causal logic method in offshore risk analysis,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 94, pp. 445–455, 2009.
  • M. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett, “Mathematical Formulation and Numerical Treatment for non-Homogeneous semi-Markov Processes Based on Transition Frequency Densities and Quadrature Methods,” Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, v. 94, p. 342-349, 2009. Citações:11|13
  • I.D. Lins, E.A.L. Droguett, “Multiobjective Optimization of Availability and Cost in Repairable Systems Design via Genetic Algorithms and Discrete Event Simulation,” Pesquisa Operacional, v. 29, p. 43-66, 2009.

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2008

  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Bayesian methodology for model uncertainty using model performance data,” Risk Analysis, vol. 28, no. 5, pp. 1457–1476, 2008.
  • J. B. Hall and A. Mosleh, “An analytical framework for reliability growth of one-shot systems,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 93, no. 11, pp. 1751–1760, 2008.
  • J. B. Hall and A. Mosleh, “A Reliability Growth Projection Model for One-Shot Systems,” IEEE Transactions on Reliability, vol. 57, no. 1, pp. 174–181, Mar. 2008.
  • D. M. Rasmuson, A. Mosleh, and T. E. Wierman, “Insights from analysing the Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s common-cause failure database,” Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, vol. 222, no. 4, pp. 533–544, Dec. 2008.
  • M. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett, “A Continuous-Time Semi-Markov Bayesian Belief Network Model for Availability Measure Estimation of Fault Tolerant Systems,” Pesquisa Operacional, v. 28, p. 353-373, 2008.
  • E.A.L. Droguett, M. Moura, C.M.C. Jacinto, M. Feliciano, “A Semi-Markov Model with Bayesian Belief Network Based Human Error Probability for Availability Assessment of Downhole Optical Monitoring Systems,” Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, v. 16, p. 1713-1727, 2008. Citações:12

2007

  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents. Part 1: Overview of the IDAC Model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 8, pp. 997–1013, 2007.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents. Part 2: IDAC performance influencing factors model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 8, pp. 1014–1040, 2007.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents. Part 3: IDAC operator response model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 8, pp. 1041–1060, 2007.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents. Part 4: IDAC causal model of operator problem-solving response,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 8, pp. 1061–1075, 2007.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents. Part 5: Dynamic probabilistic simulation of the IDAC model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, pp. 1076–1101, 2007.
  • S. F. Galán, A. Mosleh, and J. M. Izquierdo, “Incorporating organizational factors into probabilistic safety assessment of nuclear power plants through canonical probabilistic models,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 8, pp. 1131–1138, 2007.
  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Time To Failure Assessment of Products at Service Conditions from Accelerated Lifetime Tests with Stress-Dependent Spread in Life,” Pesquisa Operacional, vol. 27, no. 2, pp. 209–233, 2007.
  • D. Zhu, A. Mosleh, and C. Smidts, “A framework to integrate software behavior into dynamic probabilistic risk assessment,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 12, pp. 1733–1755, 2007.
  • E.A.L. Droguett, R. Menêzes, “Análise da Confiabilidade Humana via Redes Bayesianas: uma Aplicação à Manutenção de Linhas de Transmissão,” Produção (São Paulo), v. 17, n.1, p. 162-185, 2007. Citações:1|8
  • M. Moura, S. Rocha, E.A.L. Droguett, C.M.C. Jacinto, “Avaliação Bayesiana da Eficácia da Manutenção via Processo de Renovação Generalizado,” Pesquisa Operacional, v. 27, p. 569-589, 2007. Citações:1|6

2000 - 2006

  • J. Hurtado, X. Wang, M. Modarres, P. Hoffman, "Probabilistic Airframe Structural Integrity Management," Reliability Analysis Information Center Journal, April, 2006.
  • F. J. Groen, C. Smidts, and A. Mosleh, “QRAS—the quantitative risk assessment system,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 91, no. 3, pp. 292–304, 2006.
  • E.A.L. Droguett, F. Groen, A. Mosleh, “Bayesian Assessment of the Variability of Reliability Measures,” Pesquisa Operacional, v. 26, n.n.1, p. 109-127, 2006.
  • P.R.A. Firmino, E.A.L. Droguett, “Estimação da Cota Inferior para a Confiabilidade de Sistemas por Árvores de Falhas,” Pesquisa Operacional, v. 26, p. 383, 2006.
  • E.A.L. Droguett, A. Mosleh, “Análise Bayesiana da Confiabilidade de Produtos em Desenvolvimento,” Gestão e Produção (UFSCar), São Carlos, v. 13, n.n.1, p. 57-69, 2006. Citações:4
  • C.M.C. Jacinto, E.A.L. Droguett, P. Garcia, “Aspectos Teóricos e Metodológicos para a Realização de uma Análise Quantitativa de Risco na Construção e Restauração de Poços,” Boletim Técnico da Produção de Petróleo, Rio de Janeiro, v. 1, n.1, p. 157-182, 2006.
  • M. Modarres, "Technology-Neutral Nuclear Power Plant Regulation: Implications of a Safety Goals-Driven Performance-Based Regulation," Nuclear Engineering & Technology, Vol. 37 (2005).
  • W. Keller and M. Modarres, "A historical overview of probabilistic risk assessment development and its use in the nuclear power industry: a tribute to the late Professor Norman Carl Rasmussen," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 89, 271-285 (2005).
  • Jose L. Hurtado, Francisco Joglar , Mohammad Modarres, "Generalized Renewal Process: Models, Parameter Estimation and Applications to Maintenance Problems," International Journal on Performability Engineering, 1, July (2005).
  • S. Chamberlain, M. Modarres, "Compressed Natural Gas Safety: A Quantitative Analysis," Risk Analysis J., 25, 377-389 (2005).
  • F. Joglar, F. Mowrer, M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Model for Fire Detection with Applications," Fire Technology J., 41, 151-172 (2005).
  • F. Li and M. Modarres, "Probabilistic Modeling for Fracture Mechanic Studies of Reactor Vessels with Characterization of Uncertainties," Nuclear Engineering and Design 235 (2005), 1-19.
  • F. J. Groen and A. Mosleh, “Foundations of probabilistic inference with uncertain evidence,” International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, vol. 39, no. 1, pp. 49–83, 2005.
  • F.J. Groen, E. L. Droguett, S. Jiang, and A. Mosleh, “A Reliability Data Collection and Analysis System for Products Under Development,” Brazilian Journal of Operations & Production Management, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 93–106, 2004.
  • E.A.L. Droguett, F. Groen, A. Mosleh, “The Combined Use of Data and Expert Estimates in Population Variability Analysis,” Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, Estados Unidos, v. 83, p. 311-321, 2004. Citações:4|11
  • A. Mosleh and Y-H Chang, “Model-based human reliability analysis: prospects and requirements,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 83, no. 2, pp. 241–253, 2004.
  • P.R.A. Firmino, P.I.C. Moreira, R.T.M. Chikushi, E.A.L. Droguett, “Métodos para a Remoção de Redundâncias de Árvores de Falhas,” Revista Produção Online, v. 4, n.4, 2004.
  • E. Avidor, F.J. Joglar-Billoch, F.W. Mowrer, M. Modarres, "Hazard Assessment of Fire in Electrical Cabinets," Nuclear Technology, Vol. 144 (2003) pp 337-357.
  • M. Yanez, F. Joglar, and M. Modarres, "Mathematical Formulation of the Generalized Renewal Process for Modeling Failures in Repairable Systems for Performance-Based Applications," Reliability Engineering and Systems Safety J., 77 (2002), pp. 167-180.
  • Y. Guan, F. Li, M. Modarres, M. diMarzo, D. Bessette, "Application of Integrated TH-PA Method to the Westinghouse AP600 Reactor," Nuclear Technology J. Vol. 133, No.3, pp. 269 – 289, March 2001.
  • Y. Guan, F. Li, M. Modarres, "A Method of Integrating Thermal Hydraulic Analysis and Probabilistic Assessment for Safety Evaluation and Screening," Nuclear Technology J., Vol. 133, No.3, pp. 290–309, March 2001.

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1990 - 1999

  • Y.-S. Hu, M. Modarres, "Evaluating System Behavior through Dynamic Master Logic Diagram (DMLD) Modeling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety J., Vol. 64, pp. 241-269, 1999.
  • M. Modarres, "Functional Modeling of Complex Systems (Editorial)," Reliability Engineering and System Safety J., Vol. 64, 1999.
  • M. Modarres, S. W. Cheon, "Function-Centered Modeling of Engineering Systems Using the Goal Tree-Success Tree Technique and Functional Primitives," Reliability Engineering and Systems Safety, Vol. 64, pp. 181 - 200, 1999.
  • Y-S. J. Hu and M. Modarres, "Ensuring and Automating Software Assurance Based on a Logic Model," Reliability Engineering & System Safety Journal, Special Issue on Functional Modeling, Vol. 64, 1999.
  • J. Won and M. Modarres, "Improved Bayesian Approach For Diagnosing Partial Failures," Computers and Chemical Engineering J., Vol. 22, No. 10 pp.1483-1502, 1998.
  • S. H. Shen, C. Smidts, and A. Mosleh, “A methodology for collection and analysis of human error data based on a cognitive model: IDA,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 172, no. 1, pp. 157–186, 1997.
  • C. Smidts, S. H. Shen, and A. Mosleh, “The IDA cognitive model for the analysis of nuclear power plant operator response under accident conditions. Part I: problem solving and decision making model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 55, no. 1, pp. 51–71, 1997.
  • S. Swaminathan, J. Y. Van-Halle, C. Smidts, A. Mosleh, S. Bell, K. Rudolph, R. J. Mulvihill, and B. Bream, “The Cassini Mission probabilistic risk analysis: comparison of two probabilistic dynamic methodologies,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 58, no. 1, pp. 1–14, 1997.
  • M. Modarres, "Dominance of Reason over Intuition:  Emergence of Risk-Based Regulation," Marine Safety Council Proceedings Coast Guard Journal of Safety at Sea, Vol. 53, No. 2, April 1996.
  • Y. S. Hu and M. Modarres, "Time-Dependent System Knowledge Representation Based on Dynamic Master Logic Diagrams," Control Engineering Practice, Vol. 4, No. 1, pp. 89-98, October 1996.
  • M. Modarres, H. Martz, M. Kaminskiy, "The Accident Sequence Precursor Analysis: Review of The Methods And New Insights," Nuclear Science and Engineering, 123, (1996) pp. 238-258
  • J. A. Julius, E. J. Jorgenson, G. W. Parry, and A. M. Mosleh, “Procedure for the analysis of errors of commission during non-power modes of nuclear power plant operation,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 53, no. 2, pp. 139–154, 1996.
  • K. S. Hsueh and A. Mosleh, “The development and application of the accident dynamic simulator for dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of nuclear power plants,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 52, no. 3, pp. 297–314, 1996.
  • A. Mosleh and V. M. Bier, “Uncertainty about probability: A reconciliation with the subjectivist viewpoint,” IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, Part A: Systems and Humans, vol. 26, no. 3, pp. 303–310, 1996.
  • J. Julius, E. Jorgenson, G. W. Parry, and A. Mosleh, “A procedure for the analysis of errors of commission in a probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plant at full power,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 50, no. 2, pp. 189–201, 1995.
  • H. Dezfuli, M. Modarres, and J. Meyer, "Application of REVEAL_W to Risk-Based Configuration Control," Reliability Engineering and System Safety Journal, Vol. 44, No. 3, 1994.
  • A. Macwan and A. Mosleh, “A methodology for modeling operator errors of commission in probabilistic risk assessment,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 45, no. 1–2, pp. 139–157, 1994.
  • A. Mosleh, G. W. Parry, and F. Zikria, “An approach to the analysis of common cause failure data for plant-specific application,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 150, no. 1, pp. 25–47, 1994.
  • L. Chen and M. Modarres, "Hierarchical Decision Process For Fault Administration," Computers and Chemical Eng. J., Vol. 16, No. 5, (1992) 425-448.
  • V. M. Bier and A. Mosleh,  “On Decomposition and Aggregation Error in Estimation: Some Basic Principles and Examples,” Risk Analysis vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 203-214, 1992.
  • M. Modarres, A. Mosleh, and J. Wreathall, “A framework for assessing influence of organization on plant safety,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 38, no. 1–2, pp. 157–171, 1992.
  • A. Mosleh, “Bayesian modeling of expert-to-expert variability and dependence in estimating rare event frequencies,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 38, no. 1–2, pp. 47–57, 1992.
  • L. Abbott and M. Modarres, "Consistency Checking During Automatic Knowledge Acquisition For Expert System Development," Heuristic J., Vol. 3, No. 2, (1991) 29-37.
  • A. Mosleh, “Common cause failures: an analysis methodology and examples,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 34, no. 3, pp. 249–292, 1991.
  • J. Wang and M. Modarres, "REX: An Intelligent Decision and Analysis Aid For Reliability and Risk Studies," Reliability Eng. & Syst. Safety J., 30 (1990), 195-218.
  • I. Kim, M. Modarres and N. Hunt, "A Model-Based Approach to On-Line Process Disturbance Management:  The Application," Reliability Eng. & Syst. Safety J, 28 (1990), 185-239.
  • I. Kim, M. Modarres and N. Hunt, "Toward The Practical Use of Expert System Technique For Process Disturbance Management," Reliability Eng. & Syst. Safety J., 28 (1990) 314-317.
  • I. Kim, M. Modarres and N. Hunt, "A Model-Based Approach to On-line Process Disturbance Management:  The Models," Reliability Eng. & Syst. Safety J., 28 (1990) 265-305.
  • V. M. Bier and A. Mosleh, “The analysis of accident precursors and near misses: Implications for risk assessment and risk management,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 27, no. 1, pp. 91–101, 1990.

1979 - 1989

  • A. Mosleh, “On The ‘True’ Value of a Failure Rate and Related Statistical Issues,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 26, pp. 21–23, 1989.
  • N. Siu and A. Mosleh, “Treating Data Uncertainties in Common Cause Failure Analysis,” Nuclear Technology, vol. 84, no. 3, pp. 265–281, 1989.
  • D. Chung, M. Modarres and N. Hunt, "GOTRES:  An Expert System for Fault Detection and Analysis," Reliability Eng. & Syst. Safety J., 24, (1989) 276-289.
  • G. Birky, T. McAvoy and M. Modarres, "An Expert System For Distillation Control Design," Computers and Chemical Engineering J., Vol.12, No. 9/10 (1988), pp. 1045-1063.
  • J. Wang, M. Modarres and N. Hunt, "Probabilistic Risk Assessment: A Look at The Role of Artificial Intelligence," Nuclear Engineering and Design J., 106 (1988), pp. 375-387.
  • V. M. Bier and A. Mosleh, “The subjective Bayesian approach to PRA: Theoretical and practical perspectives,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 23, no. 4, pp. 269–275, 1988.
  • G. E. Apostolakis, V. M. Bier, and A. Mosleh, “A critique of recent models for human error rate assessment,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 22, no. 1–4, pp. 201–217, 1988.
  • A. Mosleh, “An event-based multiple malfunction model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 21, no. 3, pp. 239–241, 1988.
  • A. Mosleh, V. M. Bier, and G. Apostolakis, “A critique of current practice for the use of expert opinions in probabilistic risk assessment,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 20, no. 1, pp. 63–85, 1988.
  • I.S. Kim and M. Modarres, "Application of Goal Tree-Success Tree Model as The Knowledge-Base of Operator Advisory System," Nuclear Engineering & Design J., 104 (1987) pp. 67-81.
  • H. Dezfuli and M. Modarres, "Application of a Correlation Model to Analyze Dependent Variables," IEEE Transactions on Reliability, R-36, No. 4, October 1987, pp. 459-462.
  • D. Rathbun and M. Modarres, "Development of Safety Goals For Nuclear Power Plants," Nuclear Safety, Vol. 28, No. 2, pp. 155-163, 1987.
  • K. N. Fleming, A. Mosleh, and R.K. Deremer, “A systematic procedure for the incorporation of common cause events into risk and reliability models,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 93, no. 2–3, pp. 245–273, 1986.
  • M. Modarres, "Increasing Performance of Engineering Systems," Reliability Review J., Vol. 6, No. 182, pp. 21-24, 1986.
  • A. Mosleh, “Hidden sources of uncertainty: judgment in the collection and analysis of data,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 93, no. 2–3, pp. 187–198, 1986.
  • M. Modarres, and T. Cadman, "A Method of Alarm System Analysis For Process Plants," Computers and Chemical Eng., Vol. 10, No. 6, pp. 557-565, 1986. 
  • E. Lois, and M. Modarres, "A Comparative Assessment of The Safety For One Decade of Performance of Operating U.S. Nuclear Power Plants," Reliability Engineering (Int. Journal), Volume 13, 4, pp. 191-210, 1985.
  • M. Modarres, M.L. Roush, and F. Nouri, "A Probabilistic Cost-Based Method For Evaluation of Operational Improvements in Nuclear Reactors," IEEE Transaction on Reliability, Vol. R-34, 5, pp. 514-518, 1985.
  • A. Mosleh and G. Apostolakis, “The Assessment of Probability Distributions from Expert Opinion with an Application to Seismic Fragility Curves,” Risk Analysis, vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 447–461, 1986.
  • M. Modarres, T. Cadman, E. Lois, and A. Gardner, "Sensitivity And Uncertainty Analysis For The Accident Sequence Precursor Study," Nuclear Technology J., Vol. 69, 1, pp. 27-35, 1985.
  • M. Modarres and T. Cadman, "Statistical Uncertainty Analysis in Reactor Risk Estimation," Nuclear Eng. & Design J., Vol. 85, 3, pp. 385-399, 1985.
  • H. Dezfuli and M. Modarres, "Uncertainty Analysis of Reactor Safety Systems With Statistically Correlated Failure Data," Reliability Engineering International Journal, Vol. 11, I, pp. 47-64, 1985.
  • A. Mosleh and E.R. Hilton, “A Methodology for the Assessment of Economic Risk of Large Scale Computer Systems,” Journal of Security, Audit, and Control, Spring 1984.
  • M. Modarres and H. Dezfuli, "A Truncation Methodology for Evaluating Large Fault Trees," IEEE Transactions on Reliability, Vol. R-33, 4, pp. 325-328, 1984.
  • M. Modarres, "A Method of Predicting Availability Characteristics of Series-parallel Systems," IEEE Transactions on Reliability, R-33, 4, pp. 309-312, 1984.
  • K. N. Fleming, A. Mosleh, and A. P. Kelley, Jr., “On the Analysis of Dependent Failures in Risk Assessment and Reliability Evaluation,” Nuclear Safety, vol. 24, no. 5, pp. 637–658, 1983.
  • C. D. Heising and A. Mosleh, “Bayesian Estimation of Core Damage Frequency Incorporating Historical Data on Precursor Events,” Nuclear Safety, vol. 24, no. 4, pp. 485–493, 1983.
  • A. Mosleh and G. Apostolakis, “Some properties of distributions useful in the study of rare events,” IEEE Transactions on Reliability, vol. 31, no. 1, pp. 87–94, 1982.
  • G. Apostolakis and A. Mosleh, “Expert Opinion and Statistical Evidence: An Application to Reactor Core Melt Frequency,” Nuclear Science and Engineering, vol. 70, no. 2, pp. 135–149, 1979.

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Selected Research Reports

  1. Mosleh, A., C. Wang, D. Zhu, and Z. Mohaghegh, Methodology for Aviation Systems Safety Assessment and Monitoring, Technical Report prepared for Federal Aviation Administration , Center for Risk and Reliability, CRR-7-1,  June 2007.
  2. Mosleh, A. , C. Wang, F.J. Groen, , "Integrated Methodology for Identification, Classification and Assessment of Aviation Systems Hazards and Risks, V.1: Framework and Computational Algorithms", Technical Report for Federal Aviation Administration, William J. Hughes Technical Center, AAR-490 Risk Analysis Branch, CRR-2007-SR-011
  3. Mosleh A., and K. Groth, Integrated Risk Methodology: Applications, Technical Report prepared for Federal Aviation Administration ,Center for Risk and Reliability, CRR-7-2,  June 2007.
  4. Mosleh, A., C. Wang, Z. Mohaghegh, and K. Groth, Integrated Methodology for Identification, Classification, and Assessment of Aviation System Risk, Research Report, Center for Risk and Reliability, University of Maryland, March 2005.
  5. Mohaghegh, Z. and A. Mosleh, Framework for Incorporating Organizational Factors in Safety Causal Models, Technical Report prepared for Federal Aviation Administration, Center for Risk and Reliability, University of Maryland, July 2007.
  6. Kirk, M., Malik, S., Santos, T., Dickson, T., Pugh, C.E., Bass, R., Williams, P., Woods, R., Siu, N., Kim, L., Kolaczkowski, A., Whitehead, D., Bessette, D., Arcieri, B., Fletcher, D., Mosleh, A., and Chang, Y.H. J., Technical Basis for Revision of the Pressurizer Thermal Shock (PTS) Screening Criteria in the PTS Rule (10CFR50.61) NUREG-1806, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington DC.
  7. Chang, Y-H., K. Almenas, and A. Mosleh,  Thermal-Hydraulic Uncertainty Analysis in Pressurized Thermal Shock Risk Assessment - Methodology and Implementation on Oconee, Beaver Valley, Palisades, and Calvert Cliffs Nuclear Power Plants. 2006, NUREG/CR-6899, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission,  2006.
  8. Tan, Z., and A. Mosleh, Methodology for Reliability Analysis of  X-Ware Systems, Prepared for Ford Motor Company, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-08, 2001.
  9. Groen, F. and A. Mosleh, Inference with Uncertain Evidence, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-05, 2000.
  10. Droguett, E.L., and A. Mosleh, Methodology for Treating Model Uncertainty, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-02, 1999. 
  11. Chang Y.H. , and A. Mosleh, Model-based Human Reliability Analysis, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-02, 1999.
  12. Chang, Y.H. , and A. Mosleh, Cognitive Modeling and Dynamic Probabilistic Simulation of Operating Crew Response to Complex System Accidents, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-02, 1999. 
  13. Marshall, F., D. Rasmuson and A. Mosleh, Common-Cause Failure Database and Analysis System Volumes 1-4, NUREG/CR-6268, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, June 1998.
  14. Mosleh, A., and M. Modarres, Considerations of Uncertainty in Risk Informed Regulation, Prepared for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, March 1998.
  15. Mosleh, A., and S.H. Shen,  Methodology for Assessment of Operator Error Probabilities for the Calvert Cliff Nuclear Power Plant, Prepared for Baltimore Gas and Electric Company, July 1996.
  16. Mosleh, A., C. Smidts, Analytical Techniques for Information Security Risk Assessment, Prepared for National Institute of Standards and Technology, June 1995.
  17. Goldfeiz, E., and A. Mosleh, An Approach to Modeling Organizational Factors for Safety Performance Assessment of Nuclear Power Plants, Report UMNE-95-003, 1995.
  18. Mosleh, A., C. Smidts, and S.H. Shen,  Application of a Cognitive Model to the Analysis of Reactor Operating Events Involving Operator Interactions, Prepared for Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Vols. I and II,  UMNE-94-004, 1994.
  19. Macwan, A. , and A. Mosleh,  Methodology for Analysis of Operator Errors of Commission During Nuclear Power Plant Accidents with Application to PRA, Report MDNE-93-001, Jan 1993.
  20. Mosleh, A.,  A.F. Zikira, and A. Afzali,, On Quantitative Analysis of Common Cause Failure Data for Plant-Specific Probabilistic Safety Assessment, Prepared for the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission UMNE-92-004, 1992.

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