Clark School Home UMD

Publications

book cover
W.T Anderson
October 1992, second edition 1995.

Jump to year...

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

2019

  • F. Ibisoglu and K.M. Groth, "Methods for Dependency between Human Failure Events in Human Reliability Analysis: An Overview of the State-of-the-Art," Proceedings of the 29th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 19), Hannover, Germany, 22-26 September 2019.
  • A. Lewis & K.M. Groth, "A review of methods for discretizing continuous-time accident sequences," Proceedings of the 29th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 19), Hannover, Germany 22-26 September 2019.
  • D. Verstraete, E. Lopez Droguett, M. Modarres, "A Deep Adversarial Approach Based on Multi-Sensor Fusion for Remaining Useful Life Prognostics," Proceedings of the 29th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 19), Hannover, Germany, 22-26 September 2019.
  • J. DeJesus-Segarra, M. Bensi, & M. Modarres, "Method to Obtain Spatially Variable Ground Motion Hazards on A Nuclear Power Plant Site," Proceedings of Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology (SMiRT25), Charlotte, NC, 4 August-9 August, 2019.
  • A. Aria, R. Heidary, K.M. Groth, S. Azarm, & M. Modarres, "A Machine Learning Approach to Integrity Management of Pipelines," Proceedings of SPE Workshop on Digital Asset Integrity Management (D-AIM), Abu Dhabi, UAE, 8-9 April 2019.
  • J. DeJesus-Segarra, M. Bensi, & M. Modarres, "Incorporation of Spatial Variability of Ground Motions in A Seismic Multi-Unit Probabilistic Risk Assessment," Proceedings of International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA2019), Charleston, SC, 29 April-5 May 2019.
  • D. Hudson & M. Modarres, "Safety Goals and Associated Quantitative Health Objectives (QHOs) Applied to Multi-Units Sites," Proceedings of International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA2019), Charleston, SC, 29 April-5 May, 2019.
  • S. Krahan, M. Modarres, & J. O'Brien, "Understanding and Effectively Managing Conservatisms in Safety Analysis," Proceedings of International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA2019), Charleston, SC, 29 April-5 May, 2019.
  • S. Lyons, M. Modarres, "Risk-Informed Acceptance Criteria for Evaluating Leak-Before-Break in Piping Susceptible to Primary Water Stress Corrosion Cracking Degradation," Proceedings of International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA2019), Charleston, SC, 29 April-5 May, 2019. (Best Student Paper Award)
  • M. Modarres, "A Review of Selected Multi-Unit PRA Issues," Proceedings of International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA2019), Charleston, SC, 29 April-5 May, 2019.
  • P. Nation & M. Modarres, "Modeling Uncertainty in Reliability Growth Planning for Continuous-Use Systems," Proceedings of the System Engineering Test and Evaluation Conference (SETE), Canberra, Australia, 29 April-1 May, 2019.
  • P. Nation & M. Modarres, "Modeling Continuous-Use System Reliability Growth Utilizing Disparate Source Data," Proceedings of the System Engineering Test and Evaluation Conference 2019 (SETE), Canberra, Australia, 29 April-1 May, 2019. (Best Paper Award)
  • D. Verstraete, E. Lopez Droguett, & M. Modarres, "A Deep Adversarial Learning Approach for Damage Prognostics," Proceedings of 65th Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS 2019), Orlando, FL, 28-31 January 2019.
     

2018

  • A. Aria, M. Modarres, & S. Azarm, "High-Detection-integrity and Cost-effective Health Monitoring of Slow Degradation Processes with Localized Damages," Proceedings of Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management conference (PSAM-14), Los Angeles, CA, 16-21 September 2018.
  • J. DeJesus, M. Bensi, & M. Modarres, "Framework for Modeling Ground Motion Correlation for Multiple Units at a Nuclear Power Plant Site," Proceedings of Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management conference (PSAM-14), Los Angeles, CA, 16-21 September 2018.
  • K. Groth, "A framework for using SACADA to enhance the qualitative and quantitative basis of HRA," Proceedings of the 14th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference (PSAM 14), Los Angeles, CA, 16-21 September 2018.
  • K. Groth & M. Bensi, "Commentary on use of model-augmented data analytics for improved operational efficiency of nuclear power plants," Proceedings of the 14th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference (PSAM 14), Los Angeles, CA, September 16-21, 2018.
  • R. Heidary, K. Groth, & M. Modarres, "Fusing more frequent and accurate structural damage information from one location to assess damage at another location with less information," Proceedings of the 14th Probabilistic Safety and Management Conference, Los Angeles, CA, 16-21 September 2018.
  • Y. Makano, S. Takeda, T. Zhou, & M. Modarres, "Multi-Unit Dependency Modeling Based on Reported Japanese Nuclear Power Plant Incidents," Proceedings of Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management conference (PSAM-14), Los Angeles, CA, 16-21 September 2018.
  • T. Zhou, E. Droguett, & M. Modarres, "A Performance Data-Driven Physics-Based Approach to Common Cause Failure Modeling," Proceedings of Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management conference (PSAM-14), Los Angeles, CA, 16-21 September 2018.
  • T. Zhou, M. Modarres, & E. Droguett, "A Study of Multi-Unit Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment," Proceedings of Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management conference (PSAM-14), Los Angeles, CA, 16-21 September 2018.
  • E. Rudnick-Cohen, J. W. Herrmann, & S. Azarm, "Feasibility Robust Optimization via Scenario Generation and Reduction," DETC2018-85990, Proceedings of the ASME 2018 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences and Computers and Information in Engineering Conference (IDETC2018), Quebec City, Quebec, 26-29 August 2018.
  • T. Zhou, M. Modarres, & E. Droguett, "A Review of Multi-Unit Nuclear Power Plant Probabilistic Risk Assessment Research," ASME International Conference on Nuclear Engineering (26th ICONE), London, UK, 22-26 July 2018.
  • M. Modarres, "An Outline of MUPSA: Site-Level Dependencies, Risk Metrics, Safety Goals, and Risk Information (Invited)," Proceedings of the Nuclear Energy Agency International Workshop on Site Level PSA Developments, Munich, Germany, 18-20 July 2018.
  • M. Modarres, "Some Misconceptions About Multi-Unit PSAs (Invited)," Proceedings of the Nuclear Energy Agency International Workshop on Site Level PSA Developments, Munich, Germany, 18-20 July 2018.
  • J. O'Brien, M. Modarres, S. Krahn, "Understanding and Effectively Managing Conversations in Safety Analysis," European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2018), Trondheim, Norway, 17-21 June 2018.
  • D. Toledo, E. Droguett, V. Meruane, & M. Modarres, "Acoustic Emission Based Fault Diagnosis via a Novel Deep Convolutional Neural Network Method," European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2018), Trondheim, Norway, 17-21 June 2018.
  • D. B. Verstraete, E. Lopez, Droguett, A. N. Ferrada, V. Meruane, & M. Modarres, "Unsupervised Deep Generative Adversarial Based Methodology for Automatic Fault Detection," European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2018), Trondheim, Norway, 17-21 June 2018.
  • K. Lawson & M. Modarres, "Closing the Fuel Cycle: Molten Salt Reactors," American Nuclear Society National Meeting, Philadelphia, PA, June 17-21, 2018.
  • D. Verstraete, E. Lopez Droguett, M. Modarres, & V. Meruane, "Deep Semi-Supervised Generative Adversarial Fault Diagnostics for Rolling Element Bearings," Engineering Mechanics Institute Conference, Symposium on Progressive Damage and Failure in Structures and Materials: Testing and Simulation, Cambridge, MA, 29 May-1 June 2018.
  • H. Yun & M. Modarres, "Damage Assessment in Materials with Entropic Measures," Symposium on Progressive Damage and Failure in Structures and Materials: Testing and Simulation, Cambridge, MA, 29 May-1 June 2018.
  • A. Aria, S. Azarm, & M. Modarres, "On a Case Study in Optimization-based Layout Design of Sensors for a Pipeline Using Synthetic Localized Corrosion Data," Research & Development Petroleum Conference and Exhibition, Abu Dhabi, UAE, May 9-10, 2018.
  • R. Heidary, K. Groth, M. Modarres, & N. Vahdati, "Finding optimal maintenance policy for pipeline corrosion using data fusion," Rdpetro 2018: Research and Development Petroleum Conference and Exhibition, Abu Dhabi, UAE, May 9-10, 2018.
  • S. Haynes, J. W. Herrmann, & P. Zimmerman, "Using Discrete Event Simulation to Improve Aircraft Engine Reliability Forecasts," 2018 Annual Reliability and Maintainability Systems (RAMS), Reno, NV, 22-25 January 2018.
  • H. Yun & M. Modarres, "Entropic Approaches to Measuring Damage with Applications to Fatigue Failure and Structural Reliability," Proceedings of the RAMS 2018, Reno, NV, 22-25 January 2018.

2017

  • M. Modarres & M. Pourgolmohammad, "Risk Assessment of Energy Systems Exposed to Climate Changed Induced Stresses: A Systematic Framework," ASME 2017 International Mechanical Engineering Congress & Exposition, IMECE 2017, Tampa, FL, 3-9 November 2017.
  • T. Zhou, M. Modarres, & E. L. Droguett, "A Multi-Unit Probabilistic Risk Assessment Approach with Application to Seismic Events," International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA 2017), Pittsburgh, PA, 24-28 September 2017.
  • D. Hudson & M. Modarres, "Effects of Including Multi-Unit Accident Contributions to Safety Goal Quantitative Health Objectives: Insights from a Two-Unit Case Study Involving Two Representative U.S. Nuclear Power Plant Sites," International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA 2017), Pittsburgh, PA, 24-28 September 2017.
  • T. Zhou, M. Modarres, & E. L. Droguett, "A Multi-Unit Probabilistic Risk Assessment Approach with Application to Seismic Events," International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA 2017), Pittsburgh, PA, 24-28 September 2017.
  • A. Kahirdeh, H. Yun, M. Modarres, "Degradation Entropy: An Acoustic Emission Based Approach to Structural Health Assessment," Proceedings of the Structural Health Monitoring, Stanford University, CA, 12-14 September 2017.
  • M. Morency, A. Anparasan, J. W. Herrmann, & E. L. Gralla, "Using Clustering Algorithms to Identify Subproblems in Design Processes," Proceedings of the 21st International Conference on Engineering Design (ICED17), Vancouver, Canada, 21-25 August 2017.
  • A. Kahirdeh, H. Yun, & M. Modarres, "Entropic Methods to Study the Evolution of Damage and Degradation of Materials," 14th International Conference on Fracture (ICF 14), Rhodes, Greece, 18-23 June 2017.
  • H. Yun, C. Sauerbrunn, A. Kahirdeh, & M. Modarres, "Damage Precursors from Acoustic Emission Parameters frmo Fatigu Loading," 14th International Conference on Fracture (ICF 14), Rhodes, Greece, 18-23 June 2017.
  • C. B. LaFleur, A. B. Muna, K. M. Groth, M. St. Pierre, & M. Shurland, "Failure analysis of LNG rail locomotives," Proceedings of the 2017 Joint Rail Conference (JRC 2017), Philadelphia, PA, 4-7 April 2017.
  • E. Rabiei, E. L. Droguett, & M. Modarres, "Damage Monitoring and Prognostics in Composites via Dynamic Bayesian Networks," Proceedings of the 61st Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS 2017), Orlando, FL, 23-26 January 2017.

2016

  • R. Boring, D. Mandelli, M. Rasmussen, S. Herberger, T. Ulrich, K. Groth, & C. Smith, "Human unimodel for nuclear technology to enhance reliability (HUNTER): A framework for computation-based human reliability analysis," Proceedings of the International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM 13), Seoul, South Korea, 2-7 October 2016.
  • M. Dennis, M. Modarres, & M. Mosleh, "Framework for Assessing Integrated Site Risk of Small Modular Reactors Using Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment Simulation," Proceedings of Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management Conference (PSAM 13), Seoul, South Korea, 2-7 October 2016.
  • T. Zhou, M. Modarres, & E. L. Droguett, "Multi-Unit Probabilistic Risk Assessment with Application to Seismic Events at a Two-Unit Site," Proceedings of Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management Conference (PSAM 13), Seoul, South Korea, 2-7 October 2016. 
  • R. Smith & M. Modarres, "Tools for Analysis of Accelerated Life and Degradation Test Data," Proceedings of the Accelerated Stress Testing and Reliability (ASTR), Pensacola Beach, FL, 28-30 September 2016.
  • A. Azhar, E. L. Gralla, C. Tobias, & J. W. Herrmann, "Identification of Subproblems in Complex Design Problems: A Study of Facility Design," IDETC2016-60397, Proceedings of the ASME 2016 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences & Computers and Information in Engineering Conference, IDETC/CIE 2016, Charlotte, NC, 21-24 August 2016.
  • J. W. Herrmann, "Decision Making in Course Design," IDETC2016-59047, Proceedings of the ASME 2016 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences & Computers and Information in Engineering Conference, IDETC/CIE 2016, Charlotte, NC, 21-24 August 2016.
  • A. Kahirdeh, H. Yun, C. Sauerbrunn, M. Modarres, "Can Energy Dissipation and Entropy Production Charaterize Damage Evolution in Loaded Solid Materials?" 2016 Max ENT Conference, Ghent, Belgium, 10-15 July 2016.
  • R. Smith, M. Modarres, "Small Crack Fatigue Growth and Dectection Modeling with Uncertainty Analysis and Acoustic Emission Application," 2016 International Work-Conference on Time Series Analysis (ITISE 2016), Granada, Spain, 27-29 June 2016.
  • T. Zhou, E. Droquett, M. Modarres, "A Hybrid Probabilistic Physics of Failure Pattern Recognition based Approach for Assesment of Multi-unit Casual Dependencies," Proceedings of the 2016 24th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering (ICONE24), Charlotte, NC, 26-30 June 2016.
  • D. Leber & J. W. Herrmann, "Sequential Sample Allocation for Multiple Attribute Selection Decisions," Proceedings of the 2016 Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference, Anaheim, CA, 22-25 May 2016.
  • T. B. Jones, M. C. Darling, K. M. Groth, M. R. Denman, & G. F. Luger, "A dynamic Bayesian network for diagnosing nuclear power plant accidents," The 29th International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society (FLAIRS 29), Key Largo, FL, 16-18 May 2016.
  • C. Sauerbrunn, M. Modarres, "Effects of Material Variation on Acoustic Emissions-Based, Large-Crack Growth Model" 25th American Society for Nondestructive Testing (ANST2016) Research Symposium, New Orleans, LA, 11-16 April 2016. 

2015

  • T. Zhou, E. Lopez Droguett, & M. Modarres, "A Hybrid Probabilistic Physics of Failure Pattern Recognition based Approach for Assessment of Multi-Unit Casual Dependencies," Topical PSAM Meeting on Safety and Reliability of Oil and Gas Exploration and Production, Rio de Janerio, Brazil, 23-25 November 2015.
  • A. Imanian & M. Modarres, "Corrosion-Fatigue Structural Integrity Assessment Using a Thermodynamic Entropy Based Damage Approach," International Mechanical Engineering Congress and Exposition (IMECE 2015), Houston, TX, 13-15 November 2015.
  • K. M. Groth & E. S. Hecht, "HyRAM: A methodlogy and toolkit for quantitative risk assessment of hydrogen systems," Proceedings of the International Conference on Hydrogen Safety (ICHS 2015), Yokohama, Japan, 19-21 October 2015.
  • A. C. LaFleur, A. B. Muna, & K. M. Groth, "Application of quantitative risk assessment for performance-based permitting of hydrogen fueling stations," Proceedings of the International Conference on Hydrogen Safety (ICHS 2015), Yokohama, Japan, 19-21 October 2015. 
  • C. San Marchi, E. S. Hecht, I. W. Ekoto, K. M. Groth, C. LaFleur, B. P. Somerday, R. Mukundan, & T. Rockward, "Advances in research and development to enhance the scientific basis for hydrogen regulations, codes, and standards," Proceedings of the International Conference on Hydrogen Safety (ICHS 2015), Yokohama, Japan, 19-21 October 2015.
  • J. Schneider, G. Dang-Nhu, N. Hart, & K. Groth, "ISO 19880-1, hydrogen feuling station and vehicle interface safety technical report," Proceedings of the International Conference on Hydrogen Safety (ICHS 2015), Yokohama, Japan, 19-21 October 2015.
  • T. Skjold, D. Siccama, H. Hisken, A. Brambilla, P. Middha, K. M. Groth, & A. C. LaFleur, "3D risk management for hydrogen installations (Hy3DRM)" Proceedings of the International Conference on Hydrogen Safety (ICHS 2015), Yokohama, Japan, 19-21 October 2015.
  • M. Dennis, M. Modarres, A. Mosleh, "Framework for assessing integrated site risk of small modular reactors using dynamic probabilistic risk assessment simulation," European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2015), Zürich, Switzerland, 7-10 September 2015.
  • K. M. Groth, M. R. Denman, T. Jones, M. Darling, & G. Luger, "Proof-of-concept accident diagnostic support for sodium fast reactors," Proceedings of the European Society for Reliability Annual Meeting (ESREL 2015), Zürich, Switzerland, 7-10 September 2015.
  • E. Rabiei, E. López Droguett, M. Modarres, "Damage Precursor Based Structural Health Monitoring and Damage Prognosis Framework," European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2015), Zürich, Switzerland, 7-10 September 2015.
  • T. Zhou, E. López Droguett, M. Modarres, "A Hybrid Probabilistic Physics of Failure Pattern Recognition based Approach for Assessment of Multi-unit Causal Dependencies," European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2015), Zürich, Switzerland, 7-10 September 2015.
  • K. Zwirglmaier, D. Straub, & K. M. Groth, "Framework for a Bayesian network version of IDHEAS," Proceedings of the European Society for Reliability Annual Meeting (ESREL 2015), Zurich Switzerland, 7-10 September 2015.
  • E. Rudnick-Cohen, J. W. Herrmann, & S. Azarm, "Risk-based path planning optimization methods for UAVs over inhabited areas," DETC2015-47407, Proceedings of the ASME 2015 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences & Computers and Information in Engineering Conference, IDETC/CIE 2015, Boston, MA, 2-5 August 2015.
  • C. Tobias, J. W. Herrmann, & E. L. Gralla, "Exploring Problem Decomposition in Design Team Discussions," International Conference on Engineering Design, Milan, Italy, 27-30 July 2015.
  • S. Krueger, R. Strunz, & J. W. Herrmann, "A liquid rocket engine conceptual design tradeoff methodology using an a priori articulation of preference information with epistemic uncertainties," 51st AIAA/SAE/ASEE Joint Propulsion Conference, Orlando, FL, 27-29 July 2015.
  • A. Kahirdeh, C. Sauerbrunn, & M. Modarres, "Acoustic Emission Entropy as a Measure of Damage in Materials" Proceedings of the 35th International Workshop on Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering (MaxEnt 2015), Potsdam, NY, 19-24 July 2015.
  • A. Imanian, M. Modarres, "Development of a Generalized Entropic Framework for Damage Assessment with Application to Corrosion Fatigue," ASME 2015 Applied Mechanics and Materials Conference, McMAT2015, 29 June-1 July, 2015, Seattle WA.
  • M. Amiri, M. Modarres, & E. Lopez Droguett, "AE Entropy for Detection of Fatigue Crack Initiation and Growth," 2015 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (PHM 2015), Austin, TX, 22-25 June 2015.
  • A. Imanian, M. Modarres, "A Thermodynamic Entropy Based Approach for Prognosis and Health Management with Application to Corrosion Fatigue," 2015 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (PHM2015), Austin, TX, 22-25 June 2015.
  • E. Rudnick-Cohen, J. W. Herrmann, A. Shapour, & J. W. Herrmann, "Multi-Objective Design and Path Planning Optimization of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs)," 16th AIAA/ISSMO Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization Conference, Dallas, TX, 22-26 June 2015.
  • A. Imanian & M. Modarres, "An Entropic Theory of Damage with Applications to Corrosion-Fatigue Structural Integrity Assessment," Annual Conference & Exposition on Experimental and Applied Mechanics (SEM 2015), Costa Mesa, CA, 8-11 June 2015.
  • D. Leber, & J. W. Herrmann, "Impact of Decision and Allocation Rules on Selection Decision Quality," Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference, Nashville TN, 30 May-2 June 2015.
  • C. Pettie & J. W. Herrmann, "Information Diffusion: A Study of Twitter During Large Scale Events," Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference, Nashville, TN, 30 May-2 June 2015.
  • A. Keshtgar, M. Modarres, "Small Fatigue Crack Initiation and Sizing Using Acoustic Emission," The Annual Meeting of the Society for the Advancement of Material and Process Engineering (SAMPE2015), Baltimore, MD, 18-21 May 2015.
  • M. Dennis, M. Modarres, A. Mosleh, Z. Wang, "Framework for Assessing Integrated Site Risk of Small Modular Reactors Using Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment Simulation," International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA2015), Sun Valley, ID, 26-30 April 2015.
  • A. Imanian, M. Modarres, "Development of a Generalized Entropic Framework for Damage Assessment," International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA2015), Sun Valley, ID, 26-30 April 2015.
  • M. Modarres, "Multi-Unit Nuclear Plant Risks and Implications of the Quantitative Health Objectives," International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA2015), Sun Valley, ID, 26-30 April 2015.
  • S. Bassam, J. W. Herrmann, L. C. Schmidt, "Using SysML for model-based vulenerability assessment," Conference on Systems Engineering Research (CSER), Hoboken, NJ, 17-19 March 2015.
  • C. Iamsumang, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, "Computational Algorithm for Hybrid DBN in On-line SHM Applications," The 61st Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS2015), Tampa, FL, 26-29 January 2015.

2014

  • A. Al Tamimi, M. Modarres, "Improved Probabilistic Remaining Useful Life Estimation in Structures: Modeling Multi-site Fatigue Cracking in Oil and Gas Service Structures," Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society, Fort Worth, TX, 29 September-2 October 2014.
  • C. Iamsumang, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, "Efficient Dependency Computation for Dynamic Hybrid Bayesian Network in On-line System Health Management Applications," Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society, Fort Worth, TX, 29 September-2 October 2014.
  • A. Imanian, M. Modarres, "A Thermodynamic Entropy Based Approach for Prognosis and Health Management," Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society, Fort Worth, TX, 29 September-2 October 2014.
  • A. Imanian, M. Modarres, "A Science-Based Theory of Reliability Founded on Thermodynamic Entropy," Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management conference, Proceedings of the PSAM-12, Honolulu, HI, 22-27 June 2014.
  • C. Iamsumang, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, "Computational Algorithm for Dynamic Hybrid Bayesian Network in On-Line System Health Management Applications," Proceedings of the 2014 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management, Spokane, WA, 22-25 June 2014.
  • M. Wayne, M. Modarres, "Assessing Reliability Using Developmental and Operational Test Data," Proceedings of the RAMS-2014 Symposium, Colorado Springs, CO, 27-30 January 2014.

2013

  • K. Gromek, M. Modarres, "An Agent-Autonomy Approach to Probabilistic Physics-of-Failure Modeling of Dynamic Systems with Interacting Failure Mechanisms," Proceedings of the American Nuclear Society Meeting on Risk Management for Complex Socio-Technical Systems (RM4CSS), Washington, DC, 10-14 November 2013.
  • S. Mandelcorn, M. Modarres, and A. Mosleh, "An Explanatory Model of Cyber-Attacks Drawn from Rational Choice Theory," Proceedings of the American Nuclear Society Meeting on Risk Management for Complex Socio-Technical Systems (RM4CSS), Washington, DC, 10-14 November 2013.
  • V. Ontiveros, M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Characterization of Simulation Model Uncertainties," American Nuclear Society Meeting on Risk Management for Complex Socio-Technical Systems (RM4CSS), Washington, DC, 10-14 November 2013.
  • A. Keshtgar, M. Modarres, "Probabilistic Model Development and Application for Fatigue Crack Detection Using Acoustic Emission Technology," The International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2013), Columbia, SC, 22-25 September 2013. (Received Best Student Paper Award)
  • S. Schroer, M. Modarres, "Considering Organizational Dependencies in a Multi-Unit PRA," Proceedings of the American Nuclear Society Meeting on Risk Management for Complex Socio-Technical Systems (RM4CSS), 10-14 November 2013, Washington, D.C.
  • S. Schroer, M. Modarres, "An Event Classification Schema for Considering Site Risk in a Multi-Unit Nuclear Power Plant PRA," Proceedings of the International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2013), Columbia, SC, 22-25 September 2013.
  • M. Wayne, M. Modarres, "Estimation of Rate of Occurrence of Failure of Components Using Gaussian Process Regression Models," The International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2013), Columbia, SC, 22-25 September 2013.
  • A. Keshtgar, M. Modarres, "Detecting Crack Initiation Based on Acoustic Emission," Proceedings of Prognostics and System Health Management (PHM-2013), 22-25 September 2013, Milan, Italy, Chemical Engineering Transactions, Vol. 33, 2013.
  • K. Chatterjee, M. Modarres, J. Bernstein, D. Nicholls, "Celebrating Fifty Years of Physics of Failure," Proceedings of the 2013 Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS), Orlando, FL, 28-31 January 2013.
  • A. Keshtgar, M. Modarres, "Acoustic Emission-Based Fatigue Crack Growth Prediction," Proceedings of the 2013 Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS), Orlando, FL, 28-31 January 2013.

2012

  • K. Chatterjee and M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Approach to Support Health Management of Steam Generator Tubes Using Uncertain Inputs from In-Service Inspections," Proceedings of the 20th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering ICONE20, Anaheim, CA, 30 July-3 August 2012.
  • S. Schroer, M. Modarres, "Initial Classification of Events to Consider in A Multi-Unit PRA," Proceedings of the 20th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering ICONE20, Anaheim, CA, 30 July 30-3 August 2012.
  • M. Azarkhil and A. Mosleh, “Modeling and Simulation of the Impact of Team Characteristics on Crew Performance,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • R. Boring, D.L. Kelly, C. Smidts, A. Mosleh, and B. Dyre, “Microworlds, Simulators, and Simulation: Framework for a Benchmark of Human Reliability Data Sources,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • Y-H Chang, A. Mosleh, E.M. Roth, R.E. Richards, S-H Shen, D. Bley, and B. Kirwan, “Methodology for Collection and Analysis of Simulator Data for HRA Applications,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • K. Coyne, C. Huntera, G. DeMossa, N. Siu, Y. Li, and A. Mosleh, “Nuclear Power Plant Precursor Risk Assessment Using a Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Method,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • K. Groth, S-H Shen, J.H. Oxstrand, A. Mosleh, and D.L. Kelly, “A Model-Based Approach to HRA: Example Application and Quantitative Analysis,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • S.M.L. Hendrickson, J.A. Forester, V.N. Dang, A. Mosleh, E. Lois, and J. Xing, “HRA Method Analysis Criteria,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • R. Kazemi, M. Dierks, and A. Mosleh, “A Hybrid Methodology for Modeling Risk of Adverse Events in Complex Healthcare Settings,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • J.L. Lachance, J.N. Cardoni, Y. Li, A. Mosleh, D. Aird, D.M. Helton, and K. Coyne, “Development and Application of a Dynamic Level 1 and 2 Probabilistic Safety Assessment Tool,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • Y. Li and A. Mosleh, “Simulation of Nuclear Power Plant Operators Reasoning Process for Situation Assessment in ADS-IDAC Dynamic PRA Platform,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • Z. Mohaghegh, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Hybrid Incorporation of Physical & Social Failure Mechanisms into Probabilistic Risk Assessment,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • A. Mosleh, S-H Shen, D.L. Kelly, J.H. Oxstrand, and K. Groth, “A Model-Based Human Reliability Analysis Methodology,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • J.H. Oxstrand, D.L. Kelly, S-H Shen, A. Mosleh, and K. Groth, “A Model-Based Approach to HRA: Qualitative Analysis Methodology,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • M. Pourali and A. Mosleh, “A Bayesian Belief Network Method of Sensor Placement Optimization for System Reliability Monitoring,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • R.E. Richards, E.M. Roth, D. Bley, Y-H Chang, A. Mosleh, and A. Koonce, “Human Performance/Error Data Collection for Incident Analysis via Timeline Generation Method and Tool: A Case Study,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • E.M. Roth, A. Mosleh, Y-H Chang, R.E. Richards, D. Bley, S-H Shen, and A. Zoulis, “Model-based Framework for Characterizing Contextual Factors for HRA Applications,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • C. Smith and A. Mosleh, “Quantifying Impact of Project Risk Decisions and Dependencies Within an Integrated Methodology,” Proceedings of  the 11th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-11), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and M. Modarres, "A Mechanistic Perspective to Utilize Probabilistic Physics-Of-Failure in Common Cause Failure Modeling," Proceedings of the 11th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM) Conference & The Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • G. Wu, M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic-Mechanistic Approach to Modeling Stress Corrosion Cracking Propagation in Alloy 600 Components With Applications," Proceedings of the 11th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM) Conference & The Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL), Helsinki, Finland, 25-29 June 2012.
  • A. Schleder, M. Martin, M. Modarres, "The Use of Bayesian Networks in Reliability Analysis of the LNG Regasification System on a FSRU Under Different Scenarios," 22nd International Society of Offshore and Polar Engineers Conference (ISOPE-2012), Rhodes, Greece, 17-22 June 2012.
  • R. Strunz and J.W. Herrmann, Planning, Tracking, and Projecting Reliability Growth: A Bayesian Approach, Proceedings of The Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium 2012, Reno, NV, 23-26 January 2012.

Top of page

2011

  • Z. Mohaghegh and M. Modarres, "Advancing Probabilistic Risk Analysis by Enhanced Treatment of Common Cause Failures: A Mechanistic Perspective," Society for Risk Analysis, SRA 2011, 4-7 December 2011.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Physics-of-Failure Approach to Common Cause Failure in Reliability Assessment of Structures and Components," American Nuclear Society National Meeting, Washington, DC, October 30 – November 3, 2011.
  • K. Chatterjee and M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Physics-of-Failure Approach for Assessing the Frequency of Steam Generator Tube Ruptures," Transactions of the American Nuclear Society: 1st Annual SMR Conference, Washington, DC, 30 October– 3 November 2011.
  • M. Rabiei, M. Modarres and P. Hoffman, "Quantitative Methods for Structural Health Management using in-situ AE Monitoring," Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) Society, Quebec, Canada, 25-29 September 2011.
  • K. Chatterjee and M. Modarres, "A Bayesian Probabilistic Approach to Improved Health Management of Steam Generator Tubes," Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) Society, Quebec, Canada, 25-29 September 2011.
  • T.T. Pires and A. Mosleh, “Organizational interface failures: A historical perspective and risk analysis framework,” Proceedings of  the 2011 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2011), Troyes, France, 18-22 September 2011.
  • S-P Zhu, H-Z Huang, V. Ontiveros, L-P He, M. Modarres, "Probabilistic life prediction for high temperature low cycle fatigue using energy-based damage parameter and accounting for model uncertainty," ASME 2011 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences (IDETC) and Computers and Information in Engineering Conference, Washington, DC, 28-31 August 2011.
  • M. Rabiei, M. Modarres, "Bayesian Knowledge Fusion in Prognostics and Health Management of Structures," ASME 2011 Pressure Vessels and Piping Conference (PVP) Conferences, Baltimore, MD, July 17-21, 2011. 
  • Z. Mohaghegh, M. Modarres and A. Christou, "Physics-Based Common Cause Failure Modeling In Probabilistic Risk Analysis: A Mechanistic Perspective," Proceedings of the ASME 2011 Power Conference, POWER2011, Denver, CO, 12-14 July 2011.
  • Z. Mohaghegh, M. Modarres, "Common Cause Failure Modeling Using Probabilistic Physics-Of-Failure (POF) Analysis: A Mechanistic Approach," ASME Power 2011, Denver, CO, 12-14 July 2011.
  • J. Li, R. Kang, and A. Mosleh, “Reliability Sensitivity Analysis via the Likelihood Ratio Method,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability & Safety (ICRMS 2011), Guiyang, China, 12-15 June 2011.
  • M. Nuhi, T. Abu Seer, A. M. Al Tamimi, M. Modarres, A. Seibi, "Reliability Analysis for Degradation Effects of Pitting Corrosion in Carbon Steel Pipes," 11th International Conference on the Mechanical Behavior of Materials, Lake Como, Italy, 5-9 June 2011.
  • R. Smith, V. Ontiveros, G. Paradee, M. Modarres and P. Hoffman, "Probabilistic Strain Energy Life Assessment Model," 11th International Conference on the Mechanical Behavior of Materials, Lake Como, Italy, 5-9 June 2011, Pages 613–618.
  • R. Smith, V. Ontiveros, G. Paradee, M. Modarres, "A Strain Energy-Based Probabilistic Life Assessment Model," ASME Applied Mechanics and Materials Conference, McMAT-2011, Chicago, IL, 31 May-2 June 2011.
  • K. Chatterjee and M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Physics of Failure Approach to Prediction of Steam Generator Tube Rupture Frequency," PSA 2011 - International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis, Wilmington, NC, 14-17 March 2011.
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “Development and Use of a Bayesian Network to Estimate Human Error Probability,” Proceedings of  the 2011 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2011), Wilmington, NC, 13-17 March 2011.
  • V. Ontiveros and M. Modarres, "An Integrated Methodology for Assessing Model Uncertainty in Fire Simulation Codes," PSA 2011 - International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis, Wilmington, NC, 14-17 March 2011.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and M. Modarres, "Common Cause Failure Modeling Using Probabilistic Physics- Of-Failure (POF) Analysis: A Mechanistic Approach," PSA 2011 - International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis, Wilmington, NC, 14-17 March 2011.
  • M. Modarres, M. Leonard, K. Welter, J. Pottorf, "Options for Defining Large Release Frequency for Applications to the Level-2 PRA and Licensing of SMRs," PSA 2011 - International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis, Wilmington, NC, 14-17 March 2011.

Top of page

2010

  • R. Smith, M. Montemerlo, M. Modarres, "Strain Energy-Based Probabilistic Life Assessment of Dynamic Structures," Proceedings of the ASME 2010 International Mechanical Engineering Congress & Exposition, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, 12-18 November 2010.
  • D. Chrun, M. Cukier, A. Mosleh, and G. Sneeringer, “Development and Validation of an Information Security Model for Decision Makers,” Proceedings of the 2010 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2010), Rhodes, Greece, 5-9 September 2010.
  • E. LoisA. Mosleh, and J. A. Forester, “Addressing HRA Model Differences, ” Proceedings of  the 2010 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2010), Rhodes, Greece, 5-9 September 2010.
  • M. Rabiei, M. Modarres, A. Mohammad-Djafari, "Bayesian Techniques for Parameter Inference and Knowledge Fusion in Prognostics and Health Management A Case Study," 30th International Workshop on, Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, Proceedings of the American Institute of Physics, Chamonix, France, 4-9 July 2010.
  • Y. F. Khalil, M. Modarres, "Application of Safety Importance Measures to a Conceptual Baseline Design of an On-Board Reversible Hydrogen Storage System," 1st International Conference on Materials for Energy, Karlsruhe, Germany, 4-7 July 2010.
  • D. Chrun, M. Cukier, A. Mosleh, and G. Sneeringer, “Investigating the Impact of Humans in Information Technology Security: A Case Study at the University of Maryland,” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • K. Coyne and A. Mosleh, “Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment Model Calibration and Validation Using Simulator Data - Another Application of HRA Empirical Study Data,” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • V. N. Dang, J. A. Forester, and A. Mosleh, “Developing a New HRA Quantification Approach from Best Methods and Practices,” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “A Performance Shaping Factors Causal Model for Nuclear Power Plant Human Reliability Analysis,” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • S. M. Hendrickson, A. M. Whaley, R. L. Boring, Y-H Chang, S. H. Shen, A. Mosleh, J. H. Oxstrand, J. A. Forester, and D. L. Kelly, “A Mid-Layer Model for Human Reliability Analysis: Understanding the Cognitive Causes of Human Failure Events,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • R. Kazemi, A. Mosleh, and M. Dierks, “On Modeling Risk of Adverse Events in Complex Healthcare Settings,” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • A. Khoshkhou, M. Cukier, and A. Mosleh, “A Framework for Software Reliability Management Based on the Software Development Profile Model,” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • J. Li, A. Mosleh, and R. Kang, “From Blind to Guided Simulation: Biased Monte Carlo Based on Entropy and Zero Variance for Dynamic PSA Applications,” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Development of an Aviation Safety Causal Model Using Socio-Technical Risk Analysis (SoTeRiA),” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • A. Mosleh, J. A. Forester, R. L. Boring, S. M. Hendrickson, A. M. Whaley, S. H. Shen, D. L. Kelly, Y-H Chang, V. N. Dang, J. H. Oxstrand, and E. L. Lois, “A Model-Based Human Reliability Analysis Framework,” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Application of Structured Treatment of Model Uncertainty in Complex Thermal-Hydraulics System Codes,” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • M. Rabiei, M. Modarres and P. Hoffman, "Structural Fatigue-Induced Degradation: Prognostics and Health Monitoring Using Acoustic Emission," 10th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management Conference, PSAM10, Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • L.M. Ross and A. Mosleh, “Methodology for Detection and Assessment of the Impact of Informal Processes on Organizational Output,” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • S. H. Shen, A. Mosleh, D. L. Kelly, and R. L. Boring, “Example Application of Model-Based HRA Approach,” Proceedings of  the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • C. Shirazi and A. Mosleh, “Expert Panel Size vs. Accuracy of Aggregated Estimates: An Empirical Study,” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • C. Smith and A. Mosleh, “New Approach to Integrating Various Risk Types Throughout a Development Project,” Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-10), Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • K. B. Welter, R. Snuggerud, J. Pottorf, M. Modarres, I. S. Kim, "Probabilistic Risk Assessment of NuScale Reactor During the Design Phase," 10th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management Conference, PSAM10, Seattle, WA, 7-11 June 2010.
  • M. Modarres, "Risk Assessment and Management Approaches to Energy Generating Infrastructure Due to Sustained Adverse Global Environmental Conditions," Joint ICTP-IAEA Workshop on the “Vulnerability of energy systems to climate change and extreme events” ICTP, Trieste, Italy, 19-23 April, 2010.
  • C. Jackson and A. Mosleh, “Downwards Propagating: Bayesian Analysis of Complex on-demand Systems,” Proceedings of the 2010 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2010), San Jose, CA, 25-28 January 2010.
  • C. Wang and A. Mosleh, “Qualitative-Quantitative Bayesian Belief Networks for reliability and risk assessment,” Proceedings of  the 2010 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2010), San Jose, CA, 25-28 January 2010.

Top of page

2009

  • R. Johnson, J. Pottorf, M. Leonard, M. Modarres, M. Corradini, V. K. Dhir, J. Rempe, "Severe Accident Prevention and Mitigation Features of the NuScale PWR Design," American Nuclear Society National Meeting, Washington, DC, 15-19 November 2009.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Modeling Organizational Influences for New-Generation Probabilistic Risk Analysis of Technical Systems,” Proceedings of  the American Nuclear Society Risk Management Embedded Topical Meeting, Washington, DC, 15-19 November 2009.
  • V. Ontiveros, A. Cartillier, C. le Gac, M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Framework for Model Uncertainty in Fire Simulation Codes," Embedded Topical Meeting on 2009 risk management, American Nuclear Society Conference, Washington, DC, 15-19 November 2009. 
  • J. Wood, N Siu, G. Parry, D. Dube, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, "Model Uncertainty: Conceptual and Practical Issues in the Context of Risk-Informed Decision Making," Topical Meeting on 2009 risk management, American Nuclear Society Conference, Washington, DC, 14-19 November 2009. 
  • M. Rabiei, M. Modarres, P. Hoffman, "Structural Health Monitoring Using Acoustic Emission," The annual conference of the prognostics and health management society 2009, San Diego, CA, 27 September– 1 October 2009.
  • K. Coyne and A. Mosleh, “Modeling nuclear power plant operator knowledge and procedural adherence in the ADS-IDAC simulation model,” Proceedings of  the 2009 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2009), Prague, Czech Republic, 7-10 September 2009.
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “A Data-Informed Model of Performance Shaping Factors and their Interdependencies for Use in Human Reliability Analysis,” Proceedings of  the 2009 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2009), Prague, Czech Republic, 7-10 September 2009.
  • R. Kazemi, M. Dierks, and A. Mosleh, “A hybrid technique to model dynamic aspects of risk in healthcare settings,” Proceedings of  the 2009 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2009), Prague, Czech Republic, 7-10 September 2009.
  • C. Shirazi and A. Mosleh, “Data-informed calibration of experts in Bayesian framework,” Proceedings of  the 2009 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2009), Prague, Czech Republic, 7-10 September 2009.
  • M. Chookah, M. Nuhi, And M. Modarres, "Assessment Of The Integrity of Oil Pipelines Subject To Corrosion Fatigue And Pitting Corrosion," Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Integrity, Reliability and Failure, Porto, Portugal, 20-24 July 2009.
  • P. Hoffman, M. Rabiei, And M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Individual Aircraft Tracking Approach For Airframe Integrity," Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Integrity, Reliability and Failure, Porto, Portugal, 20-24 July 2009.
  • M. Modarres, "Implications of Nuclear Power Plant Regulation for Future Nuclear Plants Based on Risk and Performance Information," Proceedings of the International Conference on Nuclear Engineering (ICONE), Brussels, Belgium, 12-16 July 2009.
  • M.R. Azarkhail, V. Ontiveros, M. Modarres, "A Bayesian Framework for Model Uncertainty Considerations in Fire Simulation Codes," Proceedings of the International Conference on Nuclear Engineering (ICONE), Brussels, Belgium, 12-16 July 2009.
  • V. Ontiveros, M. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Characterization of Fire Model Uncertainty," 2nd Workshop on Model Uncertainty, Annapolis, MD, May 2009.

Top of page

2008

  • M. Chookah, M. Nuhi, M. Modarres, A. Seibi, Abu, "Development of a Probabilistic Model Structure for Reliability Assessment of Pipeline Degradation Due to Corrosion-Fatigue Cracking," Energy 2030 Symposium, Abu Dhabi, U.A.E., 4-5 November 2008.
  • P. Hoffman, D. Rusk, A. Roerden, M. Modarres and M. Rabiei, "A Hybrid Two-Phase Assessment Approach," Proceedings of the NATO RTO Applied Vehicle Technology Panel (AVT) Specialists’ Meeting, Montreal, Canada, 13-16 October 2008.
  • K. Groth, C. Wang, D. Zhu, and A. Mosleh, “Methodology and Software Platform for Multi-Layer Causal Modeling,” Proceedings of  the 2008 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2008), Valencia, Spain, 22-25 September 2008.
  • M. Chookah, M. Nuhi Faridani, M. Modarres, A. Seibi, "Development of a Probabilistic Model for Assessment of Degradation of Pipelines Due to Corrosion-Fatigue Cracking," Proceedings of the Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA’08) Conference, Knoxville, TN, 7-11 September 2008.
  • K. Coyne and A. Mosleh, "Modeling Nuclear Plant Operator Knowledge and Actions - The ADS-IDAC Simulation Approach,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 7-11 September 2008.
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “Data-Driven Modeling of Dependencies among Influencing Factors in Human-Machine Interactions,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 7-11 September 2008.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Theoretical Foundations for Building Organizational Safety Models for PRA Applications,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 7-11 September 2008.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “A Survey of Uncertainty Analysis Methodologies and Comparison with IMTHUA,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 7-11 September 2008.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, "Survey of Methodologies for Thermal-Hydraulics System Codes Uncertainty Quantification" Proceedings of the Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA’08) Conference, Knoxville, TN, 7-11 September 2008.
  • D. M. Rasmuson, A. Mosleh, and T. E. Wierman, “Some Component Insights From Analyzing NRC’s Common-Cause Failure Database,” Proceedings of  the 2008 International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), Knoxville, TN, 7-11 September 2008.
  • M. Chookah, M. Nuhi, M. Modarres, A. Seibi, "Probabilistic Model for Mechanistic Evaluation of Reliability of Oil Pipelines subject to Corrosion-Fatigue Cracking," Proceedings of the ASME 2008 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences & Computers and Information in Engineering Conference, IDETC/CIE 2008,  New York, NY,  3-6 August 2008.
  • Y-S Hu, and M. Modarres, "Fuzzy Hierarchical Modeling for Business Environment Scanning and Decision Making," Proceedings of PSAM 9 Conference, Hong Kong, China, 18-23 May 2008.
  • M. Pourgolmohamad, M. Modarres, and A. Mosleh, "Methodology for Thermal-Hydraulics Code Structure Uncertainty Assessment," PSAM 9, Hong Kong, China, 18-23 May 2008.
  • M. Pourgolmohamad, M. Modarres, and A. Mosleh, "Application of Integrated Methodology for Thermal Hydraulics Uncertainty Analysis (IMTHUA) on LOFT Test Facility Large Break Loss of Coolant Accident," PSAM 9, Hong Kong, China, 18-23 May 2008.
  • G. Valbuena, and M. Modarres, "Probabilistic Models to Estimate Fire-Induced Cable Damage At Nuclear Power Plants," PSAM 9, Hong Kong, China, 18-23 May 2008.
  • M. Pourgolmohamad, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, "IMUTHA Methods for Thermal-Hydraulics Code Structure Uncertainty Assessment," Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering, ICONE16, Orlando, Florida, 11-15 May 2008.
  • P. Hoffman, X. Wang, M. Rabiei, M. Modarres, "A Probability-Based Individual Aircraft Tracking Approach for Airframe Integrity," Aging Aircraft 2008, Phoenix, AZ, April 2008.
  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Use of heritage data and other partially applicable information in reliability prediction of systems under development,” Proceedings of  the 2008 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2008), Las Vegas, NV, 28-31 January 2008, pp. 224–230.
  • K. Groth, D. Zhu, and A. Mosleh, “Hybrid methodology and software platform for probabilistic risk assessment,” Proceedings of  the 2008 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2008), Las Vegas, NV, 28-31 January 2008, pp. 411–416.
  • M. Modarres, "Regulation of Future Nuclear Facilities Using Risk and Performance-Based Methods," Proceedings of the International Conference on Reliability, Safety and Quality Engineering (ICRSQE 2008), Mumbai, India, 5-7 January 2008.

Top of page

2007

  • H. S. Nejad, D. Zhu, and A. Mosleh, “Hierarchical planning and multi-level scheduling for simulation-based probabilistic risk assessment,” Proceedings of  the 2007 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC 2007), Washington DC, 9-12 December 2007, pp. 1189–1197.
  • M.R. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, "A Novel Bayesian Framework For Uncertainty Management In Physics-Based Reliability Models," Proceedings of ASME International Mechanical Engineering Congress and Exposition, Seattle, WA, November 11-15, 2007.
  • Z. Mohaghegh, “Multi-dimensional measurement perspective in modeling organizational safety risk,” Proceedings of  the 2007 European Safety and Reliability Association Conference (ESREL 2007), Stavanger, Norway, 25-27 June 2007.
  • M. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, "A Simulation Approach to Risk-Based Design of Complex Dynamic Systems Used in Space Missions," The Sixth IMACS Seminar on Monte Carlo Methods, Reading, UK, June 18-22, 2007.
  • Y.H. Chang, D. Mercurio, V. N. Dang, and A. Mosleh, “Recent Developments and Insights from Application of ADS-IDAC Dynamic PRA Platform,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, China, 18-23 May 2007.
  • K. Coyne and A. Mosleh, “Implementation of a Dynamic PRA Approach for the Prediction of Operator Errors During Abnormal Nuclear Power Plant Events,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, China, 18-23 May 2007.
  • Z. Mohaghegh, R. Kazemi, and A. Mosleh, “A Hybrid Technique for Organizational Safety Risk Analysis,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, China, 18-23 May 2007.
  • H. S. Nejad and A. Mosleh, “SimPRA: A Simulation-Based Probabilistic Risk Assessment Framework for Dynamic Systems,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, China, 18-23 May 2007.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, M. Modarres, and A. Mosleh, “Application of Integrated Methodology for Thermal Hydraulics Uncertainty Analysis (IMTHUA) on LOFT Test Facility Large Break Loss of Coolant Accident,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, China, 18-23 May 2007.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohammad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Methodology for Thermal-Hydraulic Code Structure Uncertainty Assessment,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference for Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, China, 18-23 May 2007.
  • A. Roelen, R. Wever, A. Mosleh, and K. Groth, “Development and Validation of a Comprehensive Hybrid Causal Model for Safety Assessment and Management of Aviation Systems,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference for Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, China, 18-23 May 2007.
  • D. Zhu, Y-H Chang, and A. Mosleh, “The Use of Distributed Computing for Dynamic PRA: The ADS Approach,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, China, 18-23 May 2007.
  • D. Zhu, K. Groth, and A. Mosleh, “A PRA Software Platform for Hybrid Causal Logic Risk Models,” Proceedings of  the 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-9), Hong Kong, China, 18-23 May 2007.
  • Xiangyu Wang, M. Modarres, Paul Hoffman, "Probabilistic-Based P-3 Airframe Integrity Management," Aging Aircraft 2007, Palm Springs, CA April 18, 2007.
  • M. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, "Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation For Estimating Simulation For Estimating Accelerated Life Model Accelerated Life Model Parameters," 53rd Annual Reliability & Maintainability Symposium (RAMS), Orlando, FL, Jan. 2007.

Top of page

2006

  • K. Fretz, G. Valbuena, M. Modarres, "Engineering-Based Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Food Safety with Application to Escherichia coli O157:H7 Contamination in Cheese," Society for Risk Analysis Annual Conference, Baltimore, MD, 3-6 December 2006.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, M. Modarres, and A. Mosleh, “Modified Phenomena Identification and Ranking Table (PIRT) for Uncertainty Analysis,” Proceedings of  the ICONE14 International Conference on Nuclear Engineering, Miami, FL, 17-20 July 2006.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Treatment of Uncertainties; Output Updating in Complex Thermal-Hydraulics (TH) Computational Codes,” Proceedings of  the ICONE14 International Conference on Nuclear Engineering, Miami, FL, 17-20 July 2006.
  • F. J. Groen and E. L. Droguett, “Prior specification for multi-failure mode weibull reliability models,” Proceedings of  the 2006 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2006), Newport Beach, CA, 14-16 June 2006, pp. 201–207.
  • A. Jacopino, F.J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “Modelling imperfect inspection and maintenance in defence aviation through Bayesian analysis of the KIJIMA type I general renewal process (GRP),” Proceedings of  the 2006 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2006), Newport Beach, CA, 14-16 June 2006, pp. 470–475.
  • M. Modarres,  M. Amoedo, "A Structured Methodology for Identifying Performance Metrics and Monitoring Maintenance Effectiveness," Proceedings of  the 2006 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2006), Newport Beach, CA, 14-16 June 2006.
  • S. W. Yates and A. Mosleh, “A Bayesian approach to reliability demonstration for aerospace systems,” Proceedings of  the 2006 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2006), Newport Beach, CA, 14-16 June 2006, pp. 611–617.
  • M. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, "An Intelligent Agent-Oriented Approach to Risk Analysis Of Complex Dynamic Systems With Applications In Planetary Missions," PSAM-8 Conference, New Orleans, LA, 14-18 May 2006.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Nuclear Power Plant Crew Problem Solving Behavior According to IDAC,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 14-18 May 2006.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Performance Influencing Factors Modeling in the IDAC Model,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 14-18 May 2006.
  • F.J. Groen and A. Mosleh, “An Algorithm for the Quantification of Hybrid Causal Logic Models,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 14-18 May 2006.
  • Y. Hu, H. Nejad, D. Zhu, and A. Mosleh, “Solution of Phased-Mission Benchmark Problem Using the SIMPRA Dynamic PRA Methodology,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 14-18 May 2006.
  • J. Hurtado, M. Modarres, "A Bayesian Approach to Airframe Reliability Management," PSAM-8 Conference, New Orleans, LA, 14-18 May 2006.
  • A. Mosleh and Z. Mohaghegh, “A Causal Modeling Framework for Assessing Organizational Factors and their Impacts on Safety Performance,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 14-18 May 2006.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “A general thermal hydraulics uncertainty analysis methodology,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 14-18 May 2006.
  • D. Zhu, A. Mosleh, and C. Smidts, “Software Modelling In A Dynamic PRA Environment,” Proceedings of  the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-8), New Orleans, LA, 14-18 May 2006.
  • M. M. Amoedo, M. Modarres, "A Structured Methodology for Identifying Performance Metrics and Monitoring Maintenance Effectiveness," Proceedings of the Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS) Symposium, Long Beach CA, 23-26 Jan. 2006.

Top of page

2005

  • K. Fretz, M. Modarres, "Probabilistic Risk Assessment Model to Study Risk of E. coli O157:H7 Contamination in Hard Cheeses," Society for Risk Analysis, Orlando, FL, 4-7 December 2005.
  • C. E. Barroeta, M. Modarres, "Risk and Economic Estimation of Inspection Interval for Periodically Tested Repairable Components," PSA'05, San Francisco, CA, 11-15 September 2005.
  • Y. S. Hu and M. Modarres, "Applying Fuzzy Logic-Based Function-Centered Hierarchies As Inference Engines for Self-Learning Manufacturing Processes," The Second International Conference on Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery, Changsha, China, 27-29 August 2005. 
  • P. Hoffman, J. Hurtado, M. Modarres, "Bayesian Approach to P-3 Structural Integrity Management," 30th Conference and Symposium of the International Committee on Aeronautical Fatigue (ICAF) 2005, Berlin, Germany, June 2005.
  • F.J. Groen and E. L. Droguett, “Competing failure mode modeling in a bayesian reliability assessment tool,” Proceedings of  the 2005 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2005), Alexandria, VA, 24-27 January 2005, pp. 393–397.

2004

  • M. Modarres and Yu-Shu Hu, "Characterization and Modeling of Complex Engineering Systems," Proceedings of the International Workshop on Software Systems, Published by Springer for IFAC, Istanbul, Turkey, Sept. 2004.
  • Y-H Chang, K. Almenas, A. Mosleh, and D. Bessette, “Thermal-Hydraulic Uncertainty Analysis in the Context of Pressurized Thermal Shock Risk Scenarios,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 14-18 June 2004.
  • Y-H Chang, A. Mosleh, and A. P. Macwan, “Insights from Analysis of Procedural Errors in Telecommunications Industry,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 14-18 June 2004.
  • E. L. Droguett, F. J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “Bayesian Methodology for Reliability Assessment of Products under Development: Application to a Medical Diagnostic System,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 14-18 June 2004.
  • F. J. Groen, A. Mosleh, and E. L. Droguett, “Treatment of Partial Homogeneity in Population Variability Analysis of Data,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 14-18 June 2004.
  • Y. Hu, F.J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “An Entropy-Based Exploration Strategy in Dynamic PRA,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 14-18 June 2004.
  • A. Mosleh, A. Dias, G. Eghbali, and K. Fazen, “An Integrated Framework for Identification, Classification, and Assessment of Aviation Systems Hazards,” Proceedings of  the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Management and Assessment (PSAM-7), Berlin, Germany, 14-18 June 2004.
  • M. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, "A Study of Implications of Using Importance Measures in Risk-Informed Decisions," PSAM-7, ESREL 04 Joint Conference, Berlin, Germany, 14-18 June 2004. 
  • M. Pourgolmohamad, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, "A General Thermal Hydraulics Uncertainty Analysis," PSAM-7, ESREL 04 Joint Conference, Berlin, Germany, 14-18 June 2004.
  • F.J. Groen, S. Jiang, A. Mosleh, and E. L. Droguett, “Reliability data collection and analysis system,” Proceedings of  the 2004 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2004), Los Angeles, CA, 2004, pp. 43–48.
  • A. Jacopino, F.J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “Behavioural study of the general renewal process,” Proceedings of  the 2004 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2004), Los Angeles, CA, 2004, pp. 237–242.

Top of page

2003

  • M. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, "A Study of Implications of Using Importance Measures in System Safety and Security," Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Baltimore, MD 7-10 December 2003.
  • N. Eisenberg, M. Modarres, "Risk Approaches for Enhanced Security of Facilities and Activities," Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Baltimore, MD, 7-10 December 2003.
  • K. Fritz, M. Modarres, "Engineering-Based Risk Analysis of Food Processes with Applications," Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Baltimore, MD, 7-10 December 2003.
  • M. Pourgolmohamad, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, "Application of Bayes Theorem on Thermal Hydraulics Uncertainty Analysis," Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Baltimore, MD, 7-10 December 2003.
  • F. J. Groen and E. L. Droguett, “Bayesian estimation of the variability of reliability measures,” Proceedings of  the 2003 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2003), Tampa, FL, 27-30 January 2003, pp. 182–187.
  • M. Modarres, "Engineering Risk Analysis Experience at the University of Maryland," Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Baltimore, MD 7-10 December 2003.
  • T. Fang and M. Modarres, "Probabilistic and Deterministic Treatments for Multiple Flaws in Reactor Pressure Vessel Safety Analysis," 17th Mechanics in Reactor Technology, SMiRT-17 biennial Conference, Prague, Czech Republic, August 2003.

 

​​2002

  • Eli Avidor, F. Joglar-Billoch, F. Mowrer, M. Modarres, "Hazard assessment of fire risk in electrical cabinets," PSA’02, Detroit, MI, November 2002.
  • M. Modarres, "Comparative Fire Risk of CNG and Diesel Buses," Panel on CNG Health and Safety, SAE International Truck & Bus Meeting & Exhibition, Detroit, MI, November 2002. 
  • F.J. Groen, A. Mosleh, and C. Smidts, “Automated Modeling and Analysis of Common Cause Failure with QRAS,” Proceedings of the 20th International System Safety Conference, Denver, CO, 5-9 August 2002.
  • M. Modarres and Y-S Hu, "A Characterization and Modeling of Complex Engineering Systems," 6th International Functional Modeling Workshop, College Park, MD, July 2002.
  • S. Chamberlain, M. Modarres, "Overview of Risk Issues in Compressed Natural Gas Vehicles," International PSAM 6 Conference, Puerto Rico, 20-23 June 2002.
  • N. Eisenberg, B. Silverberg, M. Modarres, D. Trachewsky, "Food Safety Risk Communication Training," International PSAM 6 Conference, San Juan, Puerto Rico, 20-23 June 2002.
  • F.J. Groen and A. Mosleh, “A Comparison of Methods for Representing the Meaning of Uncertain Evidence,” Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-6), San Juan, Puerto Rico, 20-23 June 2002.
  • F. Li, M. Modarres, "Fracture Toughness (KIc) Uncertainty Characterization and Treatment," International PSAM 6 Conference, Puerto Rico, 20-23 June 2002.
  • M. Modarres, "Risk-Informed Plant Security Analysis," Transactions of the American Nuclear Society Annual Meeting, Hollywood, FL, June 2002.
  • F. Li and M. Modarres, "Uncertainty Characterization of Reactor Vessel Fracture Toughness for Risk-Informed Applications," Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering Sponsored by ASME, Arlington, VA, April 2002.
  • F.J. Groen, C. Smidts, and A. Mosleh, “QRAS – The Quantitative Risk Assessment System,” Proceedings of the 2002 Reliability and Maintenance Symposium (RAMS 2002), Seattle, WA, 28-31 January 2002.
  • M. Yanez, F. Joglar, M. Modarres, "Applications of the Generalized Renewal Process in Repairable Systems," 2002.

Top of page

2001

  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Assessment of Model Uncertainty - a Bayesian Approach,” Proceedings of  the 2001 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2001), Torino, Italy, 16-20 September 2001.
  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Methodology for the Treatment of Model Uncertainty - Applications to Fire Risk Models,” Proceedings of  the 2001 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2001), Torino, Italy, 16-20 September 2001.
  • F.J. Groen and A. Mosleh, “Principles of Uncertain Evidence in the Context of a Failure Rate Assessment Problem,” Proceedings of  the 2001 Annual Conference of the European Society for Reliability (ESREL 2001), Torino, Italy, 16-20 September 2001.
  • Z. Tan, F.J. Groen, and A. Mosleh, “An Extension of the FMEA Technology for Identifying System Failures due to Interactions,” Proceedings of  the 19th International System Safety Conference, Huntsville AL, 10-14 September 2001. (Best Paper Award)
  • "Development of Thermal hydraulic Screening Criteria for Pressurized Thermal Shock Analysis," Proceedings of the 16th Mechanics in Reactor Technology or SMiRT-16 biennial Conference, August 2001.
  • F. Li, M. Modarres, "Characterization of Uncertainty in the Measurement of Nuclear Reactor Vessel Fracture Toughness and Probability of Vessel Failure," Transactions of the American Nuclear Society Annual Meeting, Milwaukee, WI, June 2001.
  • M. Yañez, F. Joglar and M. Modarres, "Advances in the Assessment of Availability and Reliability of Repairable Aerospace Systems," Workshop on Nondeterministic Approaches and Their Potential for Future Aerospace Systems, Langley Research Center, Hampton VA, NASA/CP-2001-211050, May 2001.

2000

  • K. Fretz, Y.S. Hu, M. Modarres, "Using Engineering Probabilistic Risk Assessment Methods in Food Safety," Proceedings of the Annual Society for Risk Analysis Conference, December 2000.
  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Methodology For The Treatment Of Model Uncertainty,” Proceedings of  the 5th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-5), Tokyo, Japan, 27 November -1 December 2000. 
  • E. L. Droguett, A. Mosleh, F. Joglar, and F. Mowrer, “Methodology for the Treatment of Model Uncertainty: An Application to Fire Risk Models,” Proceedings of  the 5th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-5), Tokyo, Japan, 27 November-1 December 2000.
  • F. Li, M. Modarres, and M. Natishan, "KIC/ KIC Uncertainty Characterization," Proceedings of the IAEA Specialists Meeting on “Methodology and Supporting Research for the Pressurized Thermal Shock Evaluation,” Rockville, MD, July 2000.
  • F. Joglar-Billoch, F. W. Mowrer, and M. Modarres, "Description of a Two-Zone Fire Model for Hazard Screening," Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering Sponsored by ASME, Baltimore, MD, April 2000.
  • M. Modarres, "Consideration of Uncertainty in Ranking of Components for Risk-Informed Applications," Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering Sponsored by ASME, Baltimore, MD, April 2000.
  • F. Li, M. Modarres, "A Combined PRA and Thermal-Hydraulics Analysis For Integrated Scenario Screening," Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering Sponsored by ASME, Baltimore, MD, April 2000.

Top of page

 

 

2019

  • K.M. Groth, R. Smith, and R. Moradi, "A hybrid approach to HRA using simulator data, causal models, and cognitive science," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, vol. 191, no. 11, 2019.
  • K. M. Groth, M. R. Denman, T. B. Jones, M.C. Darling, & G. F. Luger, "Building and using dynamic risk-informed diagnosis procedures for complex system accidents," Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, 2019.
  • S. F. Karimian, H. A. Bruck, and M. Modarres, "Acoustic Emission Waveform Entropy for Detecting Fatigue Crack Initiation in Aluminum Alloy," International Journal of Fatigue, (Submitted, March 2019).
  • R. Moradi and K.M. Groth, "Hydrogen Storage and Delivery: Review of the state of the art technologies and risk and reliability analysis," International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, vol. 44, no. 23, pp. 12245-12269, 2019.
  • D. Verstraete, E. Droguett, A. Ferrada, V. Meruane, M. Modarres, "Deep Semi-Supervised Generative Adversarial Fault Diagnostics of Rolling Element Bearings," Structural Health Monitoring Journal, (Accepted, April 2019).

2018

  • M. C. Darling, G.F. Luger, T.B. Jones, M.R. Denman, & K.M. Groth, "Intelligent modeling for nuclear power plant accident management," International Journal of Artificial Intelligence Tools, vol. 27, no. 2, 2018.
  • E. Gralla, J. W. Herrmann, & M. Morency, "Design Problem Decomposition: An Empirical Study of Small Teams of Facility Designers," Research in Engineering Design, pp. 1-25, 2018.
  • R. Heidary, S. Gabriel, M. Modarres, K. Groth, and N. Vahdati, "A Review of Oil and Gas Pipeline Pitting Corrosion Growth Models Applicable for Prognostic and Health Management," International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management, vol. 9, 2018.
  • J. W. Herrmann, M. Morency, A. Anparasan, & E. Galla, "Evaluating Clustering Algorithms for Identifying Design Subproblems," Journal of Mechanical Design, vol. 140, pp. 081401-1-12, 2018.
  • C. Iamsumang, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, "Monitoring and Learning Algorithms for Dynamic Hybrid Bayesian Network in On-line System Health Management Applications," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, vol. 178, pp. 118-129, 2018.
  • A. Keshtgar, C. Sauerbrunn, M. Modarres, "Structural Reliability Prediction Using Acoustic Emission-based Modeling of Fatigue Crack Growth," Applied Sciences, vol. 8, no. 8, pp. 1225, 2018.
  • E. Rabiei, E. Droguett and M. Modarres, "Fully Adaptive Particle Filtering Algorithm for Damage Diagnosis and Prognosis," Entropy, vol. 20, no. 100, 2018.
  • R. Smith, M. Modarres, E. Droguett, "A Recursive Bayesian Approach to Small Fatigue Crack Propagation and Detection Modeling," Journal of Risk and Reliability, vol. 232, pp. 738-753, 2018.
  • T. Zhou, M. Modarres, E. L. Droguett, "An Improved Multi-Unit Nuclear Plant Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment Approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, vol. 171, pp. 34-37, 2018.

2017

  • K. M. Groth and E. S. Hecht, "HyRAM: A methodology and toolkit for quantitative risk assessment of hydrogen systems," International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, vol. 42, no. 11, p. 7485-7493, 2017.
  • D. Hudson, M. Modarres, "Multi-Unit Accident Contributions to Quantitative Health Objectives: A Safety Goal Policy Analysis," Nuclear Technology Journal, 2017
  • A. Imanian and M. Modarres, "A Thermodynamic Entropy-Based Damage Assessment with Applications to Prognosis and Health Management," Structural Health Monitoring, vol. 2017, pp. 1-5, 2017.
  • Kahirdeh, C. Sauerbrunn, H. Yun, and M. Modarres, "A Parametric Approach to Acoustic Entropy Estimation for Assessment of Fatigue Damage," International Journal of Fatigue, 2017.
  • A. Keshtgar and M. Modarres, "Fatigue Crack Initiation Sizing Using Acoustic Emission," Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture, vol. 11, pp. 1112-1122, 2017.
  • A. C. LaFleur, A. B. Muna, & K. M. Groth, "Application of quantitative risk assessment for performance-based permitting of hydrogen fueling stations," International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, vol. 42(11),  pp. 7529-7535, 2017.
  • M. Modarres, T. Zhou, and M. Massoud, "Advances in Multi-Unit Nuclear Power Plant Probabilistic Risk Assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, vol. 157, pp. 87–100, 2017.
  • M. Modarres, T. Zhou, and M. Massoud, "Advances in Multi-Unit Nuclear Power Plant Probabilistic Risk Assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, vol. 157, pp. 87-100, 2017.
  • C. San Marchi, E. S. Hecht, I. W. Ekoto, K. M. Groth, C. LaFleur, B. P. Somerday, R. Mukundan, T. Rockward, J. Keller, & C. W. James, "Overview of the DOE hydrogen safety, codes and standards program, part 3: Advances in research and development to enhance the scientific basis for hydrogen regulations, codes, and standards," International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, vol. 42, no. 11, pp. 7263-7274, 2017.
  • C. M. Sauerbrunn, A. Kahirdeh, H. Yun, M. Modarres, "Damage Assessment Using Information Entropy of Individual Acoustic Emission Waveforms During Cyclic Fatigue Loading," Applied Sciences, vol. 7, no. 562, 2017.
  • I. M. Shuggi, P. A. Shewokis, J. W. Herrmann, & G. Rodolphe, "Changes in motor performance and mental workload during learning of reaching movements: A team dynamics perspective," Experimental Brain Research, vol. 236, no. 2, pp. 433-451, 2017.
  • T. Skjold, D. Siccama, H. Hisken, A. Brambilla, P. Middha, K. M. Groth, & A. C. LaFleur, "3D risk management for hydrogen installations," International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, vol. 42, no. 11, pp. 7721-7730, 2017.
  • D. Verstraete, E. Droguett, V. Meruane, M. Modarres, and A. Ferrada, "Deep Learning Enabled Fault Diagnosis Using Time-Frequency Image Analysis of Rolling Element Bearings," Shock and Vibration, vol. 2017, 2017.
  • K. Zwirglmaier, D. Straub, & K. M. Groth, "Capturing cognitive casual paths in human reliability analysis with Bayesian network models," Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 158, pp. 117-129, 2017.

2016

  • B.R. Champion and S.A. Gabriel, "A Multistage Stochastic Energy Model with Endogenous Probabilities and a Rolling Horizon", Energy and Buildings, vol. 135, pp. 338-349, 2016.
  • A. Imanian and M. Modarres, "Thermodynamics as a Fundamental Science of Reliability," Journal of Risk and Reliability, v. 230, no. 6, pp. 598 - 608, 2016.
  • C.S. Jackson and M. Modarres, "Sensor-Based Bayesian Inference and Placement: Review and Examples," International Journal of Performability, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 13-32, 2016.
  • S. Siddiqui and S.A. Gabriel, "Modeling Market Power in the U.S. Shale Gas Market,” Optimization and Engineering, pp. 1-11, 2016.
  • A. Keshtgar and M. Modarres, "Probabilistic Approach for Nondestructive Detection of Fatigue Crack Initiation and Sizing," International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management, vol. 7 no. 019, p. 1-10, 2016.
  • S. Mukherjee, M. Nuhi, A. Dasgupta, M. Modarres, "Creep Constitutive Models Suitable for Solder Alloys in Electronic Assemblies," ASME Journal of Electronic Packaging, vol. 138, pp. 030801, 2016.
  • V. Ontiveros, M. Amiri, A. Kahirdeh, M. Modarres, "Thermodynamic Entropy Generation in the Course of the Fatigue Crack Initiation," Fatigue & Fracture Engineering of Material Structures, vol. 40, no. 3, pp. 1-12, 2016.
  • E. Rabiei, E. L. Droguett, and M. Modarres, "A Prognostics Approach Based on the Evolution of Damage Precursors using Dynamic Bayesian Networks," Advances in Mechanical Engineering, vol. 8, no. 9, pp. 1–19, 2016.
  • E.S. Rudnick-Cohen, J.W. Herrmann, and S. Azarm, " Risk-Based Path Planning Optimization Methods For UAVs Over Inhabited Areas," ASME Journal of Computing and Information Science in Engineering, vol. 16, no. 2, 021004, 2016.

2015

  • S. Hamid, C. Jacinto, R. Izetti, H. Pinto, E.L. Droguett, C. Edwards, J. Cassidy, H. Zhang, P. Dagenais, and M. Batocchio, “A Practical Method of Predicting Calcium Carbonate Scale Formation in Well Completions,” SPE Production & Operations, vol. 1, pp. 1, 2015.
  • F. Ibisoglu and M. Modarres, "Probabilistic Life Models for Steel Structures Subject to Creep-Fatigue Damage," International Journal of Prognosis and Health Management, vol.6 (Special Issue Nuclear Energy PHM), pp. 023, 2015.
  • J. W. Herrmann, "Predicting the Performance of a Design Team Using a Markov Chain Model," IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, vol. 62, no. 4, pp. 507-516, 2015.
  • J. W. Herrmann, W. Rand, B. Schein, & N. Vodopivec, "An Agent-Based Model of Urgent Diffusion in Social Media," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 18, no. 2, pp. 1, 2015.
  • A. Imanian and M. Modarres, "A Thermodynamic Entropy Approach to Reliability Assessment with Applications to Corrosion Fatigue," Entropy, vol. 17, pp. 6995-7020, 2015.
  • K. G. King & J. W. Herrmann, "Defining and Assessing the Learning Outcomes of a Multidisciplinary Undergraduate Honors Program," Quality Approaches in Higher Education, vol. 6, no. 1, 2015.
  • H. Liao, K. Groth, & S. Stevens-Adams, "Challenges in leveraging existing human performance data for quantifying the IDHEAS HRA method," Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 144, pp. 159-169, 2015.
  • I.D. Lins, E.A.L. Droguett, M. Moura, E. Zio, and C.M.C. Jacinto, “Computing confidence and prediction intervals of industrial equipment degradation by bootstrapped support vector regression,” Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, vol. 137, pp. 120-128, 2015.
  • A. Martinez, G. Lara, R. Pascual, and E.A.L. Droguett, “Optimal Failure-Finding Intervals for Heat Shields in a Gas Turbine Combustion Chamber Using a Multicriteria Approach,” Journal of Engineering for Gas Turbines and Power, vol. 137, pp. 072501, 2015.
  • M. Moura, I.D. Lins, E.A.L. Droguett, R. Soares, and R. Pascual, "A Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm for determining efficient Risk-Based Inspection programs," Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, vol. 133, pp. 253-265, 2015.
  • V. Ontiveros and M. Modarres, "Estimation of Reliability of Structures Subject to Fatigue Loading Using Plastic Strain Energy and Thermodynamic Entropy Generation," Journal of Risk and Reliability, vol. 229 no. 3, pp. 220-236, 2015.
  • R.N. Tamburello and J.W. Herrmann, "A simulation-based approach to determine the evaluation adequacy of system-of-systems operational test configurations," Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, vol. 229, no. 1, pp. 46-51, 2015. 

2014

  • M. Amiri and M. Modarres, "Short Fatigue Crack Initiation and Growth in Aluminum 7075-T6," Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part C: J Mechanical Engineering Science, vol. 227, no. 7, pp. 1206-1214, 2014.
  • M. Amiri and M. Modarres, "An Entropy-Based Damage Characterization," Entropy 2014, vol. 16, pp. 6434-6463, 2014.
  • H. De Oliveira Duarte, E.A.L. Droguett, M. Moura, E.C. De Souza Gomes, C. Barbosa, V. Barbosa, and M. Araújo, “An Ecological Model for Quantitative Risk Assessment for Schistosomiasis: The Case of a Patchy Environment in the Coastal Tropical Area of Northeastern Brazil,” Risk Analysis, vol. 34, pp. 831-846, 2014.
  • E.A.L. Droguett, A. Mosleh, “Bayesian Treatment of Model Uncertainty for Partially Applicable Models,” Risk Analysis, vol. 34, pp. 252-270, 2014.
  • E.A.L. Droguett, I.D. Lins, M. Moura, E. Zio, and C.M.C. Jacint, “Variable selection and uncertainty analysis of scale growth rate under pre-salt oil wells conditions using support vector regression,” Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers. Part O, Journal of Risk and Reliability, vol. 229, no. 4, pp. 319-326, 2014.
  • K. M. Groth, C. L. Smith, & L. P. Swiler, "A Bayesian method for using simulator data to enhance human error probabilities assigned by existing HRA methods," Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 128, pp. 32-40, 2014.
  • F.S. Leite, M.A. Silva, M. Araujo, R.A. Silva, E.A.L. Droguett, “Modeling Subsurface Gas Release in Tropical and Shallow Waters: Comparison with Field Experiments off Brazil's Northeast Coast,” Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: An International Journal, vol. 20, pp. 150-173, 2014.
  • I.D. Lins, P.R.A. Firmino, D.C. Bezerra, M. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett, L.C. Rego, and C.R. Santos, “Defense-Attack Interaction Over Optimally Designed Defense Systems via Games and Reliability,” Pesquisa Operacional (Impresso), vol. 34, pp. 1-21, 2014.
  • D. Mallmann, T.C.M. Araujo, and E.A.L. Droguett, “Characterization of central coast of Pernambuco State (Brazil) regarding to short and medium-term erosion,” Quaternary and Environmental Geosciences, vol. 5, pp. 137, 2014.
  • M.R. Martins, A. Schleder, and E.A.L. Droguett, “A Methodology for Risk Analysis Based on Hybrid Bayesian Networks: Application to the Regasification System of Liquefied Natural Gas Onboard a Floating Storage and Regasification Unit,” Risk Analysis, vol. 34, no. 12, pp. 2098-2120, 2014.
  • M. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett, R. Ferreira, and P.R.A. Firmino, “A competing risk model for dependent and imperfect condition-based preventive and corrective maintenances,” Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O, Journal of Risk and Reliability, vol. 228, no. 6, pp. 590-605, 2014.
  • R. Pascual, R. Madariaga, G. Santelices, D. Godoy, and E.A.L. Droguett, “A structured methodology to optimise throughput of production lines,” INT J MIN RECLAM ENV, pp. 1-12, 2014.
  • M.A. Ramos, E.A.L. Droguett, M.R. Martins, and H.P. Souza, “Comparison of Possible Consequences of LNG Leakages in Offshore and Onshore Terminals: the Case of the Port of Suape,” International Journal of Modeling and Simulation for the Petroleum Industry, vol. 8, pp. 40-48, 2014.
  • M. Wayne and M. Modarres, "A Bayesian Model for Complex System Reliability Growth under Arbitrary Corrective Actions," IEEE Transactions in Reliability, vol. 99, pp. 1-15, 2014.

2013

  • R. Ak, Y. Li, V. Vitelli, E. Zio, E.A.L. Droguett, and C.M.C. Jacinto, “NSGA-II-trained neural network approach to the estimation of prediction intervals of scale deposition rate in oil & gas equipment,” Expert Systems with Applications, vol. 40, pp. 1205-1212, 2013. Citações: 2|7
  • M. Amiri, V. Ontiveros, A. Keshtgar, M. Nuhi and M. Modarres, "Probabilistic Structural Health Monitoring," Reliability Information Analysis Center Journal, vol. 21, no. 4, 2013.
  • K. Chatterjee and M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Approach for Estimating Defect Size and Density Considering Detection Uncertainties and Measurement Errors," Journal of Risk and Rel., vol. 227, no. 1, pp. 28-40, 2013.
  • E.A.L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Integrated treatment of model and parameter uncertainties through a Bayesian approach,” Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, vol. 227, pp. 41-54, 2013. Citações:1|1
  • H. Duarte, E.A.L. Droguett, M. Araújo, and S.F. Teixeira, “Quantitative Ecological Risk Assessment of Industrial Accidents: The Case of Oil Ship Transportation in the Coastal Tropical Area of Northeastern Brazil,” Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: An International Journal, vol. 19, pp. 1457-1476, 2013. Citações:4
  • K. M. Groth and L. P. Swiler, "Bridging the gap between HRA research and HRA practice: A Bayesian network version of SPAR-H," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, vol. 115, pp. 33-42, 2013.
  • S. Schroer and M. Modarres, "An Event Classification Schema for Evaluating Site Risk in a Multi Unit Nuclear Power Plant Probabilistic Risk Assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety J., vol. 117, pp. 40-51, 2013.
  • I.D. Lins, L.C. Rego, M. Moura, and E.A.L. Droguett, “Selection of security system design via games of imperfect information and multi-objective genetic algorithm,” Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, vol. 112, pp. 59-66, 2013. Citações:1
  • I.D. Lins, M. Araujo, M. Moura, M.A. Silva, and E.A.L. Droguett, “Prediction of sea surface temperature in the tropical Atlantic by support vector machines,” Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, vol. 61, pp. 187-198, 2013. Citações:4
  • I.D. Lins, M. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett, E. Zio, and C.M.C. Jacinto, “Failure Prediction of Oil Wells by Support Vector Regression with Variable Selection, Hyperparameter Tuning and Uncertainty Analysis,” Chemical Engineering Transactions, vol. 33, pp. 817-822, 2013.
  • M. Rabiei and M. Modarres, "Quantitative methods for structural health management using in situ acoustic emission monitoring," International Journal of Fatigue, vol. 49, pp. 81-89, 2013.
  • M. R. Wayne and M. Modarres, "Modeling Rate of Occurrence of Failures with Log-Gaussian Process Models: A Case Study for Prognosis and Health Management of a Fleet of Vehicles," International Journal of Performability Engineering, vol. 9, no. 6, pp. 701-714, 2013.
  • S. P. Zhu, H. Huang, R. Smith, V. Ontiveros, L. He, M. Modarres, "Bayesian Framework for Probabilistic Low Cycle Fatigue Life Prediction and Uncertainty Modeling of Aircraft Turbine Disk Alloys," Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics J., vol. 34, pp. 114-122, 2013.
  • S.P Zhu, H.Z. Huang, V. Ontiveros, L.P He, M. Modarres, "Probabilistic Low Cycle Fatigue Prediction Using Energy-based Damage Parameter and Accounting for Model Uncertainty," Int. J. of Damage, Mech., vol. 21, pp. 1128-1153, 2013.

2012

  • P. Baraldi, F. Di Maio, E. Zio, S. Sauco, E.A.L. Droguett, and C.M.C. Jacinto, “Sensitivity Analysis of Scale Deposition on Equipment of Oil Wells Plants,” Chemical Engineering Transactions, vol. 26, pp. 327-332, 2012. Citações:6
  • K. Chatterjee, M. Modarres, and J. B. Bernstein, "Fifty Years of Physics of Failure," RIAC Journal, vol. 20, no. 1, 2012.
  • K. Chatterjee and M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Physics-of-Failure Approach to Prediction of Steam Generator Tube Rupture Frequency," Nuclear Science and Engineering, vol. 170, no. 2, pp. 136-150, 2012.
  • H. Duarte and E.A.L. Droguett, “Análise quantitativa de risco de uma unidade de recuperação de enxofre em uma refinaria de petróleo,” GEPROS, Gestão da Produção, Operações e Sistemas, vol. 7, pp. 23-38, 2012.
  • K. M. Groth & A. Mosleh, "A data-informed PIF hierarchy for model-based human reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, vol. 108, pp. 154-174, 2012.
  • K. M. Groth & A. Mosleh, "Deriving casual Bayesian networks from human reliability analysis data: A methodology and example model," Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers: Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, vol. 226, pp. 361-379, 2012.
  • W. L. Herring & J. W. Herrmann, "The Single-Day Surgery Scheduling Problem: Sequential Decision-Making and Threshold-Based Heuristics," OR Spectrum, vol. 34, no. 2, pp. 429-459, 2012.
  • J. W. Herrmann, "Finding Optimally Balanced Words for Production Planning and Maintenance Scheduling," IIE Transactions, vol. 44, no. 3, pp. 215-229, 2012.
  • J. W. Herrmann, "Using Aggregation to Construct Periodic Policies for Routing Jobs to Parallel Servers with Deterministic Service Times," Journal of Scheduling, vol. 15, no. 2, pp. 181-192, 2012.
  • R. Kazemi, A. Mosleh, “Improving Default Risk Prediction Using Bayesian Model Uncertainty Technique,” Risk Analysis, vol. 32, no. 11, pp. 1888-1900, 2012.
  • J. L. LaChance, B. Middleton, and K. M. Groth, "Comparison of NFPA and ISO approaches for evaluating separation distances," International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, vol. 37, no. 22, pp. 17488-17496, 2012.
  • F.S. Leite, M. Araujo, M.A. Silva, R.A. Silva, P. Tyaquica, and E.A.L. Droguett, “Field Study of a Simulated Subsurface Gas Blowout in Tropical and Shallow Water along the Brazilian Coast,” Tropical Oceanography, vol. 40, pp. 240-261, 2012.
  • I.D. Lins, M. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett, E. Zio, “A particle swarm-optimized support vector machine for reliability prediction,” Quality and Reliability Engineering International, vol. 28, pp. 141-158, 2012. Citações:8|15

2011

  • M. Azarkhail and M. Modarres, "The Evolution and History of Reliability Engineering: Rise of Mechanistic Reliability Modeling," International Journal of Performability Engineering, vol. 7, no. 6, pp. 595-606, 2011.
  • M. Chookah, M. Nuhi, and M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Physics-of-Failure Model For Prognostic Health Monitoring of Piping Subject to Pitting and Corrosion-Fatigue," Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 96, no. 12, pp. 1601-1610, 2011.
  • K. Groth and A. Mosleh, “Deriving causal Bayesian networks from human reliability analysis data: A methodology and example model,” Journal of Risk and Reliability, vol. 226, no. 4, 2011.
  • W. L. Herring and J. W. Herrmann, "A Stochastic Dynamic Program for the Single-Day Surgery Scheduling Problem," IIE Transactions on Healthcare Systems Engineering, vol. 1, no. 4, pp. 213-225, 2011.
  • J. W. Herrmann, "Using Aggregation to Reduce Response Time Variability in Cyclic Fair Sequences," Journal of Scheduling, vol. 14, no. 1, p. 39-55, 2011.
  • C. Jackson and A. Mosleh, “Downwards inference: Bayesian analysis of overlapping higher-level data sets of complex binary-state on-demand systems,” Journal of Risk and Reliability, vol. 226, no. 2, pp. 182–193, 2011.
  • L. Jinghui, A. Mosleh, and K. Rui, “Biased Monte Carlo method for reliability sensitivity analysis,” Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, vol. 37, no. 6, pp. 705–710, 716, 2011.
  • J. Li, R. Kang, A. Mosleh, and X. Pan, “Simulation and Uniform Design-Based Automatic Generation of Risk Scenarios,” Systems Engineering & Electronics, vol. 22, no. 6. Pp. 1015-1022, 2011.
  • J. Li, R. Kang, A. Mosleh, and X. Pan, “Simulation-based automatic generation of risk scenarios,” Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, vol. 22, no. 3, pp. 437–444, 2011.
  • J. Li, A. Mosleh, and R. Kang, “Likelihood ratio gradient estimation for dynamic reliability applications,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 96, no. 12, pp. 1667–1679, 2011.
  • M. Moura, I.D. Lins, E.A.L. Droguett, and E. Zio, “Failure and reliability prediction by support vector machines regression of time series data,” Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, vol. 96, pp. 1527-1534, 2011. Citações:11|28
  • I.D. Lins, E.A.L. Droguett, “Redundancy allocation problems considering systems with imperfect repairs using multi-objective genetic algorithms and discrete event simulation,” Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, vol. 19, pp. 362-381, 2011. Citações:7|17
  • M. Pourgolmohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, "Structured Treatment of Model Uncertainty in Complex Thermal-Hydraulics Codes; Technical Challenges, Prospective and Characterization," Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 241, no. 1, pp. 285-295, 2011.
  • R. Strunz & J. W. Herrmann, “Reliability As Independent Variable (RAIV): Applied to Liquid Rocket Engine Hot Fire Test Plans,” Journal of Propulsion and Power, vol. 27, no. 5, pp.1032-1044, 2011.
  • R. Strunz & J. W. Herrmann, “A Reliability As an Independent Variable (RAIV) methodology for optimizing test planning for liquid rocket engines,” CEAS (Council of European Aerospace Societies) Space Journal, vol. 2, no. 1-4, pp.17-30, 2011.

2010

  • R. Ferreira, P.E.L. Oliveira, P.R.A. Firmino, and E.A.L. Droguett, “Mapa Estratégico para Programas de Recursos Humanos: Avaliando o Desempenho de Redes Bayesianas,” Gestão & Produção (UFSCAR. Impresso), vol. 17, pp. 63-74, 2010.
  • D. P. Fitzgerald, J. W. Herrmann, & L. C. Schmidt, “A Conceptual Design Tool for Resolving Conflicts between Product Functionality and Environmental Impact,” Journal of Mechanical Design, vol. 132, no. 9, pp. 091006, 2010. 
  • K. Groth, C. Wang, and A. Mosleh, “Hybrid causal methodology and software platform for probabilistic risk assessment and safety monitoring of socio-technical systems,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 95, pp. 1276–1285, 2010.
  • J. W. Herrmann, "The Perspectives of Taylor, Gantt, and Johnson: How to Improve Production Scheduling," International Journal of Operations and Quality Management, vol. 16, no. 3, pp. 243-254, 2010.
  • J. W. Herrmann, "Progressive Design Processes and Bounded Rational Designers," Journal of Mechanical Design, vol. 132, no. 8, pp. 081005, 2010.
  • M. Moura and E.A.L. Droguett, “Numerical Approach for Assessing System Dynamic Availability Via Continuous Time Homogeneous Semi-Markov Processes,” Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, vol. 12, pp. 431-449, 2010. Citações:1|1
  • V. Ontiveros, A.  Cartillier, and M. Modarres, "An Integrated Methodology for Assessing Fire Simulation Code Uncertainty," Nuclear Science and Engineering, vol. 166, no. 3, pp. 179–201 2010.
  • M. Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Methodology for the Use of Experimental Data to Enhance Model Uncertainty Assessment in Thermal Hydraulics Codes,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 95, no. 2, 2010.
  • M. Rabiei, M. Modarres, and P. Hoffman, "Structural Reliability Prognosis and Health Assessment of Airframes Using Non-Destructive Inspection," Reliability Information Analysis Center Journal, 2010.

2009

  • J. M. Aughenbaugh, and J. W. Herrmann, “Reliability-Based Decision-Making: A Comparison of Statistical Approaches,” Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice, vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 289-304, 2009. 
  • J. M. Aughenbaugh and J.W. Herrmann, “Information Management for Estimating System Reliability using Imprecise Probabilities and Precise Bayesian Updating,” International Journal of Reliability and Safety, vol. 3, no. 1/2/3, pp. 35-56, 2009.
  • S. Chamberlain, M. Chookah, and M. Modarres, "Development of a Probabilistic Mechanistic Model for Reliability Assessment of Gas Cylinders in Compressed Natural Gas Vehicles," Journal of Risk & Reliability, vol. 233, pp. 289-231, 2009.
  • J. W. Herrmann, "Design Optimization with Imprecise Random Variables," SAE International Journal of Materials and Manufacturing, vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 99-107, 2009.
  • P. Karimian & J. W. Herrmann, “Separating Design Optimization Problems into Decision-Based Design Processes,” Journal of Mechanical Design, vol. 131, no. 1, pp. 011007, 2009.
  • I.D. Lins and E.A.L. Droguett, “Multiobjective Optimization of Availability and Cost in Repairable Systems Design via Genetic Algorithms and Discrete Event Simulation,” Pesquisa Operacional, vol. 29, pp. 43-66, 2009.
  • M. Modarres, "Technology-Neutral Nuclear Power Plant Regulation Using Risk-Informed and Performance-Based Methods," Reliability Engineering and Systems Safety J., vol. 94, pp. 211– 217, 2009.
  • Z. Mohaghegh, R. Kazemi, and A. Mosleh, “Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 94, no. 5, pp. 1000–1018, 2009.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Incorporating organizational factors into probabilistic risk assessment of complex socio-technical systems: Principles and theoretical foundations,” Safety Science, vol. 47, no. 8, pp. 1139–1158, 2009.
  • Z. Mohaghegh and A. Mosleh, “Measurement techniques for organizational safety causal models: Characterization and suggestions for enhancements,” Safety Science, vol. 47, no. 10, pp. 1398–1409, 2009.
  • M. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett, “Mathematical Formulation and Numerical Treatment for non-Homogeneous semi-Markov Processes Based on Transition Frequency Densities and Quadrature Methods,” Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, vol. 94, pp. 342-349, 2009. Citações:11|13
  • M.Pourgol-Mohamad, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, “Integrated Methodology for Thermal-Hydraulic Code Uncertainty Assessment with Application,” Nuclear Technology, vol. 165, no. 3,  pp. 333-359, 2009.
  • W. Røed, A. Mosleh, J. E. Vinnem, and T. Aven, “On the use of the hybrid causal logic method in offshore risk analysis,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 94, pp. 445–455, 2009.
  • G. Valbuena, M. Modarres, "Development of Probabilistic Models to Estimate Fire-Induced Cable Damage at Nuclear Power Plants," Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 239, pp. 1113–1127, 2009.
  • X. Wang, M. Modarres, P. Hoffman, "Multi-Site Fatigue Damage," International Journal of Fracture, vol. 156, no. 2, pp. 155-163, 2009.
  • X. Wang, M. Rabiei, J. Hurtado, P. Hoffman, and M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic-Based Airframe Integrity Management Model,"  Reliability Engineering and Systems Safety J., vol. 4 pp. 932–941, 2009.

2008

  • J. M Aughenbaugh and J. W. Herrmann, “A Comparison of Statistical Approaches for Assessing Reliability”, International Journal of Reliability and Safety, vol. 2, no. 4, pp. 265-285, 2008.
  • M. Chinchokar & J. W. Herrmann, "Estimating Manufacturing Cycle Time and Throughput in Flow Shops with Process Drift and Inspection,” International Journal of Production Research, vol. 46, no. 24, pp. 7057 – 7072, 2008. 
  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Bayesian methodology for model uncertainty using model performance data,” Risk Analysis, vol. 28, no. 5, pp. 1457–1476, 2008.
  • E.A.L. Droguett, M. Moura, C.M.C. Jacinto, M. Feliciano, “A Semi-Markov Model with Bayesian Belief Network Based Human Error Probability for Availability Assessment of Downhole Optical Monitoring Systems,” Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, vol. 16, pp. 1713-1727, 2008. Citações:12
  • J. B. Hall and A. Mosleh, “An analytical framework for reliability growth of one-shot systems,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 93, no. 11, pp. 1751–1760, 2008.
  • J. B. Hall and A. Mosleh, “A Reliability Growth Projection Model for One-Shot Systems,” IEEE Transactions on Reliability, vol. 57, no. 1, pp. 174–181, 2008.
  • J. W. Herrmann "Disseminating Emergency Preparedness Planning Models as Automatically Generated Custom Spreadhseets," Interfaces, vol. 38, no. 4,p p. 263-270, 2008.
  • T. W. Hoy & J. W. Herrmann, "“Optimal utilization of test facilities to replicate operational environments,” Journal of the IEST, vol. 51, no. 2, pp. 10-19, 2008.
  • M. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett, “A Continuous-Time Semi-Markov Bayesian Belief Network Model for Availability Measure Estimation of Fault Tolerant Systems,” Pesquisa Operacional, vol. 28, pp. 353-373, 2008.
  • D. M. Rasmuson, A. Mosleh, and T. E. Wierman, “Insights from analysing the Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s common-cause failure database,” Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, vol. 222, no. 4, pp. 533–544, 2008.

2007

  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents. Part 1: Overview of the IDAC Model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 8, pp. 997–1013, 2007.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents. Part 2: IDAC performance influencing factors model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 8, pp. 1014–1040, 2007.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents. Part 3: IDAC operator response model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 8, pp. 1041–1060, 2007.
  • Y-H Chang and A. Mosleh, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents. Part 5: Dynamic probabilistic simulation of the IDAC model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, pp. 1076–1101, 2007.
  • S. F. Galán, A. Mosleh, and J. M. Izquierdo, “Incorporating organizational factors into probabilistic safety assessment of nuclear power plants through canonical probabilistic models,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 8, pp. 1131–1138, 2007.
  • E. L. Droguett and A. Mosleh, “Time To Failure Assessment of Products at Service Conditions from Accelerated Lifetime Tests with Stress-Dependent Spread in Life,” Pesquisa Operacional, vol. 27, no. 2, pp. 209–233, 2007.
  • D. Zhu, A. Mosleh, and C. Smidts, “A framework to integrate software behavior into dynamic probabilistic risk assessment,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 92, no. 12, pp. 1733–1755, 2007.
  • E.A.L. Droguett, R. Menêzes, “Análise da Confiabilidade Humana via Redes Bayesianas: uma Aplicação à Manutenção de Linhas de Transmissão,” Produção (São Paulo), vol. 17, no.1, pp. 162-185, 2007. Citações:1|8
  • M. Moura, S. Rocha, E.A.L. Droguett, C.M.C. Jacinto, “Avaliação Bayesiana da Eficácia da Manutenção via Processo de Renovação Generalizado,” Pesquisa Operacional, vol. 27, pp. 569-589, 2007. Citações:1|6

2000 - 2006

  • K. Aaby, J. W. Herrmann, C. Jordan, M. Treadwell, & K. Wood, “Montgomery County’s Public Health Service uses operations research to plan emergency mass-dispensing and vaccination clinics,” Interfaces, vol. 36, no. 6, pp. 569-579, 2006.
  • K. Aaby, R. Abbey, J. W. Herrmann, M. Treadwell, C. Jordan, & K. Wood, “Embracing Computer Modeling to Address Pandemic Influenza in the 21st Century,” Journal of Public Health Management and Practice, vol. 12, no. 4, pp. 365-372, July-August 2006. 
  • E.A.L. Droguett, F. Groen, A. Mosleh, “Bayesian Assessment of the Variability of Reliability Measures,” Pesquisa Operacional, vol. 26, no. 1, pp. 109-127, 2006.
  • E.A.L. Droguett, A. Mosleh, “Análise Bayesiana da Confiabilidade de Produtos em Desenvolvimento,” Gestão e Produção (UFSCar), São Carlos, vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 57-69, 2006. Citações:4
  • P.R.A. Firmino, E.A.L. Droguett, “Estimação da Cota Inferior para a Confiabilidade de Sistemas por Árvores de Falhas,” Pesquisa Operacional, vol. 26, pp. 383, 2006.
  • F. J. Groen, C. Smidts, and A. Mosleh, “QRAS—the quantitative risk assessment system,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 91, no. 3, pp. 292–304, 2006.
  • J. Hurtado, X. Wang, M. Modarres, P. Hoffman, "Probabilistic Airframe Structural Integrity Management," Reliability Analysis Information Center Journal, April, 2006.
  • C.M.C. Jacinto, E.A.L. Droguett, P. Garcia, “Aspectos Teóricos e Metodológicos para a Realização de uma Análise Quantitativa de Risco na Construção e Restauração de Poços,” Boletim Técnico da Produção de Petróleo, Rio de Janeiro, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 157-182, 2006.
  • G. Pundoor & J. W. Herrmann, “A hierarchical approach to supply chain simulation modeling using the Supply Chain Operations Reference model,” International Journal of Simulation and Process Modeling, vol. 2, no. 3/4, pp.124-132, 2006.
  • S. Chamberlain, M. Modarres, "Compressed Natural Gas Safety: A Quantitative Analysis," Risk Analysis J., vol. 25, pp. 377-389, 2005.
  • D. P. Fitzgerald, J. W. Herrmann, P. A. Sandborn, L. C. Schmidt, & T.Gogoll, “Beyond Tools: a Design for Environment Process,” International Journal of Performability Engineering, vol. 1, no. 2, pp.105-120, 2005.
  • F. J. Groen and A. Mosleh, “Foundations of probabilistic inference with uncertain evidence,” International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, vol. 39, no. 1, pp. 49–83, 2005.
  • Jose L. Hurtado, Francisco Joglar , Mohammad Modarres, "Generalized Renewal Process: Models, Parameter Estimation and Applications to Maintenance Problems," International Journal on Performability Engineering, vol. 1, 2005.
  • F. Joglar, F. Mowrer, M. Modarres, "A Probabilistic Model for Fire Detection with Applications," Fire Technology J., vol. 41, pp. 151-172, 2005.
  • T. Kashiwagi, F. Du, K. I. Winey, K. M. Groth, J. R. Shields, S. P. Bellayer, H. Kim, & J. F. Douglas, "Flammability properties of polymer nanocomposites with single-walled carbon nanotubes: Effects of nanotube dispersion and concentration," Polymer, v. 46, no. 2, pp. 471-481, 2005.
  • W. Keller and M. Modarres, "A historical overview of probabilistic risk assessment development and its use in the nuclear power industry: a tribute to the late Professor Norman Carl Rasmussen," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, vol. 89, pp. 271-285, 2005.
  • F. Li and M. Modarres, "Probabilistic Modeling for Fracture Mechanic Studies of Reactor Vessels with Characterization of Uncertainties," Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 235, pp. 1-19, 2005.
  • M. Modarres, "Technology-Neutral Nuclear Power Plant Regulation: Implications of a Safety Goals-Driven Performance-Based Regulation," Nuclear Engineering & Technology, vol. 37, 2005. 
  • E.A.L. Droguett, F. Groen, A. Mosleh, “The Combined Use of Data and Expert Estimates in Population Variability Analysis,” Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, Estados Unidos, v. 83, pp. 311-321, 2004. Citações:4|11
  • P.R.A. Firmino, P.I.C. Moreira, R.T.M. Chikushi, E.A.L. Droguett, “Métodos para a Remoção de Redundâncias de Árvores de Falhas,” Revista Produção Online, vol. 4, no 4, 2004.
  • F.J. Groen, E. L. Droguett, S. Jiang, and A. Mosleh, “A Reliability Data Collection and Analysis System for Products Under Development,” Brazilian Journal of Operations & Production Management, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 93–106, 2004.
  • T. Kashiwagi, F. Du, K. I. Winey, K. Groth, R. Harris, K. Butler, J. Shields, H. Kim, J. F. Douglas, "Thermal and flammability properties of polypropylene/carbon nanotube nanocomposites," Polymer, vol. 45, no. 12, pp. 4227-4239, 2004.
  • A. Mosleh and Y-H Chang, “Model-based human reliability analysis: prospects and requirements,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 83, no. 2, pp. 241–253, 2004.
  • F. Chauvet, J. W. Herrmann, & J. M. Proth, “Optimization of cyclic production systems: a heuristic approach,” IEEE Transactions on Robotics and Automation, vol. 19, no. 1, pp. 150-154, 2003.
  • P. A. Sandborn, B. Etienne, J. W. Herrmann, & M.M. Chincholkar, “Cost and production analysis for substrates with embedded passives,” Circuit World, vol. 30, no. 1, pp. 25-30, 2003.
  • G. E. Vieira, J. W. Herrmann, & E. Lin, “Rescheduling manufacturing systems: a framework of strategies, policies, and methods,” Journal of Scheduling, vol. 6, no. 1, pp. 35-58, 2003.
  • M. Yanez, F. Joglar, and M. Modarres, "Mathematical Formulation of the Generalized Renewal Process for Modeling Failures in Repairable Systems for Performance-Based Applications," Reliability Engineering and Systems Safety J., vol. 77, pp. 167-180, 2002.
  • Y. Guan, F. Li, M. Modarres, M. diMarzo, D. Bessette, "Application of Integrated TH-PA Method to the Westinghouse AP600 Reactor," Nuclear Technology J. vol. 133, no. 3, pp. 269 – 289, 2001.
  • Y. Guan, F. Li, M. Modarres, "A Method of Integrating Thermal Hydraulic Analysis and Probabilistic Assessment for Safety Evaluation and Screening," Nuclear Technology J., vol. 133, no. 3, pp. 290–309, 2001.
  • J. W. Herrmann & M. M. Chincholkar, “Reducing Throughput Time during Product Design,” Journal of Manufacturing Systems, vol. 20, no. 6, pp.416-428, 2001/2002.
  • J. W. Herrmann & D. R. Delalio, “Algorithms for sheet metal nesting,” IEEE Transactions on Robotics and Automation, vol. 17, no. 2, pp. 183-190, 2001.
  • J. W. Herrmann, N. Chandrasekaran, B. F. Conaghan, M. Q. Nguyen, G. W. Rubloff, R. Z. Shi, “Evaluating the impact of process changes on cluster tool performance,” IEEE Transactions on Semiconductor Manufacturing, vol. 13, no. 2, pp. 181-192, 2000.
  • J. W. Herrmann, S. Balasubramanian, & G. Singh, “Defining specialized design similarity measures,” International Journal of Production Research, vol. 38, no. 15, pp. 3603-3621, 2000.
  • G. E. Vieira, J. W. Herrmann, & E. Lin, "Analytical models to predict the performance of a single-machine system under periodic and event-driven rescheduling strategies," International Journal of Production Research, vol. 38, no. 8, pp. 1889-1915, 2000.
  • G. E. Vieira, J. W. Herrmann, & E. Lin, “Predicting the performance of rescheduling strategies for parallel machine systems,” Journal of Manufacturing Systems, vol. 19, no. 4, pp. 256-266, 2000.

Top of page

1990 - 1999

  • J. W. Herrmann, G. Ioannou, I. Minis, & J. M. Proth, "Minimization of acquisition and operational costs in horizontal material handling system design,” IIE (Institute of Industrial Engineers) Transactions, vol. 31, no. 7, pp. 679-693, 1999. 
  • Y.-S. Hu, M. Modarres, "Evaluating System Behavior through Dynamic Master Logic Diagram (DMLD) Modeling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety J., vol. 64, pp. 241-269, 1999.
  • I. Minis, J. W. Herrmann, G. Lam, & E. Lin, "A generative approach for concurrent manufacturability evaluation and subcontractor selection,” Journal of Manufacturing Systems, vol. 18, no. 6, pp. 383-395, 1999.
  • M. Modarres, "Functional Modeling of Complex Systems (Editorial)," Reliability Engineering and System Safety J., vol. 64, 1999.
  • M. Modarres, S. W. Cheon, "Function-Centered Modeling of Engineering Systems Using the Goal Tree-Success Tree Technique and Functional Primitives," Reliability Engineering and Systems Safety, vol. 64, pp. 181 - 200, 1999.
  • Y-S. J. Hu and M. Modarres, "Ensuring and Automating Software Assurance Based on a Logic Model," Reliability Engineering & System Safety Journal, Special Issue on Functional Modeling, vol. 64, 1999.
  • J. Won and M. Modarres, "Improved Bayesian Approach For Diagnosing Partial Failures," Computers and Chemical Engineering J., vol. 22, no. 10, pp.1483-1502, 1998.
  • M. Fu, J. W. Herrmann, & M. Narayanaswamy, “Setting thresholds for periodic order release,” Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, v. 8, pp. 369-383, 1997.
  • J. W. Herrmann, J. M. Proth, & N. Sauer, "Heuristics for unrelated machine scheduling with precedence constraints,” European Journal of Operational Research, v.102, no. 3, pp. 528-537, 1997. 
  • S. H. Shen, C. Smidts, and A. Mosleh, “A methodology for collection and analysis of human error data based on a cognitive model: IDA,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 172, no. 1, pp. 157–186, 1997.
  • C. Smidts, S. H. Shen, and A. Mosleh, “The IDA cognitive model for the analysis of nuclear power plant operator response under accident conditions. Part I: problem solving and decision making model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 55, no. 1, pp. 51–71, 1997.
  • S. Swaminathan, J. Y. Van-Halle, C. Smidts, A. Mosleh, S. Bell, K. Rudolph, R. J. Mulvihill, and B. Bream, “The Cassini Mission probabilistic risk analysis: comparison of two probabilistic dynamic methodologies,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 58, no. 1, pp. 1–14, 1997.
  • M. Modarres, "Dominance of Reason over Intuition:  Emergence of Risk-Based Regulation," Marine Safety Council Proceedings Coast Guard Journal of Safety at Sea, vol. 53, no. 2, 1996.
  • Y. S. Hu and M. Modarres, "Time-Dependent System Knowledge Representation Based on Dynamic Master Logic Diagrams," Control Engineering Practice, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 89-98, 1996.
  • M. Modarres, H. Martz, M. Kaminskiy, "The Accident Sequence Precursor Analysis: Review of The Methods And New Insights," Nuclear Science and Engineering, vol. 123, pp. 238-258, 1996.
  • J. A. Julius, E. J. Jorgenson, G. W. Parry, and A. M. Mosleh, “Procedure for the analysis of errors of commission during non-power modes of nuclear power plant operation,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 53, no. 2, pp. 139–154, 1996.
  • J. W. Herrmann, G. Ioannou, I. Minis, & J. M. Proth, “A dual ascent approach to the fixed-charge capacitated network design problem,” European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 95, no. 3, pp. 476-490, 1996.
  • K. S. Hsueh and A. Mosleh, “The development and application of the accident dynamic simulator for dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of nuclear power plants,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 52, no. 3, pp. 297–314, 1996.
  • A. Mosleh and V. M. Bier, “Uncertainty about probability: A reconciliation with the subjectivist viewpoint,” IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, Part A: Systems and Humans, vol. 26, no. 3, pp. 303–310, 1996.
  • A. Candadai, J. W. Herrmann, I. Minis, “Applications of group technology in distributed manufacturing,” Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, v. 7, p. 271-291, 1996.  Original version published as Candadai, A., J.W. Herrmann, I. Minis,  “A group technology-based variant approach for agile manufacturing,” MED-Vol. 1/DE-Vol. 85, Concurrent Product and Process Engineering, International Mechanical Engineering Congress and Exposition, San Francisco, California, November 12-17, 1995, pp. 289-305. 
  • D. Delaney, J. W. Herrmann, G. Ioannou, T. Lu, I. Minis, A. H. Mirza, & R. Palmer, "Design and implementation of a hybrid manufacturing facility," Computers and Industrial Engineering, vol. 29, no. 1-4, pp. 315-319, 1995.
  • J. W. Herrmann & C. Y. Lee, "Solving a class scheduling problem with a genetic algorithm," ORSA Journal on Computing, vol. 7, no. 4, pp. 443-452, 1995.
  • J. W. Herrmann, C. Y. Lee, & J. Hinchman, "Global job shop scheduling with a genetic algorithm," Production and Operations Management, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 30-45, 1995.J. W. Herrmann, C. Y. Lee, & J. Hinchman, "Global job shop scheduling with a genetic algorithm," Production and Operations Management, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 30-45, 1995.
  • J. W. Herrmann, G. Ioannou, I. Minis, R. Nagi, & J. M. Proth, "Design of material flow networks in manufacturing facilities," Journal of Manufacturing Systems, vol. 14, no. 4, pp. 277-289, 1995.
  • J. Julius, E. Jorgenson, G. W. Parry, and A. Mosleh, “A procedure for the analysis of errors of commission in a probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plant at full power,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 50, no. 2, pp. 189–201, 1995.
  • H. Dezfuli, M. Modarres, and J. Meyer, "Application of REVEAL_W to Risk-Based Configuration Control," Reliability Engineering and System Safety Journal, vol. 44, no. 3, 1994.
  • A. Macwan and A. Mosleh, “A methodology for modeling operator errors of commission in probabilistic risk assessment,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 45, no. 1–2, pp. 139–157, 1994.
  • A. Mosleh, G. W. Parry, and F. Zikria, “An approach to the analysis of common cause failure data for plant-specific application,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 150, no. 1, pp. 25–47, 1994.
  • J. W. Herrmann & C. Y. Lee, "On scheduling to minimize earlinees-tardiness and batch delivery costs with a common due date," European Journal of Operational Research, v. 70, no. 3, pp. 272-288, 1993.
  • L. Chen and M. Modarres, "Hierarchical Decision Process For Fault Administration," Computers and Chemical Eng. J., vol. 16, no. 5, pp. 425-448, 1992.
  • V. M. Bier and A. Mosleh,  “On Decomposition and Aggregation Error in Estimation: Some Basic Principles and Examples,” Risk Analysis, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 203-214, 1992.
  • M. Modarres, A. Mosleh, and J. Wreathall, “A framework for assessing influence of organization on plant safety,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 38, no. 1–2, pp. 157–171, 1992.
  • A. Mosleh, “Bayesian modeling of expert-to-expert variability and dependence in estimating rare event frequencies,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 38, no. 1–2, pp. 47–57, 1992.
  • L. Abbott and M. Modarres, "Consistency Checking During Automatic Knowledge Acquisition For Expert System Development," Heuristic J., vol. 3, no. 2, pp. 29-37, 1991.
  • A. Mosleh, “Common cause failures: an analysis methodology and examples,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 34, no. 3, pp. 249–292, 1991.
  • J. Wang and M. Modarres, "REX: An Intelligent Decision and Analysis Aid For Reliability and Risk Studies," Reliability Eng. & Syst. Safety J., vol. 30, pp. 195-218, 1990.
  • I. Kim, M. Modarres and N. Hunt, "A Model-Based Approach to On-Line Process Disturbance Management:  The Application," Reliability Eng. & Syst. Safety J., vol. 28, pp. 185-239, 1990.
  • I. Kim, M. Modarres and N. Hunt, "Toward The Practical Use of Expert System Technique For Process Disturbance Management," Reliability Eng. & Syst. Safety J., vol. 28, pp. 314-317, 1990.
  • I. Kim, M. Modarres and N. Hunt, "A Model-Based Approach to On-line Process Disturbance Management:  The Models," Reliability Eng. & Syst. Safety J., vol. 28, pp. 265-305, 1990.
  • V. M. Bier and A. Mosleh, “The analysis of accident precursors and near misses: Implications for risk assessment and risk management,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 27, no. 1, pp. 91–101, 1990.

1979 - 1989

  • A. Mosleh, “On The ‘True’ Value of a Failure Rate and Related Statistical Issues,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 26, pp. 21–23, 1989.
  • N. Siu and A. Mosleh, “Treating Data Uncertainties in Common Cause Failure Analysis,” Nuclear Technology, vol. 84, no. 3, pp. 265–281, 1989.
  • D. Chung, M. Modarres and N. Hunt, "GOTRES:  An Expert System for Fault Detection and Analysis," Reliability Eng. & Syst. Safety J., vol. 24, pp. 276-289, 1989.
  • G. Birky, T. McAvoy and M. Modarres, "An Expert System For Distillation Control Design," Computers and Chemical Engineering J., vol. 12, no. 9/10, pp. 1045-1063, 1988.
  • J. Wang, M. Modarres and N. Hunt, "Probabilistic Risk Assessment: A Look at The Role of Artificial Intelligence," Nuclear Engineering and Design J., vol. 106, pp. 375-387, 1988.
  • V. M. Bier and A. Mosleh, “The subjective Bayesian approach to PRA: Theoretical and practical perspectives,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 23, no. 4, pp. 269–275, 1988.
  • G. E. Apostolakis, V. M. Bier, and A. Mosleh, “A critique of recent models for human error rate assessment,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 22, no. 1–4, pp. 201–217, 1988.
  • A. Mosleh, “An event-based multiple malfunction model,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 21, no. 3, pp. 239–241, 1988.
  • A. Mosleh, V. M. Bier, and G. Apostolakis, “A critique of current practice for the use of expert opinions in probabilistic risk assessment,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol. 20, no. 1, pp. 63–85, 1988.
  • I.S. Kim and M. Modarres, "Application of Goal Tree-Success Tree Model as The Knowledge-Base of Operator Advisory System," Nuclear Engineering & Design J., vol. 104, pp. 67-81, 1988.
  • H. Dezfuli and M. Modarres, "Application of a Correlation Model to Analyze Dependent Variables," IEEE Transactions on Reliability, vol. R-36, no. 4, pp. 459-462, 1987.
  • D. Rathbun and M. Modarres, "Development of Safety Goals For Nuclear Power Plants," Nuclear Safety, vol. 28, no. 2, pp. 155-163, 1987.
  • K. N. Fleming, A. Mosleh, and R.K. Deremer, “A systematic procedure for the incorporation of common cause events into risk and reliability models,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 93, no. 2–3, pp. 245–273, 1986.
  • M. Modarres, "Increasing Performance of Engineering Systems," Reliability Review J., vol. 6, no. 182, pp. 21-24, 1986.
  • A. Mosleh, “Hidden sources of uncertainty: judgment in the collection and analysis of data,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, vol. 93, no. 2–3, pp. 187–198, 1986.
  • M. Modarres, and T. Cadman, “A Method of Alarm System Analysis For Process Plants,” Computers and Chemical Eng., vol. 10, no. 6, pp. 557-565, 1986.
  • E. Lois, and M. Modarres, "A Comparative Assessment of The Safety For One Decade of Performance of Operating U.S. Nuclear Power Plants," Reliability Engineering (Int. Journal), vol. 13, no. 4, pp. 191-210, 1985.
  • M. Modarres, M.L. Roush, and F. Nouri, "A Probabilistic Cost-Based Method For Evaluation of Operational Improvements in Nuclear Reactors," IEEE Transaction on Reliability, vol. R-34, 5, pp. 514-518, 1985.
  • M. Modarres, T. Cadman, E. Lois, and A. Gardner, "Sensitivity And Uncertainty Analysis For The Accident Sequence Precursor Study," Nuclear Technology J., vol. 69, no. 1, pp. 27-35, 1985.
  • M. Modarres and T. Cadman, "Statistical Uncertainty Analysis in Reactor Risk Estimation," Nuclear Eng. & Design J., vol. 85, no. 3, pp. 385-399, 1985.
  • H. Dezfuli and M. Modarres, "Uncertainty Analysis of Reactor Safety Systems With Statistically Correlated Failure Data," Reliability Engineering International Journal, vol. 11, no. I, pp. 47-64, 1985.
  • A. Mosleh and E.R. Hilton, “A Methodology for the Assessment of Economic Risk of Large Scale Computer Systems,” Journal of Security, Audit, and Control, Spring 1984.
  • M. Modarres and H. Dezfuli, "A Truncation Methodology for Evaluating Large Fault Trees," IEEE Transactions on Reliability, vol. R-33, no. 4, pp. 325-328, 1984.
  • M. Modarres, "A Method of Predicting Availability Characteristics of Series-parallel Systems," IEEE Transactions on Reliability, vol. R-33, no. 4, pp. 309-312, 1984.
  • K. N. Fleming, A. Mosleh, and A. P. Kelley, Jr., “On the Analysis of Dependent Failures in Risk Assessment and Reliability Evaluation,” Nuclear Safety, vol. 24, no. 5, pp. 637–658, 1983.
  • C. D. Heising and A. Mosleh, “Bayesian Estimation of Core Damage Frequency Incorporating Historical Data on Precursor Events,” Nuclear Safety, vol. 24, no. 4, pp. 485–493, 1983.
  • A. Mosleh and G. Apostolakis, “Some properties of distributions useful in the study of rare events,” IEEE Transactions on Reliability, vol. 31, no. 1, pp. 87–94, 1982.
  • G. Apostolakis and A. Mosleh, “Expert Opinion and Statistical Evidence: An Application to Reactor Core Melt Frequency,” Nuclear Science and Engineering, vol. 70, no. 2, pp. 135–149, 1979.

Top of page

Selected Research Reports

  1. Mosleh, A., C. Wang, D. Zhu, and Z. Mohaghegh, Methodology for Aviation Systems Safety Assessment and Monitoring, Technical Report prepared for Federal Aviation Administration , Center for Risk and Reliability, CRR-7-1,  June 2007.
  2. Mosleh, A. , C. Wang, F.J. Groen, , "Integrated Methodology for Identification, Classification and Assessment of Aviation Systems Hazards and Risks, V.1: Framework and Computational Algorithms", Technical Report for Federal Aviation Administration, William J. Hughes Technical Center, AAR-490 Risk Analysis Branch, CRR-2007-SR-011
  3. Mosleh A., and K. Groth, Integrated Risk Methodology: Applications, Technical Report prepared for Federal Aviation Administration ,Center for Risk and Reliability, CRR-7-2,  June 2007.
  4. Mosleh, A., C. Wang, Z. Mohaghegh, and K. Groth, Integrated Methodology for Identification, Classification, and Assessment of Aviation System Risk, Research Report, Center for Risk and Reliability, University of Maryland, March 2005.
  5. Mohaghegh, Z. and A. Mosleh, Framework for Incorporating Organizational Factors in Safety Causal Models, Technical Report prepared for Federal Aviation Administration, Center for Risk and Reliability, University of Maryland, July 2007.
  6. Kirk, M., Malik, S., Santos, T., Dickson, T., Pugh, C.E., Bass, R., Williams, P., Woods, R., Siu, N., Kim, L., Kolaczkowski, A., Whitehead, D., Bessette, D., Arcieri, B., Fletcher, D., Mosleh, A., and Chang, Y.H. J., Technical Basis for Revision of the Pressurizer Thermal Shock (PTS) Screening Criteria in the PTS Rule (10CFR50.61) NUREG-1806, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington DC.
  7. Chang, Y-H., K. Almenas, and A. Mosleh,  Thermal-Hydraulic Uncertainty Analysis in Pressurized Thermal Shock Risk Assessment - Methodology and Implementation on Oconee, Beaver Valley, Palisades, and Calvert Cliffs Nuclear Power Plants. 2006, NUREG/CR-6899, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission,  2006.
  8. Tan, Z., and A. Mosleh, Methodology for Reliability Analysis of  X-Ware Systems, Prepared for Ford Motor Company, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-08, 2001.
  9. Groen, F. and A. Mosleh, Inference with Uncertain Evidence, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-05, 2000.
  10. Droguett, E.L., and A. Mosleh, Methodology for Treating Model Uncertainty, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-02, 1999. 
  11. Chang Y.H. , and A. Mosleh, Model-based Human Reliability Analysis, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-02, 1999.
  12. Chang, Y.H. , and A. Mosleh, Cognitive Modeling and Dynamic Probabilistic Simulation of Operating Crew Response to Complex System Accidents, Center for Technology Risk Studies, CTRS-A2-02, 1999. 
  13. Marshall, F., D. Rasmuson and A. Mosleh, Common-Cause Failure Database and Analysis System Volumes 1-4, NUREG/CR-6268, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, June 1998.
  14. Mosleh, A., and M. Modarres, Considerations of Uncertainty in Risk Informed Regulation, Prepared for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, March 1998.
  15. Mosleh, A., and S.H. Shen,  Methodology for Assessment of Operator Error Probabilities for the Calvert Cliff Nuclear Power Plant, Prepared for Baltimore Gas and Electric Company, July 1996.
  16. Mosleh, A., C. Smidts, Analytical Techniques for Information Security Risk Assessment, Prepared for National Institute of Standards and Technology, June 1995.
  17. Goldfeiz, E., and A. Mosleh, An Approach to Modeling Organizational Factors for Safety Performance Assessment of Nuclear Power Plants, Report UMNE-95-003, 1995.
  18. Mosleh, A., C. Smidts, and S.H. Shen,  Application of a Cognitive Model to the Analysis of Reactor Operating Events Involving Operator Interactions, Prepared for Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Vols. I and II,  UMNE-94-004, 1994.
  19. Macwan, A. , and A. Mosleh,  Methodology for Analysis of Operator Errors of Commission During Nuclear Power Plant Accidents with Application to PRA, Report MDNE-93-001, Jan 1993.
  20. Mosleh, A.,  A.F. Zikira, and A. Afzali,, On Quantitative Analysis of Common Cause Failure Data for Plant-Specific Probabilistic Safety Assessment, Prepared for the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission UMNE-92-004, 1992.

Top of page