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1990-1999
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2012

  • M. Azarkhil and A. Mosleh, “Modeling and Simulation of the Impact of Team Characteristics on Crew Performance,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • R. Boring, D.L. Kelly, C. Smidts, A. Mosleh, and B. Dyre, “Microworlds, Simulators, and Simulation: Framework for a Benchmark of Human Reliability Data Sources,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • Y-H Chang, A. Mosleh, E.M. Roth, R.E. Richards, S-H Shen, D. Bley, and B. Kirwan, “Methodology for Collection and Analysis of Simulator Data for HRA Applications,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • K. Coyne, C. Huntera, G. DeMossa, N. Siu, Y. Li, and A. Mosleh, “Nuclear Power Plant Precursor Risk Assessment Using a Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Method,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • K. Groth, S-H Shen, J.H. Oxstrand, A. Mosleh, and D.L. Kelly, “A Model-Based Approach to HRA: Example Application and Quantitative Analysis,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • S.M.L. Hendrickson, J.A. Forester, V.N. Dang, A. Mosleh, E. Lois, and J. Xing, “HRA Method Analysis Criteria,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • R. Kazemi, M. Dierks, and A. Mosleh, “A Hybrid Methodology for Modeling Risk of Adverse Events in Complex Healthcare Settings,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • J.L. Lachance, J.N. Cardoni, Y. Li, A. Mosleh, D. Aird, D.M. Helton, and K. Coyne, “Development and Application of a Dynamic Level 1 and 2 Probabilistic Safety Assessment Tool,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • Y. Li and A. Mosleh, “Simulation of Nuclear Power Plant Operators Reasoning Process for Situation Assessment in ADS-IDAC Dynamic PRA Platform,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • Z. Mohaghegh, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Hybrid Incorporation of Physical & Social Failure Mechanisms into Probabilistic Risk Assessment,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • A. Mosleh, S-H Shen, D.L. Kelly, J.H. Oxstrand, and K. Groth, “A Model-Based Human Reliability Analysis Methodology,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • J.H. Oxstrand, D.L. Kelly, S-H Shen, A. Mosleh, and K. Groth, “A Model-Based Approach to HRA: Qualitative Analysis Methodology,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • M. Pourali and A. Mosleh, “A Bayesian Belief Network Method of Sensor Placement Optimization for System Reliability Monitoring,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • R.E. Richards, E.M. Roth, D. Bley, Y-H Chang, A. Mosleh, and A. Koonce, “Human Performance/Error Data Collection for Incident Analysis via Timeline Generation Method and Tool: A Case Study,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • E.M. Roth, A. Mosleh, Y-H Chang, R.E. Richards, D. Bley, S-H Shen, and A. Zoulis, “Model-based Framework for Characterizing Contextual Factors for HRA Applications,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012
  • C. Smith and A. Mosleh, “Quantifying Impact of Project Risk Decisions and Dependencies Within an Integrated Methodology,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012

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2011

  • T.T. Pires and A. Mosleh, “Organizational interface failures: A historical perspective and risk analysis framework,” Proceedings of  the 2011 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2011), Troyes, France, 2011.
  • J. Li, R. Kang, and A. Mosleh, “Reliability Sensitivity Analysis via the Likelihood Ratio Method,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability & Safety (ICRMS 2011), Guiyang, China, 2011.
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “Development and Use of a Bayesian Network to Estimate Human Error Probability,” Proceedings of  the 2011 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2011), Wilmington, NC, 2011.

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2010

  • D. Chrun, M. Cukier, A. Mosleh, and G. Sneeringer, “Development and Validation of an Information Security Model for Decision Makers,” Proceedings of  the 2010 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2010), Rhodes, Greece, 2010.
  • E. Lois, A. Mosleh, and J. A. Forester, “Addressing HRA Model Differences, ” Proceedings of  the 2010 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2010), Rhodes, Greece, 2010.
  • D. Chrun, M. Cukier, A. Mosleh, and G. Sneeringer, “Investigating the Impact of Humans in Information Technology Security: A Case Study at the University of Maryland,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • K. Coyne and A. Mosleh, “Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment Model Calibration and Validation Using Simulator Data - Another Application of HRA Empirical Study Data,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • V. N. Dang, J. A. Forester, and A. Mosleh, “Developing a New HRA Quantification Approach from Best Methods and Practices,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “A Performance Shaping Factors Causal Model for Nuclear Power Plant Human Reliability Analysis,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • S. M. Hendrickson, A. M. Whaley, R. L. Boring, Y-H Chang, S. H. Shen, A. Mosleh, J. H. Oxstrand, J. A. Forester, and D. L. Kelly, “A Mid-Layer Model for Human Reliability Analysis: Understanding the Cognitive Causes of Human Failure Events,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • R. Kazemi, A. Mosleh, and M. Dierks, “On Modeling Risk of Adverse Events In Complex Healthcare Settings,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • A. Khoshkhou, M. Cukier, and A. Mosleh, “A Framework for Software Reliability Management Based on the Software Development Profile Model,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • J. Li, A. Mosleh, and R. Kang, “From Blind to Guided Simulation: Biased Monte Carlo Based on Entropy and Zero Variance for Dynamic PSA Applications,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Development of an Aviation Safety Causal Model Using Socio-Technical Risk Analysis (SoTeRiA),” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • A. Mosleh, J. A. Forester, R. L. Boring, S. M. . Hendrickson, A. M. Whaley, S. H. Shen, D. L. Kelly, Y-H Chang, V. N. Dang, J. H. Oxstrand, and E. L. Lois, “A Model-Based Human Reliability Analysis Framework,” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Application of Structured Treatment of Model Uncertainty in Complex Thermal-Hydraulics System Codes,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • L.M. Ross and A. Mosleh, “Methodology for Detection and Assessment of the Impact of Informal Processes on Organizational Output,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • S. H. Shen, A. Mosleh, D. L. Kelly, and R. L. Boring, “Example Application of Model-Based HRA Approach,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • C. Shirazi and A. Mosleh, “Expert Panel Size vs. Accuracy of Aggregated Estimates: An Empirical Study,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • C. Smith and A. Mosleh, “New Approach to Integrating Various Risk Types Throughout a Development Project,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 2010.
  • C. Jackson and A. Mosleh, “Downwards Propagating: Bayesian Analysis of Complex on-demand Systems,” Proceedings of  the 2010 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2010), San Jose, CA, 2010.
  • C. Wang and A. Mosleh, “Qualitative-Quantitative Bayesian Belief Networks for reliability and risk assessment,” Proceedings of  the 2010 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2010), San Jose, CA, 2010.

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2009

  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Modeling Organizational Influences for New-Generation Probabilistic Risk Analysis of Technical Systems,” Proceedings of  the American Nuclear Society Risk Management Embedded Topical Meeting, Washington, DC, 2009.
  • K. Coyne and A. Mosleh, “Modeling nuclear power plant operator knowledge and procedural adherence in the ADS-IDAC simulation model,” Proceedings of  the 2009 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2009), Prague, Czech Republic, 2009.
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “A Data-Informed Model of Performance Shaping Factors and their Interdependencies for Use in Human Reliability Analysis,” Proceedings of  the 2009 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2009), Prague, Czech Republic, 2009.
  • R. Kazemi, M. Dierks, and A. Mosleh, “A hybrid technique to model dynamic aspects of risk in healthcare settings,” Proceedings of  the 2009 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2009), Prague, Czech Republic, 2009.
  • C. Shirazi and A. Mosleh, “Data-informed calibration of experts in Bayesian framework,” Proceedings of  the 2009 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2009), Prague, Czech Republic, 2009.

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2008

  • K. Groth, C. Wang, D. Zhu, and A. Mosleh, “Methodology and Software Platform for Multi-Layer Causal Modeling,” Proceedings of  the 2008 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2008), Valencia, Spain, 2008.
  • K. Coyne and A. Mosleh, "Modeling Nuclear Plant Operator Knowledge and Actions - The ADS-IDAC Simulation Approach,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 2008.
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “Data-Driven Modeling of Dependencies among Influencing Factors in Human-Machine Interactions,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 2008.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Theoretical Foundations for Building Organizational Safety Models for PRA Applications,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 2008.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “A Survey of Uncertainty Analysis Methodologies and Comparison with IMTHUA,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 2008.
  • D. M. Rasmuson, A. Mosleh, and T. E. Wierman, “Some Component Insights From Analyzing NRC’s Common-Cause Failure Database,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 2008.
  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Use of heritage data and other partially applicable information in reliability prediction of systems under development,” Proceedings of  the 2008 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2008), Las Vegas, NV, 2008, pp. 224–230.
  • K. Groth, D. Zhu, and A. Mosleh, “Hybrid methodology and software platform for probabilistic risk assessment,” Proceedings of  the 2008 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2008), Las Vegas, NV, 2008, pp. 411–416.

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2007

  • H. S. Nejad, D. Zhu, and A. Mosleh, “Hierarchical planning and multi-level scheduling for simulation-based probabilistic risk assessment,” Proceedings of  the 2007 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC 2007), Washington DC, 2007, pp. 1189–1197.
  • Z. Mohaghegh, “Multi-dimensional measurement perspective in modeling organizational safety risk,” Proceedings of  the 2007 European Safety and Reliability Association Conference (ESREL 2007), Stavanger, Norway, 2007.
  • Y.H. Chang, D. Mercurio, V. N. Dang, and A. Mosleh, “Recent Developments and Insights from Application of ADS-IDAC Dynamic PRA Platform,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • K. Coyne and A. Mosleh, “Implementation of a Dynamic PRA Approach for the Prediction of Operator Errors During Abnormal Nuclear Power Plant Events,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • Z. Mohaghegh, R. Kazemi, and A. Mosleh, “A Hybrid Technique for Organizational Safety Risk Analysis,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • H. S. Nejad and A. Mosleh, “SimPRA: A Simulation-Based Probabilistic Risk Assessment Framework for Dynamic Systems,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, M. Modarres, and A. Mosleh, “Application of Integrated Methodology for Thermal Hydraulics Uncertainty Analysis (IMTHUA) on LOFT Test Facility Large Break Loss of Coolant Accident,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohammad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Methodology for Thermal-Hydraulic Code Structure Uncertainty Assessment,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference for Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • A. Roelen, R. Wever, A. Mosleh, and K. Groth, “Development and Validation of a Comprehensive Hybrid Causal Model for Safety Assessment and Management of Aviation Systems,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference for Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • D. Zhu, Y-H Chang, and A. Mosleh, “The Use of Distributed Computing for Dynamic PRA: The ADS Approach,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.
  • D. Zhu, K. Groth, and A. Mosleh, “A PRA Software Platform for Hybrid Causal Logic Risk Models,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, 2007.

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2006

  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, M. Modarres, and A. Mosleh, “Modified Phenomena Identification and Ranking Table (PIRT) for Uncertainty Analysis,” Proceedings of  the ICONE14 International Conference on Nuclear Engineering, Miami, FL, 2006.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Treatment of Uncertainties; Output Updating in Complex Thermal-Hydraulics (TH) Computational Codes,” Proceedings of  the ICONE14 International Conference on Nuclear Engineering, Miami, FL, 2006.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Nuclear Power Plant Crew Problem Solving Behavior According to IDAC,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 2006.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Performance Influencing Factors Modeling in the IDAC Model,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 2006.
  • F.J. Groen and A. Mosleh, “An Algorithm for the Quantification of Hybrid Causal Logic Models,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 2006.
  • Y. Hu, H. Nejad, D. Zhu, and A. Mosleh, “Solution of Phased-Mission Benchmark Problem Using the SIMPRA Dynamic PRA Methodology,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 2006.
  • A. Mosleh and Z. Mohaghegh, “A Causal Modeling Framework for Assessing Organizational Factors and their Impacts on Safety Performance,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 2006.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “A general thermal hydraulics uncertainty analysis methodology,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 2006.
  • D. Zhu, A. Mosleh, and C. Smidts, “Software Modelling In A Dynamic PRA Environment,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 2006.
  • F. J. Groen and E. L. Droguett, “Prior specification for multi-failure mode weibull reliability models,” Proceedings of  the 2006 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2006), Newport Beach, CA, 2006, pp. 201–207.
  • A. Jacopino, F.J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “Modelling imperfect inspection and maintenance in defence aviation through Bayesian analysis of the KIJIMA type I general renewal process (GRP),” Proceedings of  the 2006 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2006), Newport Beach, CA, 2006, pp. 470–475.
  • S. W. Yates and A. Mosleh, “A Bayesian approach to reliability demonstration for aerospace systems,” Proceedings of  the 2006 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2006), Newport Beach, CA, 2006, pp. 611–617.

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2005

  • F.J. Groen and E. L. Droguett, “Competing failure mode modeling in a bayesian reliability assessment tool,” Proceedings of  the 2005 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2005), Alexandria, VA, 2005, pp. 393–397.

2004

  • Y-H Chang, K. Almenas, A. Mosleh, and D. Bessette, “Thermal-Hydraulic Uncertainty Analysis in the Context of Pressurized Thermal Shock Risk Scenarios,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 2004.
  • Y-H Chang, A. Mosleh, and A. P. Macwan, “Insights from Analysis of Procedural Errors in Telecommunications Industry,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 2004.
  • E. L. Droguett, F. J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “Bayesian Methodology for Reliability Assessment of Products under Development: Application to a Medical Diagnostic System,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 2004.
  • F. J. Groen, A. Mosleh, and E. L. Droguett, “Treatment of Partial Homogeneity in Population Variability Analysis of Data,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 2004.
  • Y. Hu, F.J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “An Entropy-Based Exploration Strategy in Dynamic PRA,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 2004.
  • A. Mosleh, A. Dias, G. Eghbali, and K. Fazen, “An Integrated Framework for Identification, Classification, and Assessment of Aviation Systems Hazards,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Management and Assessment (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 2004.
  • F.J. Groen, S. Jiang, A. Mosleh, and E. L. Droguett, “Reliability data collection and analysis system,” Proceedings of  the 2004 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2004), Los Angeles, CA, 2004, pp. 43–48.
  • A. Jacopino, F.J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “Behavioural study of the general renewal process,” Proceedings of  the 2004 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2004), Los Angeles, CA, 2004, pp. 237–242.

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2003

  • F. J. Groen and E. L. Droguett, “Bayesian estimation of the variability of reliability measures,” Proceedings of  the 2003 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2003), Tampa, FL, 2003, pp. 182–187.
  • F.J. Groen and A. Mosleh, “A Comparison of Methods for Representing the Meaning of Uncertain Evidence,” Proceedings of  the 6th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-6), San Juan, PR, vol. 1, pp. 207–213.

2002

  • F.J. Groen, C. Smidts, and A. Mosleh, “QRAS – The Quantitative Risk Assessment System,” Proceedings of  the 2002 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2002), Seattle, WA, 2002.
  • F.J. Groen, A. Mosleh, and C. Smidts, “Automated Modeling and Analysis of Common Cause Failure with QRAS,” Proceedings of  the 20th International System Safety Conference, Denver, CO, 2002.

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2001

  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Assessment of Model Uncertainty - a Bayesian Approach,” Proceedings of  the 2001 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2001).
  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Methodology for the Treatment of Model Uncertainty - Applications to Fire Risk Models,” Proceedings of  the 2001 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2001), Torino, Italy, 2001.
  • F.J. Groen and A. Mosleh, “Principles of Uncertain Evidence in the Context of a Failure Rate Assessment Problem,” Proceedings of  the 2001 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2001), Torino, Italy, 2001.
  • Z. Tan, F.J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “An Extension of the FMEA Technology for Identifying System Failures due to Interactions,” Proceedings of  the 19th International System Safety Conference, Huntington AL, 2001. (Best Paper Award)

2000

  • E. L. Droguett, A. Mosleh, F. Joglar, and F. Mowrer, “Methodology for the Treatment of Model Uncertainty: An Application to Fire Risk Models,” Proceedings of  the 5th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-5), Tokyo, Japan, 2000.
  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Methodology For The Treatment Of Model Uncertainty,” Proceedings of  the 5th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-5), Tokyo, Japan, 2000

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2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2004-2006
1990-1999
1978-1989

2012

  • Kazemi, R., Mosleh, A., “Improving Default Risk Prediction Using Bayesian Model Uncertainty Technique,” accepted for publication in Risk Analysis, 2012

2011

  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “A data-informed PIF hierarchy for model-based Human Reliability Analysis," accepted for publication in Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2011
  • Li, J.,  A. Mosleh, and R. Kang,  “From Blind to Guided Simulation: Biased Monte Carlo Based on Zero-variance Importance Sampling Approximation for Risk and Reliability Applications,” accepted for publication in Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2011
  • Li, J., R. Kang, A. Mosleh, and X. Pan, “Simulation and Uniform Design-Based Automatic Generation of Risk Scenarios,” accepted for publication in Systems Engineering & Electronics, 2011
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “Deriving causal Bayesian networks from human reliability analysis data: A methodology and example model,” Journal of Risk and Reliability, Volume 226 Issue 4, August 2011.
  • C. Jackson and A. Mosleh, “Downwards inference: Bayesian analysis of overlapping higher-level data sets of complex binary-state on-demand systems,” Journal of Risk and Reliability, vol. 226, no. 2, pp. 182–193, Jul. 2011.
  • L. Jinghui, A. Mosleh, and K. Rui, “Biased Monte Carlo method for reliability sensitivity analysis,” Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, vol. 37, no. 6, pp. 705–710, 716, 2011.
  • J. Li, R. Kang, A. Mosleh, and X. Pan, “Simulation-based automatic generation of risk scenarios,” Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, vol. 22, no. 3, pp. 437–444, Jun. 2011.
  • J. Li, A. Mosleh, and R. Kang, “Likelihood ratio gradient estimation for dynamic reliability applications,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 96, no. 12, pp. 1667–1679, 2011.

2010

  • K. Groth, C. Wang, and A. Mosleh, “Hybrid causal methodology and software platform for probabilistic risk assessment and safety monitoring of socio-technical systems,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 95, pp. 1276–1285, 2010.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Methodology for the Use of Experimental Data to Enhance Model Uncertainty Assessment in Thermal Hydraulics Codes,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 95, no. 2, Feb. 2010.

2009

  • Z. Mohaghegh, R. Kazemi, and A. Mosleh, “Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 94, no. 5, pp. 1000–1018, 2009.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Incorporating organizational factors into probabilistic risk assessment of complex socio-technical systems: Principles and theoretical foundations,” Safety Science, vol. 47, no. 8, pp. 1139–1158, 2009.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Measurement techniques for organizational safety causal models: Characterization and suggestions for enhancements,” Safety Science, vol. 47, no. 10, pp. 1398–1409, 2009.
  • M.Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Integrated Methodology for Thermal-Hydraulic Code Uncertainty Assessment with Application,” Nuclear Technology, vol. 165, no. 3,  pp. 333-359, 2009.
  • W. Røed, A. Mosleh, J. E. Vinnem, and T. Aven, “On the use of the hybrid causal logic method in offshore risk analysis,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 94, pp. 445–455, 2009.

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2008

  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Bayesian methodology for model uncertainty using model performance data,” Risk Analysis, vol. 28, no. 5, pp. 1457–1476, 2008.
  • J. B. Hall and A. Mosleh, “An analytical framework for reliability growth of one-shot systems,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 93, no. 11, pp. 1751–1760, 2008.
  • J. B. Hall and A. Mosleh, “A Reliability Growth Projection Model for One-Shot Systems,” IEEE Transactions on Reliability, vol. 57, no. 1, pp. 174–181, Mar. 2008.
  • D. M. Rasmuson, A. Mosleh, and T. E. Wierman, “Insights from analysing the Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s common-cause failure database,” Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, vol. 222, no. 4, pp. 533–544, Dec. 2008.

2007

  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents. Part 1: Overview of the IDAC Model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 8, pp. 997–1013, 2007.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents. Part 2: IDAC performance influencing factors model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 8, pp. 1014–1040, 2007.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents. Part 3: IDAC operator response model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 8, pp. 1041–1060, 2007.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents. Part 4: IDAC causal model of operator problem-solving response,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 8, pp. 1061–1075, 2007.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents. Part 5: Dynamic probabilistic simulation of the IDAC model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, pp. 1076–1101, 2007.
  • S. F. Galán, A. Mosleh, and J. M. Izquierdo, “Incorporating organizational factors into probabilistic safety assessment of nuclear power plants through canonical probabilistic models,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 8, pp. 1131–1138, 2007.
  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Time To Failure Assessment of Products at Service Conditions from Accelerated Lifetime Tests with Stress-Dependent Spread in Life,” Pesquisa Operacional, vol. 27, no. 2, pp. 209–233, 2007.
  • D. Zhu, A. Mosleh, and C. Smidts, “A framework to integrate software behavior into dynamic probabilistic risk assessment,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 12, pp. 1733–1755, 2007.

2004 - 2006

  • F. J. Groen, C. Smidts, and A. Mosleh, “QRAS—the quantitative risk assessment system,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 91, no. 3, pp. 292–304, 2006.
  • F. J. Groen and A. Mosleh, “Foundations of probabilistic inference with uncertain evidence,” International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, vol. 39, no. 1, pp. 49–83, 2005.
  • F.J. Groen, E. L. Droguett, S. Jiang, and A. Mosleh, “A Reliability Data Collection and Analysis System for Products Under Development,” Brazilian Journal of Operations & Production Management, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 93–106, 2004.
  • A. Mosleh and Y-H Chang, “Model-based human reliability analysis: prospects and requirements,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 83, no. 2, pp. 241–253, 2004.

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1990 - 1999

  • S. H. Shen, C. Smidts, and A. Mosleh, “A methodology for collection and analysis of human error data based on a cognitive model: IDA,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 172, no. 1, pp. 157–186, 1997.
  • C. Smidts, S. H. Shen, and A. Mosleh, “The IDA cognitive model for the analysis of nuclear power plant operator response under accident conditions. Part I: problem solving and decision making model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 55, no. 1, pp. 51–71, 1997.
  • S. Swaminathan, J. Y. Van-Halle, C. Smidts, A. Mosleh, S. Bell, K. Rudolph, R. J. Mulvihill, and B. Bream, “The Cassini Mission probabilistic risk analysis: comparison of two probabilistic dynamic methodologies,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 58, no. 1, pp. 1–14, 1997.
  • J. A. Julius, E. J. Jorgenson, G. W. Parry, and A. M. Mosleh, “Procedure for the analysis of errors of commission during non-power modes of nuclear power plant operation,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 53, no. 2, pp. 139–154, 1996.
  • K. S. Hsueh and A. Mosleh, “The development and application of the accident dynamic simulator for dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of nuclear power plants,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 52, no. 3, pp. 297–314, 1996.
  • A. Mosleh and V. M. Bier, “Uncertainty about probability: A reconciliation with the subjectivist viewpoint,” IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, Part A: Systems and Humans, vol. 26, no. 3, pp. 303–310, 1996.
  • J. Julius, E. Jorgenson, G. W. Parry, and A. Mosleh, “A procedure for the analysis of errors of commission in a probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plant at full power,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 50, no. 2, pp. 189–201, 1995.
  • A. Macwan and A. Mosleh, “A methodology for modeling operator errors of commission in probabilistic risk assessment,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 45, no. 1–2, pp. 139–157, 1994.
  • A. Mosleh, G. W. Parry, and F. Zikria, “An approach to the analysis of common cause failure data for plant-specific application,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 150, no. 1, pp. 25–47, 1994.
  • V. M. Bier and A. Mosleh,  “On Decomposition and Aggregation Error in Estimation: Some Basic Principles and Examples,” Risk Analysis vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 203-214, 1992.
  • M. Modarres, A. Mosleh, and J. Wreathall, “A framework for assessing influence of organization on plant safety,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 38, no. 1–2, pp. 157–171, 1992.
  • A. Mosleh, “Bayesian modeling of expert-to-expert variability and dependence in estimating rare event frequencies,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 38, no. 1–2, pp. 47–57, 1992.
  • A. Mosleh, “Common cause failures: an analysis methodology and examples,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 34, no. 3, pp. 249–292, 1991.
  • V. M. Bier and A. Mosleh, “The analysis of accident precursors and near misses: Implications for risk assessment and risk management,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 27, no. 1, pp. 91–101, 1990.

1979 - 1989

  • A. Mosleh, “On The ‘True’ Value of a Failure Rate and Related Statistical Issues,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 26, pp. 21–23, 1989.
  • N. Siu and A. Mosleh, “Treating Data Uncertainties in Common Cause Failure Analysis,” Nuclear Technology, vol. 84, no. 3, pp. 265–281, 1989.
  • V. M. Bier and A. Mosleh, “The subjective Bayesian approach to PRA: Theoretical and practical perspectives,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 23, no. 4, pp. 269–275, 1988.
  • G. E. Apostolakis, V. M. Bier, and A. Mosleh, “A critique of recent models for human error rate assessment,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 22, no. 1–4, pp. 201–217, 1988.
  • A. Mosleh, “An event-based multiple malfunction model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 21, no. 3, pp. 239–241, 1988.
  • A. Mosleh, V. M. Bier, and G. Apostolakis, “A critique of current practice for the use of expert opinions in probabilistic risk assessment,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 20, no. 1, pp. 63–85, 1988.
  • K. N. Fleming, A. Mosleh, and R.K. Deremer, “A systematic procedure for the incorporation of common cause events into risk and reliability models,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 93, no. 2–3, pp. 245–273, 1986.
  • A. Mosleh, “Hidden sources of uncertainty: judgment in the collection and analysis of data,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 93, no. 2–3, pp. 187–198, 1986.
  • A. Mosleh and G. Apostolakis, “The Assessment of Probability Distributions from Expert Opinion with an Application to Seismic Fragility Curves,” Risk Analysis, vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 447–461, 1986.
  • A. Mosleh and E.R. Hilton, “A Methodology for the Assessment of Economic Risk of Large Scale Computer Systems,” Journal of Security, Audit, and Control, Spring 1984.
  • K. N. Fleming, A. Mosleh, and A. P. Kelley, Jr., “On the Analysis of Dependent Failures in Risk Assessment and Reliability Evaluation,” Nuclear Safety, vol. 24, no. 5, pp. 637–658, 1983.
  • C. D. Heising and A. Mosleh, “Bayesian Estimation of Core Damage Frequency Incorporating Historical Data on Precursor Events,” Nuclear Safety, vol. 24, no. 4, pp. 485–493, 1983.
  • A. Mosleh and G. Apostolakis, “Some properties of distributions useful in the study of rare events,” IEEE Transactions on Reliability, vol. 31, no. 1, pp. 87–94, 1982.
  • G. Apostolakis and A. Mosleh, “Expert Opinion and Statistical Evidence: An Application to Reactor Core Melt Frequency,” Nuclear Science and Engineering, vol. 70, no. 2, pp. 135–149, 1979.

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Selected Research Reports

  1. Mosleh, A., C. Wang, D. Zhu, and Z. Mohaghegh, Methodology for Aviation Systems Safety Assessment and Monitoring, Technical Report prepared for Federal Aviation Administration , Center for Risk and Reliability, CRR-7-1,  June 2007.
  2. Mosleh, A. , C. Wang, F.J. Groen, , "Integrated Methodology for Identification, Classification and Assessment of Aviation Systems Hazards and Risks, V.1: Framework and Computational Algorithms", Technical Report for Federal Aviation Administration, William J. Hughes Technical Center, AAR-490 Risk Analysis Branch, CRR-2007-SR-011
  3. Mosleh A., and K. Groth, Integrated Risk Methodology: Applications, Technical Report prepared for Federal Aviation Administration ,Center for Risk and Reliability, CRR-7-2,  June 2007.
  4. Mosleh, A., C. Wang, Z. Mohaghegh, and K. Groth, Integrated Methodology for Identification, Classification, and Assessment of Aviation System Risk, Research Report, Center for Risk and Reliability, University of Maryland, March 2005.
  5. Mohaghegh, Z. and A. Mosleh, Framework for Incorporating Organizational Factors in Safety Causal Models, Technical Report prepared for Federal Aviation Administration, Center for Risk and Reliability, University of Maryland, July 2007.
  6. Kirk, M., Malik, S., Santos, T., Dickson, T., Pugh, C.E., Bass, R., Williams, P., Woods, R., Siu, N., Kim, L., Kolaczkowski, A., Whitehead, D., Bessette, D., Arcieri, B., Fletcher, D., Mosleh, A., and Chang, Y.H. J., Technical Basis for Revision of the Pressurizer Thermal Shock (PTS) Screening Criteria in the PTS Rule (10CFR50.61) NUREG-1806, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington DC.
  7. Chang, Y-H., K. Almenas, and A. Mosleh,  Thermal-Hydraulic Uncertainty Analysis in Pressurized Thermal Shock Risk Assessment - Methodology and Implementation on Oconee, Beaver Valley, Palisades, and Calvert Cliffs Nuclear Power Plants. 2006, NUREG/CR-6899, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission,  2006.
  8. Tan, Z., and A. Mosleh, Methodology for Reliability Analysis of  X-Ware Systems, Prepared for Ford Motor Company, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-08, 2001.
  9. Groen, F. and A. Mosleh, Inference with Uncertain Evidence, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-05, 2000.
  10. Droguett, E.L., and A. Mosleh, Methodology for Treating Model Uncertainty, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-02, 1999. 
  11. Chang Y.H. , and A. Mosleh, Model-based Human Reliability Analysis, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-02, 1999.
  12. Chang, Y.H. , and A. Mosleh, Cognitive Modeling and Dynamic Probabilistic Simulation of Operating Crew Response to Complex System Accidents, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-02, 1999. 
  13. Marshall, F., D. Rasmuson and A. Mosleh, Common-Cause Failure Database and Analysis System Volumes 1-4, NUREG/CR-6268, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, June 1998.
  14. Mosleh, A., and M. Modarres, Considerations of Uncertainty in Risk Informed Regulation, Prepared for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, March 1998.
  15. Mosleh, A., and S.H. Shen,  Methodology for Assessment of Operator Error Probabilities for the Calvert Cliff Nuclear Power Plant, Prepared for Baltimore Gas and Electric Company, July 1996.
  16. Mosleh, A., C. Smidts, Analytical Techniques for Information Security Risk Assessment, Prepared for National Institute of Standards and Technology, June 1995.
  17. Goldfeiz, E., and A. Mosleh, An Approach to Modeling Organizational Factors for Safety Performance Assessment of Nuclear Power Plants, Report UMNE-95-003, 1995.
  18. Mosleh, A., C. Smidts, and S.H. Shen,  Application of a Cognitive Model to the Analysis of Reactor Operating Events Involving Operator Interactions, Prepared for Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Vols. I and II,  UMNE-94-004, 1994.
  19. Macwan, A. , and A. Mosleh,  Methodology for Analysis of Operator Errors of Commission During Nuclear Power Plant Accidents with Application to PRA, Report MDNE-93-001, Jan 1993.
  20. Mosleh, A.,  A.F. Zikira, and A. Afzali,, On Quantitative Analysis of Common Cause Failure Data for Plant-Specific Probabilistic Safety Assessment, Prepared for the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission UMNE-92-004, 1992.

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